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8 Fern Fourplex
C+ Composite 60.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.6/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0

$799,900

8 Fern · Worcester, MA 01610
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 4,855 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1890 4,952 sqft lot $165/sqft · 11% above area Est $722k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional 4-unit investment opportunity in a high-demand rental location near Clark University. This property features three occupied units with stable income and a vacant unit ready for an owner-occupant or value-add investor. Current rents are strong with significant upside potential.The building offers 11 bedrooms across 4 units, separate utilities, and strong rental demand driven by its proximity to local universities, employment centers, and public transportation. Additional income opportunities include rent adjustments and the potential installation of common laundry facilities. Off-street parking is available, with ample on-street parking nearby.Ideal for investors seeking reliable cash flow with built-in upside or owner-occupants looking to offset expenses. Don’t miss this high-potential asset.

Key facts

  • Strong rental demand
  • Employment centers
  • Stable income

Tags

HIGH-DEMAND RENTAL LOCATIONSTABLE INCOMESTRONG RENTAL DEMANDLOCAL UNIVERSITIESEMPLOYMENT CENTERSPUBLIC TRANSPORTATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive. Per door: $546/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $800k).
  • Recommended offer: $776k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.1% in Worcester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 87/100 on livability (#9 in MA, #312 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D.
  • Worcester (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #280 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.2%/yr); 25 active listings in the ZIP; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,241/mo this rent would consume 215% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2517% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($776k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $113k; list at $800k implies a 608% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $775,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.57%
Cash-on-cash
11.69%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$721,785
List price
$799,900
Delta
10.82%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19 Woodbine St 0.24mi 9/3.0 (+1) 4,399 (-9%) 2mo $799,900 $182 63
10 Lucian St 0.43mi 9/4.0 (+1) 4,512 (-7%) 1mo $900,000 $199 62
8 Agawam St 0.42mi 8/3.0 4,733 (-2%) 17mo $695,000 $147 58
21 Hitchcock Rd 0.58mi 8/3.0 4,578 (-6%) 6mo $620,000 $135 55
484 Park Ave 0.06mi 9/3.0 (+1) 4,257 (-12%) 16mo $616,000 $145 54
25 Wyman St 0.57mi 9/3.0 (+1) 4,746 (-2%) 11mo $840,000 $177 51
141 Cambridge St 0.70mi 9/3.0 (+1) 4,716 (-3%) 6mo $794,000 $168 48
94 Woodland St 0.47mi 8/4.0 4,300 (-11%) 17mo $790,000 $184 45
20 Columbus St 0.34mi 9/3.0 (+1) 4,307 (-11%) 18mo $950,000 $221 42
7 Wyman St 0.49mi 9/3.0 (+1) 4,161 (-14%) 9mo $955,000 $230 36
47 Hitchcock Rd 0.63mi 9/3.0 (+1) 4,537 (-6%) 19mo $805,000 $177 35
60 Lakewood St 0.63mi 9/3.0 (+1) 4,215 (-13%) 19mo $727,000 $172 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.73% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$61,515
Equity at exit
$203,637
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$202,972
Equity at exit
$222,961

Cash invested: $223,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01610

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
-2.2%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
28.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,241 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,195
Tax from tax record
$590 /mo · $7,075/yr
Insurance
$333
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,941
Net cashflow
$2,183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,478
Max offer price $799,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,636 -5% $2,409 +0% $2,183 +5% $1,956 +10% $1,730
Rent -10% $1,453 -5% $1,818 +0% $2,183 +5% $2,548 +10% $2,913
Rate -1.0pp $2,586 -0.5pp $2,386 base $2,183 +0.5pp $1,975 +1.0pp $1,765

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $9,241

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$199,975
Closing costs
$23,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-08
    listed $799,900 New 821-char remark
    Show marketing remark (821 chars)

    Exceptional 4-unit investment opportunity in a high-demand rental location near Clark University. This property features three occupied units with stable income and a vacant unit ready for an owner-occupant or value-add investor. Current rents are strong with significant upside potential.The building offers 11 bedrooms across 4 units, separate utilities, and strong rental demand driven by its proximity to local universities, employment centers, and public transportation. Additional income opportunities include rent adjustments and the potential installation of common laundry facilities. Off-street parking is available, with ample on-street parking nearby.Ideal for investors seeking reliable cash flow with built-in upside or owner-occupants looking to offset expenses. Don’t miss this high-potential asset.

  2. 1999-03-31
    soldstatus $113,000
  3. 1986-03-03
    soldstatus $123,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,075 · $590/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,457 · $705/mo
Expected delta
+$1,382/yr (+$115/mo · 19.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$110,892
− Mortgage interest
−$44,807
− Property taxes
−$7,075
− Insurance
−$4,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,871
− Management
−$8,871
− Depreciation
−$23,270
Taxable income
$13,998
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,360
After-tax cash flow
$22,833/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Worcester
NCES district ID
2513230
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,063
Composite
20.3/100
National rank
#8615
State rank
#280 of 302 in MA

Livability — Worcester

Score
87/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#312

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Worcester, MA
County
Worcester County · 487,911 people
City population
207,324
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
Population (ZIP)
30,444
Household income
$51,472
Rent vs Own
80.8% rent · 19.2% own
Severe rent burden
2517.0

Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
850,858 people
By 2030
860,403 · +1.1%
By 2040
869,902 · +2.2%
By 2050
869,110 · +2.1%
By 2075
870,120 · +2.3%
By 2100
829,703 · -2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 42% White 34% Two or more races 21% Black 13% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Worcester

2024 margin
D (+10.0) · D 53.9% · R 43.9% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: 10.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.0 2020: D+17.8 2016: D+10.5 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.73%
Current HPI
485.4378
Rent YoY
▼ -2.22%
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+549.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $799,900 MLS PIN
  • 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
  • 1986-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $123,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,075 · -10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…