🏗️ New Construction
100 Oliver Dr · Dothan, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$282,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 100 Oliver Drive, our one-story Cali floorplan featured in our Halls Creek community in Dothan, Alabama. This beautiful home is a single-level layout that offers a practical design with 4-bedrooms and 2-bathrooms with just under 1,800 square feet. As you enter the home, to one side, there are two bedrooms with a guest bathroom positioned between them. Slightly down on the opposing wall provides access to the garage and a separate laundry area. Tucked in this area is an additional bedroom. A standout feature is the seamless integration of the kitchen, dining area, and great room in an open concept layout, ideal for hosting guests. The kitchen has white shaker style cabinetry, quar
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2025
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $283k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $768 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $283k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Beverlye Intermediate School (math 6% / reading 25%, grade F, #503 of 627 statewide, top 80%, 388 students, 90% FRL); Dothan Preparatory Academy (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #163 of 257 statewide, top 64%, 1,133 students, 78% FRL); Dothan High School (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #163 of 305 statewide, top 54%, 1,454 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 59% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $72k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.88%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $255,456
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 504 Blackman Rd | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-12%) | 2mo | $218,000 | $140 | 69 |
| 114 Kieran Trce | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,618 (-9%) | 2mo | $255,900 | $158 | 67 |
| 200 Oliver Dr | 0.02mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,016 (+14%) | 1mo | $295,110 | $146 | 66 |
| 204 Thistlewood Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,601 (-10%) | 3mo | $219,000 | $137 | 66 |
| 121 Halls Creek Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,618 (-9%) | 12mo | $265,000 | $164 | 60 |
| 576 Taylor Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,783 (+0%) | 8mo | $223,000 | $125 | 55 |
| 414 Oliver Dr | 0.21mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,016 (+14%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $144 | 52 |
| 2017 Fern Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,850 (+4%) | 10mo | $323,000 | $175 | 47 |
| 118 Kieran Trce | 0.27mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,019 (+14%) | 13mo | $290,000 | $144 | 44 |
| 374 Taylor Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (+13%) | 1mo | $494,000 | $247 | 42 |
| 607 Lakewood Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,004 (+13%) | 7mo | $241,500 | $121 | 37 |
| 4001 Woodberry Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-10%) | 11mo | $210,000 | $131 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $7,565
- Equity at exit
- $38,089
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $69,766
- Equity at exit
- $22,087
Cash invested: $71,528 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36301
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 410
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,207 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,340
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$319 /mo · $3,832/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$673
- Net cashflow
- $768
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,864
- Closing costs
- $7,664
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1605 Ivy Dr Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $3,400 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 413 Christopher Dr Miami, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,900 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,310
- − Property taxes
- −$3,832
- − Insurance
- −$1,277
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,079
- − Management
- −$3,079
- − Depreciation
- −$7,431
- Taxable income
- $5,474
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,314
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story home in Dothan, Alabama, is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It features a modern kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping around the front yard — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping around the front yard — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dothan City
- NCES district ID
- 0101230
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,279
- Composite
- 24.56/100
- National rank
- #7640
- State rank
- #73 of 129 in AL
Livability — Dothan
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #146
- US rank
- #13662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dothan, AL
- City population
- 47,783
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,627
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,280 people
- By 2030
- 112,668 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 116,149 · +5.3%
- By 2050
- 117,805 · +6.8%
- By 2075
- 118,577 · +7.5%
- By 2100
- 110,940 · +0.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.46%
- Current HPI
- 161.1212
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…