1308 W Worley St · Columbia, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute Central Columbia bungalow with a massive lot! Almost 1/2 acre in the middle of town for under $100k! With a little but of clearing this parcel could be perfect for vegetable gardens and self sustained living! Also zoned R-2 for two family dwellings, so you have the option to build another property for an income producing portfolio right in the middle of town!
Key facts
- Zoned r-2
- Large lot
- Listed 7 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in MO, #862 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Columbia 93 (urban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Middle School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #300 of 391 statewide, top 77%, 504 students, 58% FRL); David H. Hickman High (math 27% / reading 55%, grade F, #236 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 2,044 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 9522% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.89%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1308 W Worley St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 984 (0%) | 1mo | $129,900 | $132 | 94 |
| 1301 Ash St | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 970 (-1%) | 2mo | $189,500 | $195 | 76 |
| 707 Clayton St | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 988 (+0%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $187 | 60 |
| 603 Pennant St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 844 (-14%) | 8mo | $159,000 | $188 | 60 |
| 1000 Hardin St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,025 (+4%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $200 | 60 |
| 807 Hope Pl | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 868 (-12%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $218 | 50 |
| 704 Hardin St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-15%) | 7mo | $239,000 | $285 | 45 |
| 708 Donnelly Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-15%) | 1mo | $232,000 | $276 | 44 |
| 123 Anderson Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+12%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $213 | 44 |
| 605 Donnelly Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-15%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $256 | 40 |
| 601 Ridgeway Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,108 (+13%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $153 | 38 |
| 505 W Worley St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-15%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $208 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-9,809
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $17,425
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65203
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 459
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,173 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $877/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $118
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Clinton Dr Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,300 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1003 Hardin St Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 812 Again St Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,300 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 607 Ridgeway Ave Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1002 W Broadway Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,425 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 305 Tiger Ln Columbia, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $941 | $1.53 | 13d | 13 | 0.64mi |
| 2012 W Ash St Columbia, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $879 | $1.29 | 13d | 15 | 0.66mi |
| 924 W Texas Ave Unit B Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $750 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5 S Greenwood Ave Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1600 Parkside Dr Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $950 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 309 Alexander Ave Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,200 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 111 N Stadium Blvd Columbia, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 628 | $755 | $1.20 | 13d | 11 | 0.86mi |
| 1502 Parkade Blvd Unit 2 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 113 Crestmere Ave Unit 201 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1022 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2705 W Rollins Rd Unit 4 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2901 W Rollins Rd Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,312 | $1.54 | 13d | 2 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-21$1,350
-
2026-04-07status Pending
-
2026-03-31$129,900 Active
-
2021-10-08soldstatus 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Cute Central Columbia bungalow with a massive lot! Almost 1/2 acre in the middle of town for under $100k! With a little but of clearing this parcel could be perfect for vegetable gardens and self sustained living! Also zoned R-2 for two family dwellings, so you have the option to build another property for an income producing portfolio right in the middle of town!
-
2021-09-10$92,000 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Cute Central Columbia bungalow with a massive lot! Almost 1/2 acre in the middle of town for under $100k! With a little but of clearing this parcel could be perfect for vegetable gardens and self sustained living! Also zoned R-2 for two family dwellings, so you have the option to build another property for an income producing portfolio right in the middle of town!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $877 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$383/yr (+$32/mo · 43.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,073
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$877
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,126
- − Management
- −$1,126
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$761
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$183
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,599/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia 93
- NCES district ID
- 2901000
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,547
- Composite
- 31.21/100
- National rank
- #6036
- State rank
- #194 of 324 in MO
Livability — Columbia
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #862
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbia, MO
- County
- Boone County · 158,877 people
- City population
- 158,877
- Metro
- Columbia, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,539
- Household income
- $79,960
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1991.0
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,891 people
- By 2030
- 217,799 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 246,789 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 276,116 · +36.1%
- By 2075
- 348,426 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 400,856 · +97.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 9% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Chinese 2% Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.9% · R 44.1% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+12.5 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -274.18%
- Current HPI
- 194.3615
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.09%
- Metro
- Columbia, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-98.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed for Rent $1,350 CBORMLS
- 2026-04-07 Pending — CBORMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $129,900 CBORMLS
- 2021-10-08 Sold (MLS) — CBORMLS
- 2021-09-10 Listed $92,000 CBORMLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $877 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…