CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4030 Judivan
C- Composite 51.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

4030 Judivan · San Antonio, TX 78218
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,146 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1971 7,710 sqft lot Est $196k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Single-family CASH ONLY investment opportunity SOLD AS IS featuring 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, and 1,146 square feet of living space. The property offers a functional open layout with a natural flow between the living and dining areas, providing a solid foundation for future updates, customization, or reconfiguration. Includes a one-car garage and a large backyard, adding strong upside potential for exterior improvements, expansion, or enhanced outdoor use. This property is ideal for investors or buyers looking for a value-add opportunity. With renovation, it has strong potential for resale or rental income. Sold as is.

Key facts

  • 7,710 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1971

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing/funding; For sale
  • Financial info: Down payment resource not indicated
  • HOA & community: Located in EAST TERRELL HILLS HEIGHTS / EAST TERRELL HILLS NE subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: City water and sewer
  • Home design: Pre-owned single-family home; Approximately 55 years old
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Brick and siding exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (12 x 8); Includes Stove/Range, Refrigerator, Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level (13 x 10); Bedroom 2 (12 x 10); Bedroom 3 (12 x 10); Bedroom 4 (10 x 10)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 total bathrooms (1 full, 1 half); Master bath with single vanity (5 x 5); no tub or shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living area and separate dining room; Laundry located in garage; Washer, Dryer, Stove/Range, Refrigerator, Dishwasher
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer (laundry in garage)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($525/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • North East ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #276 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Terrell Hills El (math 19% / reading 38%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 601 students, 92% FRL); Krueger Middle (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 813 students, 77% FRL); Roosevelt H S (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,096 of 1,632 statewide, top 68%, 2,599 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 41% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the North East ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.6%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,651 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.25%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,966
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4106 Tropical 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,161 (+1%) 9mo $220,000 $189 76
4207 Tallulah 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-4%) 9mo $195,000 $177 70
4163 Judivan 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,244 (+9%) 8mo $175,000 $141 67
3730 La Sabre Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,104 (-4%) 6mo $149,000 $135 65
6718 Pear Tree 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,308 (+14%) 9mo $135,000 $103 65
1127 Olney 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,284 (+12%) 2mo $219,900 $171 59
4334 Diamondhead 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,204 (+5%) 10mo $174,900 $145 56
4411 Bikini Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,212 (+6%) 9mo $215,000 $177 55
215 Antrim 0.53mi 3/1.0 988 (-14%) 8mo $150,000 $152 43
339 Timberlane 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,033 (-10%) 10mo $175,000 $169 42
3702 La Sabre Dr 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,027 (-10%) 9mo $185,000 $180 41
215 Artemis 0.73mi 3/1.0 984 (-14%) 4mo $185,000 $188 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-25,911
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-35,991
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78218

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Rents YoY
-5.6%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,541 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$325 /mo · $3,904/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$44

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $129 -5% $86 +0% $44 +5% $1 +10% $-41
Rent -10% $-78 -5% $-17 +0% $44 +5% $105 +10% $166
Rate -1.0pp $119 -0.5pp $82 base $44 +0.5pp $5 +1.0pp $-35

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4102 Waikiki Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1167 $1,395 $1.20 15d 1 0.32mi
354 Brettonwood Dr Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,395 $1.32 45d 1 0.39mi
4207 Waikiki Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1144 $1,475 $1.29 45d 1 0.41mi
339 Brettonwood Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1063 $2,000 $1.88 25d 1 0.41mi
258 Antrim Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,595 $1.27 45d 1 0.43mi
3730 La Sabre Dr San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1434 $1,900 $1.32 45d 1 0.50mi
4229 Renault Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,525 $1.32 19d 1 0.50mi
226 Antrim Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 960 $1,395 $1.45 4d 1 0.51mi
258 Cresham Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1383 $1,650 $1.19 45d 1 0.55mi
106 Covina Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1421 $2,000 $1.41 3d 1 0.56mi
1006 Sumner Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,697 $1.29 25d 1 0.57mi
206 Covina Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1332 $2,000 $1.50 25d 1 0.60mi
4431 Myrna Dr San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1186 $1,035 $0.87 16d 1 0.63mi
842 Corinne Dr #21 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1248 $49,000 $39.26 23d 1 0.69mi
6810 Glendora Ave Unit 15 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $865 $0.86 45d 1 0.75mi
3600 Eisenhauer Rd San Antonio, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 681 $1,579 $2.32 0d 17 0.82mi
343 Blaze Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1438 $1,750 $1.22 18d 1 0.85mi
2530 Harry Wurzbach Rd San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,420 $1.49 0d 11 0.89mi
3400 Northeast Pkwy Apt 1116 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.5 950 $1,199 $1.26 45d 1 0.90mi
3400 Northeast Pkwy Apt 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 950 $1,035 $1.09 0d 1 0.93mi
3400 Northeast Pkwy Unit 1808 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1039 $1,199 $1.15 45d 1 0.93mi
2447 Harry Wurzbach Rd Unit 210-D San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $775 $0.86 0d 1 0.95mi
547 Cicero Ave Unit NA San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,525 $1.02 45d 1 0.96mi
2447 Harry Wurzbach Rd Unit 231-I San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $899 $0.90 16d 1 0.97mi
2447 Harry Wurzbach Rd Unit 203-B San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $950 $0.95 23d 1 0.97mi
742 Olney Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1469 $1,445 $0.98 45d 1 1.00mi
143 Huxley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1290 $2,000 $1.55 25d 1 1.03mi
538 Lanark Dr San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 987 $1,295 $1.31 25d 1 1.10mi
538 Lanark Dr San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 987 $1,295 $1.31 18d 1 1.10mi
630 Sumner Dr San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1368 $1,975 $1.44 19d 1 1.21mi
4848 Goldfield San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 930 $1,325 $1.42 45d 1 1.22mi
2355 Austin Hwy Apt 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 908 $873 $0.96 0d 1 1.28mi
245 Deerwood Dr San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 770 $695 $0.90 4d 1 1.32mi
3202 Eisenhauer Rd San Antonio, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1375 $1,795 $1.30 4d 2 1.33mi
3202 Eisenhauer Rd #801 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1407 $1,795 $1.28 4d 1 1.33mi
3158 Eisenhauer Rd San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 733 $1,099 $1.50 45d 1 1.36mi
236 Deerwood Dr San Antonio, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 712 $1,004 $1.41 15d 10 1.36mi
4811 Village Vw San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,450 $1.13 9d 1 1.37mi
515 Blakeley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $2,000 $1.79 18d 1 1.37mi
438 Sumner Dr San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 816 $1,350 $1.65 9d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 New 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 New 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 New 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 New 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 627-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $149,900 New 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,904 · $325/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,904 · $325/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,496
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$3,904
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,480
− Management
−$1,480
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$1,874
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$450
After-tax cash flow
$975/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North East ISD
NCES district ID
4832940
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$57,715
Composite
38.1/100
National rank
#4276
State rank
#276 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
39,428
Household income
$57,285
Rent vs Own
51.8% rent · 48.2% own
Severe rent burden
2508.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 26% White 25% Black 14% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 34% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.17%
Current HPI
271.2807
Rent YoY
▼ -5.56%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $149,900 LERA

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,904 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…