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428 Laurel St
A- Composite 83.8
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$45,000

428 Laurel St · Minersville, PA 17954
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,196 sqft · Townhouse public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1920 1,742 sqft lot Est $68k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention investors and bargain hunters! This spacious 4 bedroom, 1 bath home offers oversized rooms, a functional layout, and endless potential. While it could use some updates and TLC, it's currently livable and ready for your vision. Featuring a small backyard, plenty of interior space, and a price designed to move quickly, this is an excellent opportunity for an investor, flipper, or handy homeowner looking to build equity. Don't wait, opportunities like this don't last long! SOLD AS IS.

Key facts

  • Built 1920

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Aluminum siding exterior; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 15 x 123 feet; Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Oil-fired heating and hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Cap rate 22.2% vs local median 8.0% in Minersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#742 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Minersville Area SD (town): math 21% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #420 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Minersville Area Jshs (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #349 of 437 statewide, top 81%, 527 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 39% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $45,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.56%
Cap rate
22.23%
Cash-on-cash
56.91%
DSCR
3.53
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$68,172
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
528 Lytle St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-2%) 4mo $120,000 $102 86
206 Oak St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+0%) 10mo $82,500 $69 82
444 Lewis St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,158 (-3%) 4mo $45,000 $39 74
651 Pine Hill St 0.20mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (-2%) 13mo $106,900 $91 72
141 Carbon St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,163 (-3%) 5mo $42,000 $36 72
309 Laurel St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,308 (+9%) 13mo $139,900 $107 68
115 S 3rd St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,350 (+13%) 1mo $32,500 $24 68
513 Pottsville 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,150 (-4%) 11mo $45,000 $39 68
200 Oak St 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,148 (-4%) 15mo $65,000 $57 68
220 North St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-8%) 6mo $93,000 $85 63
428 North St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,307 (+9%) 6mo $46,500 $36 59
325 New Castle St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,320 (+10%) 2mo $68,000 $52 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.7%
Equity multiple
4.50×
Total profit
$44,052
Equity at exit
$24,554
10-year hold
IRR
56.8%
Equity multiple
9.24×
Total profit
$103,870
Equity at exit
$41,613

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17954

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $675/yr
Insurance
$19
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$542

Break-even live

Break-even rent $464
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $573 -5% $558 +0% $542 +5% $526 +10% $511
Rent -10% $451 -5% $497 +0% $542 +5% $587 +10% $633
Rate -1.0pp $565 -0.5pp $553 base $542 +0.5pp $530 +1.0pp $518

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
504 Laurel St Minersville, PA 3.0 2.0 1059 $1,150 $1.09 44d 1 0.04mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    remarks 496-char remark
  2. 2026-06-12
    listed $45,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,800
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$675
− Insurance
−$891
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,104
− Management
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$6,196
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,487
After-tax cash flow
$5,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minersville Area SD
NCES district ID
4215510
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$40,865
Composite
29.77/100
National rank
#6433
State rank
#420 of 539 in PA

Livability — Minersville

Score
70/100
State rank
#742
US rank
#7439

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minersville, PA
City population
27,121
Population (ZIP)
4,564

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 11%
Common ancestry
Polish 5% Romanian 5% Subsaharan African 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.65%
Current HPI
209.7647
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $45,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+13.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,968 · +216.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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