Fourplex
8 Fern · Worcester, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- ARV discount +2.6/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
$799,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Exceptional 4-unit investment opportunity in a high-demand rental location near Clark University. This property features three occupied units with stable income and a vacant unit ready for an owner-occupant or value-add investor. Current rents are strong with significant upside potential.The building offers 11 bedrooms across 4 units, separate utilities, and strong rental demand driven by its proximity to local universities, employment centers, and public transportation. Additional income opportunities include rent adjustments and the potential installation of common laundry facilities. Off-street parking is available, with ample on-street parking nearby.Ideal for investors seeking reliable cash flow with built-in upside or owner-occupants looking to offset expenses. Don’t miss this high-potential asset.
Key facts
- Strong rental demand
- Employment centers
- Stable income
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive. Per door: $546/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $800k).
- Recommended offer: $776k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.1% in Worcester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#9 in MA, #312 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D.
- Worcester (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #280 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.2%/yr); 25 active listings in the ZIP; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,241/mo this rent would consume 215% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2517% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($776k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $113k; list at $800k implies a 608% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.69%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $721,785
- List price
- $799,900
- Delta
- 10.82%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Woodbine St | 0.24mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 4,399 (-9%) | 2mo | $799,900 | $182 | 63 |
| 10 Lucian St | 0.43mi | 9/4.0 (+1) | 4,512 (-7%) | 1mo | $900,000 | $199 | 62 |
| 8 Agawam St | 0.42mi | 8/3.0 | 4,733 (-2%) | 17mo | $695,000 | $147 | 58 |
| 21 Hitchcock Rd | 0.58mi | 8/3.0 | 4,578 (-6%) | 6mo | $620,000 | $135 | 55 |
| 484 Park Ave | 0.06mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 4,257 (-12%) | 16mo | $616,000 | $145 | 54 |
| 25 Wyman St | 0.57mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 4,746 (-2%) | 11mo | $840,000 | $177 | 51 |
| 141 Cambridge St | 0.70mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 4,716 (-3%) | 6mo | $794,000 | $168 | 48 |
| 94 Woodland St | 0.47mi | 8/4.0 | 4,300 (-11%) | 17mo | $790,000 | $184 | 45 |
| 20 Columbus St | 0.34mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 4,307 (-11%) | 18mo | $950,000 | $221 | 42 |
| 7 Wyman St | 0.49mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 4,161 (-14%) | 9mo | $955,000 | $230 | 36 |
| 47 Hitchcock Rd | 0.63mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 4,537 (-6%) | 19mo | $805,000 | $177 | 35 |
| 60 Lakewood St | 0.63mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 4,215 (-13%) | 19mo | $727,000 | $172 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.73% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $61,515
- Equity at exit
- $203,637
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $202,972
- Equity at exit
- $222,961
Cash invested: $223,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01610
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- -2.2%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 28.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,241 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,195
- Tax from tax record
- −$590 /mo · $7,075/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,941
- Net cashflow
- $2,183
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,636 | -5% $2,409 | +0% $2,183 | +5% $1,956 | +10% $1,730 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,453 | -5% $1,818 | +0% $2,183 | +5% $2,548 | +10% $2,913 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,586 | -0.5pp $2,386 | base $2,183 | +0.5pp $1,975 | +1.0pp $1,765 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | 1 | $9,240 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,310 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,310 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $2,310 |
| #4 | 3 | 1 | $2,310 |
| Total (4 units) | $9,241 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,975
- Closing costs
- $23,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-08$799,900 New 821-char remark
Show marketing remark (821 chars)
Exceptional 4-unit investment opportunity in a high-demand rental location near Clark University. This property features three occupied units with stable income and a vacant unit ready for an owner-occupant or value-add investor. Current rents are strong with significant upside potential.The building offers 11 bedrooms across 4 units, separate utilities, and strong rental demand driven by its proximity to local universities, employment centers, and public transportation. Additional income opportunities include rent adjustments and the potential installation of common laundry facilities. Off-street parking is available, with ample on-street parking nearby.Ideal for investors seeking reliable cash flow with built-in upside or owner-occupants looking to offset expenses. Don’t miss this high-potential asset.
-
1999-03-31soldstatus $113,000
-
1986-03-03soldstatus $123,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,075 · $590/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,457 · $705/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,382/yr (+$115/mo · 19.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $110,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,807
- − Property taxes
- −$7,075
- − Insurance
- −$4,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,871
- − Management
- −$8,871
- − Depreciation
- −$23,270
- Taxable income
- $13,998
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,360
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Worcester
- NCES district ID
- 2513230
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,063
- Composite
- 20.3/100
- National rank
- #8615
- State rank
- #280 of 302 in MA
Livability — Worcester
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #312
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Worcester, MA
- County
- Worcester County · 487,911 people
- City population
- 207,324
- Metro
- Worcester, MA-CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,444
- Household income
- $51,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2517.0
Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 850,858 people
- By 2030
- 860,403 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 869,902 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 869,110 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 870,120 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 829,703 · -2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% White 34% Two or more races 21% Black 13% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Worcester
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.0) · D 53.9% · R 43.9% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: 10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.0 2020: D+17.8 2016: D+10.5 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.73%
- Current HPI
- 485.4378
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.22%
- Metro
- Worcester, MA-CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
|
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
|
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+549.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $799,900 MLS PIN
- 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 1986-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $123,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2023): $7,075 · -10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…