Duplex
95 Custer St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
* * * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY * * * 3/2 Double in University Heights area. Close to UB South Campus, Main Street Bus, Rapid Transit, & shops, Steps from Shoshone Park & North Buffalo Rails to Trails path. Many original features including hardwood floors, natural woodwork, kitchen cabinetry. Each unit has a front porch. Property is an estate and is sold “AS IS”. Sewer tax = 98.16
Key facts
- New plumbing
- Updated bathrooms
- New appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two separate electric meters; Two separate gas meters; Two total units; Lot is rectangular, near public transit, on a city street
- Financial info: Owner pays water and trash collection; Operating expenses may include building maintenance and water/sewer (multifamily)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Residential two-unit property; Existing (previously built)
- Construction: Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Composite siding; Block foundation; Copper and PEX plumbing; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated
- Exterior features: Balcony; Porch (open); Partial fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Built-in storage; Natural woodwork
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer (listed in one unit); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $316/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $290k).
- Recommended offer: $281k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,943/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $122k; list at $290k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.34%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $434,461
- List price
- $289,900
- Delta
- -33.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Custer St | 0.11mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,323 (+1%) | 18mo | $275,000 | $118 | 73 |
| 150 Englewood Ave | 0.34mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,239 (-3%) | 5mo | $338,000 | $151 | 70 |
| 19 Dunlop Ave | 0.63mi | 5/2.0 | 2,160 (-6%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $74 | 56 |
| 366 Beard Ave | 0.32mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,482 (+8%) | 17mo | $400,000 | $161 | 53 |
| 319 Lisbon Ave | 0.75mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,263 (-2%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $148 | 52 |
| 235 Heath St | 0.35mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,058 (-11%) | 10mo | $303,000 | $147 | 52 |
| 192 Lisbon Ave | 0.51mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,526 (+10%) | 4mo | $247,000 | $98 | 52 |
| 116 Nicholson St | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,464 (+7%) | 13mo | $151,000 | $61 | 50 |
| 20 Hawthorne Ave | 0.64mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,208 (-4%) | 11mo | $312,000 | $141 | 49 |
| 266 Lasalle Ave | 0.62mi | 6/3.5 (+1) | 2,395 (+4%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $146 | 47 |
| 1829 Hertel Ave | 0.52mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,528 (+10%) | 16mo | $365,000 | $144 | 41 |
| 1 Emsworth Ave | 0.72mi | 5/3.0 | 2,482 (+8%) | 17mo | $250,000 | $101 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,661
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $89,840
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14214
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 16.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,943 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $627/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$618
- Net cashflow
- $632
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $796 | -5% $714 | +0% $632 | +5% $550 | +10% $121 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $399 | -5% $515 | +0% $632 | +5% $748 | +10% $864 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $778 | -0.5pp $705 | base $632 | +0.5pp $557 | +1.0pp $480 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,942 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,471 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,471 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,943 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Custer St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,000 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2193 | $3,750 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1024 | $2,997 | $2.93 | 2d | 10 | 0.35mi |
| 102 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2426 | $2,750 | $1.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 91 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2500 | $2,000 | $0.80 | 2d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 196 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2560 | $2,000 | $0.78 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 63 Montrose Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2240 | $2,000 | $0.89 | 2d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 80 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2591 | $2,800 | $1.08 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,350 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4098 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2108 | $2,200 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $289,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $294,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $294,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $294,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $294,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $294,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$294,900 Active 707-char remark
-
2023-08-08soldstatus $122,500
-
2023-08-03soldstatus $122,500 Closed Sale or Rented 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
* * * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY * * * 3/2 Double in University Heights area. Close to UB South Campus, Main Street Bus, Rapid Transit, & shops, Steps from Shoshone Park & North Buffalo Rails to Trails path. Many original features including hardwood floors, natural woodwork, kitchen cabinetry. Each unit has a front porch. Property is an estate and is sold “AS IS”. Sewer tax = 98.16
-
2023-06-14status Under Contract- Do Not Show 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
* * * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY * * * 3/2 Double in University Heights area. Close to UB South Campus, Main Street Bus, Rapid Transit, & shops, Steps from Shoshone Park & North Buffalo Rails to Trails path. Many original features including hardwood floors, natural woodwork, kitchen cabinetry. Each unit has a front porch. Property is an estate and is sold “AS IS”. Sewer tax = 98.16
-
2023-05-31price $130,000 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
* * * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY * * * 3/2 Double in University Heights area. Close to UB South Campus, Main Street Bus, Rapid Transit, & shops, Steps from Shoshone Park & North Buffalo Rails to Trails path. Many original features including hardwood floors, natural woodwork, kitchen cabinetry. Each unit has a front porch. Property is an estate and is sold “AS IS”. Sewer tax = 98.16
-
2023-05-11status Active 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
* * * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY * * * 3/2 Double in University Heights area. Close to UB South Campus, Main Street Bus, Rapid Transit, & shops, Steps from Shoshone Park & North Buffalo Rails to Trails path. Many original features including hardwood floors, natural woodwork, kitchen cabinetry. Each unit has a front porch. Property is an estate and is sold “AS IS”. Sewer tax = 98.16
-
2023-05-03historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
* * * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY * * * 3/2 Double in University Heights area. Close to UB South Campus, Main Street Bus, Rapid Transit, & shops, Steps from Shoshone Park & North Buffalo Rails to Trails path. Many original features including hardwood floors, natural woodwork, kitchen cabinetry. Each unit has a front porch. Property is an estate and is sold “AS IS”. Sewer tax = 98.16
-
2023-04-17$154,000 Active 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
* * * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY * * * 3/2 Double in University Heights area. Close to UB South Campus, Main Street Bus, Rapid Transit, & shops, Steps from Shoshone Park & North Buffalo Rails to Trails path. Many original features including hardwood floors, natural woodwork, kitchen cabinetry. Each unit has a front porch. Property is an estate and is sold “AS IS”. Sewer tax = 98.16
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $627 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,763 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,136/yr (+$178/mo · 340.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$627
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,825
- − Management
- −$2,825
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable income
- $2,916
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$700
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,880/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,314
- Household income
- $58,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1820.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -282.52%
- Current HPI
- 373.377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.81%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+88.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $289,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $294,900 WNYREIS
- 2023-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $122,500 Public Records
- 2023-08-03 Sold (MLS) $122,500 WNYREIS
- 2023-06-14 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2023-05-31 Price Changed $130,000 WNYREIS
- 2023-05-11 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2023-05-03 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2023-04-17 Listed $154,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $627 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…