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1745 Blue Lagoon Cir 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 45.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0

$354,990

1745 Blue Lagoon Cir · Mascotte, FL 34753
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,839 sqft · Land · 142 Days on market
Built 2025 6,534 sqft lot $82/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Under Construction. Conveniently located with easy access to SR 50 and SR 17, Sunset Lakes Estates is just a short drive from downtown Clermont and Mount Dora, where you can enjoy delicious dining, shopping, or fun on Lake Apopka with friends and family. If you're looking for big-city excitement and entertainment, you're only 45 minutes from downtown Orlando, Disney World, or Universal Studios. Your new home awaits in Lake County! Contact us today to schedule a showing! The Juniper offers the perfect blend of modern design and practical living. From its spacious two-car garage to a welcoming outdoor patio, this home adapts to all your lifes

Key facts

  • Easy access to sr 50
  • Easy access to sr 17
  • Fun on lake apopka

Tags

EASY ACCESS TO SR 50EASY ACCESS TO SR 17SHORT DRIVE FROM MOUNT DORAFUN ON LAKE APOPKA45 MINUTES FROM DISNEY WORLDWELCOMING OUTDOOR PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Home warranty included
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA managed by Edison Association Management; Monthly HOA fee $82.50 (includes grounds maintenance); Deed restrictions; Sidewalks in community; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (20 x 20); Covered parking and driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence, new construction; One story; Faces north; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Block, cement siding and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Projected completion March 2026; Builder: Stanley Martin Homes (Juniper H model)
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch and covered patio; Patio; Lighting; Sidewalks; Sliding doors; Irrigation equipment; Cleared, landscaped corner lot; Paved driveway and paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Double pane windows; ENERGY STAR qualified windows; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups; Additional inside utility / great room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $355k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-205 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $319k (10.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (30.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $247k (30.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#405 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mascotte Elementary School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 855 students, 62% FRL, charter); East Ridge High School (math 41% / reading 52%, grade D-, #216 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 2,604 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$61k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($312k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $247,026 (30.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.47%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$180,165
Equity at exit
$319,803
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
6.44×
Total profit
$540,511
Equity at exit
$689,667

Cash invested: $99,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34753

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,470 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,862
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $774/yr
Insurance
$148
HOA
$82
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$519
Net cashflow
$-205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,729
Max offer price $318,859
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-4 -5% $-104 +0% $-205 +5% $-305 +10% $-829
Rent -10% $-400 -5% $-302 +0% $-205 +5% $-107 +10% $-9
Rate -1.0pp $-26 -0.5pp $-114 base $-205 +0.5pp $-297 +1.0pp $-390

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$88,748
Closing costs
$10,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
405 Eventide Ave Mascotte, FL 4.0 3.0 2000 $2,250 $1.12 21d 1 0.14mi
1600 Mayaro Ct Mascotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1503 $2,000 $1.33 18d 1 0.75mi
232 Boca Ciega Rd Mascotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1280 $2,095 $1.64 13d 1 0.76mi
1864 Piedmont Ct Mascotte, FL 5.0 3.0 1984 $2,290 $1.15 24d 1 0.80mi
1676 Gopher Tree St Mascotte, FL 5.0 3.0 1984 $2,285 $1.15 5d 1 0.93mi
1665 Luft Ln Mascotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1680 $2,030 $1.21 24d 1 1.06mi
1126 Union Ave Mascotte, FL 5.0 3.0 1984 $2,265 $1.14 24d 1 1.06mi
614 Huey St Mascotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1572 $2,071 $1.32 5d 1 1.09mi
6337 Chorus Dr Groveland, FL 3.0 2.0 1772 $2,250 $1.27 24d 1 1.22mi
2425 Begonia St Mascotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1983 $2,350 $1.19 24d 1 1.44mi
1063 Bluegrass Dr Groveland, FL 4.0 2.0 2182 $2,500 $1.15 24d 1 1.48mi
6612 Tempo Way Mascotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1990 $2,600 $1.31 5d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$82 · $984/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    status Active
  3. 2026-05-08
    historical
  4. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  5. 2026-01-17
    price $354,990
  6. 2025-12-09
    listed $339,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$774 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,946 · $246/mo
Expected delta
+$2,172/yr (+$181/mo · 280.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,643
− Mortgage interest
−$19,885
− Property taxes
−$774
− Insurance
−$1,775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,371
− Management
−$2,371
− HOA
−$984
− Depreciation
−$10,327
Taxable loss
−$8,845
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,123
After-tax cash flow
$-332/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Mascotte

Score
71/100
State rank
#405
US rank
#7156

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mascotte, FL
County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
33,565
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
7,985
Household income
$83,868
Rent vs Own
22.5% rent · 77.5% own
Severe rent burden
16.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 25% Black 20% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 32%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.01%
Current HPI
281.96
Rent YoY
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-17 Price Changed $354,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $339,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $774 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…