CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
No image
C Composite 56.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

1308 W Worley St · Columbia, MO 65203
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1930 Est $205k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute Central Columbia bungalow with a massive lot! Almost 1/2 acre in the middle of town for under $100k! With a little but of clearing this parcel could be perfect for vegetable gardens and self sustained living! Also zoned R-2 for two family dwellings, so you have the option to build another property for an income producing portfolio right in the middle of town!

Key facts

  • Zoned r-2
  • Large lot
  • Listed 7 days

Tags

LARGE LOTZONED R-2FULLY FENCED BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (9.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in MO, #862 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+.
  • Columbia 93 (urban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Middle School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #300 of 391 statewide, top 77%, 504 students, 58% FRL); David H. Hickman High (math 27% / reading 55%, grade F, #236 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 2,044 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 9522% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $117,276 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.38%
Cash-on-cash
3.89%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$204,672
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1308 W Worley St 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 984 (0%) 1mo $129,900 $132 94
1301 Ash St 0.23mi 2/2.0 (+1) 970 (-1%) 2mo $189,500 $195 76
707 Clayton St 0.47mi 2/2.0 (+1) 988 (+0%) 10mo $185,000 $187 60
603 Pennant St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (+1) 844 (-14%) 8mo $159,000 $188 60
1000 Hardin St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,025 (+4%) 6mo $205,000 $200 60
807 Hope Pl 0.51mi 2/1.0 (+1) 868 (-12%) 2mo $189,000 $218 50
704 Hardin St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (+1) 840 (-15%) 7mo $239,000 $285 45
708 Donnelly Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (+1) 840 (-15%) 1mo $232,000 $276 44
123 Anderson Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (+12%) 4mo $235,000 $213 44
605 Donnelly Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 (+1) 840 (-15%) 1mo $215,000 $256 40
601 Ridgeway Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,108 (+13%) 10mo $170,000 $153 38
505 W Worley St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (+1) 840 (-15%) 10mo $175,000 $208 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-9,809
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$17,425
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65203

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
459
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,173 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $877/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$118

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,023
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
105 Clinton Dr Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 830 $1,300 $1.57 21d 1 0.47mi
1003 Hardin St Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,100 $1.16 44d 1 0.48mi
812 Again St Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,300 $1.67 44d 1 0.49mi
607 Ridgeway Ave Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 728 $1,300 $1.79 44d 1 0.60mi
1002 W Broadway Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 788 $1,425 $1.81 44d 1 0.63mi
305 Tiger Ln Columbia, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 615 $941 $1.53 13d 13 0.64mi
2012 W Ash St Columbia, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 680 $879 $1.29 13d 15 0.66mi
924 W Texas Ave Unit B Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 662 $750 $1.13 13d 1 0.73mi
5 S Greenwood Ave Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 1104 $1,600 $1.45 21d 1 0.75mi
1600 Parkside Dr Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 885 $950 $1.07 44d 1 0.78mi
309 Alexander Ave Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 728 $1,200 $1.65 13d 1 0.85mi
111 N Stadium Blvd Columbia, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 628 $755 $1.20 13d 11 0.86mi
1502 Parkade Blvd Unit 2 Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 1.03mi
113 Crestmere Ave Unit 201 Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 1022 $1,750 $1.71 44d 1 1.19mi
2705 W Rollins Rd Unit 4 Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 830 $1,050 $1.27 44d 1 1.41mi
2901 W Rollins Rd Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 854 $1,312 $1.54 13d 2 1.48mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    listed $1,350
  2. 2026-04-07
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-31
    listed $129,900 Active
  4. 2021-10-08
    soldstatus 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Cute Central Columbia bungalow with a massive lot! Almost 1/2 acre in the middle of town for under $100k! With a little but of clearing this parcel could be perfect for vegetable gardens and self sustained living! Also zoned R-2 for two family dwellings, so you have the option to build another property for an income producing portfolio right in the middle of town!

  5. 2021-09-10
    listed $92,000 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Cute Central Columbia bungalow with a massive lot! Almost 1/2 acre in the middle of town for under $100k! With a little but of clearing this parcel could be perfect for vegetable gardens and self sustained living! Also zoned R-2 for two family dwellings, so you have the option to build another property for an income producing portfolio right in the middle of town!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$877 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,260 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$383/yr (+$32/mo · 43.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,073
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$877
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,126
− Management
−$1,126
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$761
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$183
After-tax cash flow
$1,599/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia 93
NCES district ID
2901000
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,547
Composite
31.21/100
National rank
#6036
State rank
#194 of 324 in MO

Livability — Columbia

Score
83/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#862

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbia, MO
County
Boone County · 158,877 people
City population
158,877
Metro
Columbia, MO
Population (ZIP)
61,539
Household income
$79,960
Rent vs Own
37.9% rent · 62.1% own
Severe rent burden
1991.0

Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,891 people
By 2030
217,799 · +7.3%
By 2040
246,789 · +21.6%
By 2050
276,116 · +36.1%
By 2075
348,426 · +71.7%
By 2100
400,856 · +97.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 9% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Chinese 2% Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Boone

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.9% · R 44.1% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+12.5 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -274.18%
Current HPI
194.3615
Rent YoY
▲ 6.09%
Metro
Columbia, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed for Rent $1,350 CBORMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Pending CBORMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $129,900 CBORMLS
  • 2021-10-08 Sold (MLS) CBORMLS
  • 2021-09-10 Listed $92,000 CBORMLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $877 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…