Triplex
45 Crane St · Depew, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors!! You won't want to miss out on an outstanding opportunity to own this 3 unit Cash Cow. With all three units currently rented this gem is set for you to just sit back and make money. Notable updates and improvements include bathroom, kitchen & flooring. Call today to schedule your private showing.
Key facts
- Practical layouts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $466/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $219k).
- Recommended offer: $199k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 3.7% in Depew — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#408 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Depew Union Free School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #461 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,948/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 854% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $219k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.34%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $331,520
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109-111 Sawyer Ave | 0.43mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,100 (-6%) | 11mo | $310,000 | $148 | 55 |
| 59 Laverack Ave | 0.58mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,264 (+1%) | 19mo | $310,000 | $137 | 50 |
| 134 Sawyer Ave | 0.46mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,058 (-8%) | 18mo | $275,000 | $134 | 41 |
| 51 Laverack Ave Ave | 0.58mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,039 (-9%) | 23mo | $305,000 | $150 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $64,915
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.60×
- Total profit
- $220,611
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14043
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 13.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,948 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$482 /mo · $5,784/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$829
- Net cashflow
- $1,397
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2.0 | 1.5 | $3,948 |
| #1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,316 |
| #2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,316 |
| #3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,316 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,948 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowing St Lancaster, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-02-15status Pending
-
2025-11-03$219,000 Active
-
2024-02-15historical
-
2023-10-17price $225,000
-
2023-08-15$250,000 Active
-
2020-07-15soldstatus $125,000
-
2020-07-01soldstatus $125,000 Closed Sale or Rented 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Calling all investors!! You won't want to miss out on an outstanding opportunity to own this 3 unit Cash Cow. With all three units currently rented this gem is set for you to just sit back and make money. Notable updates and improvements include bathroom, kitchen & flooring. Call today to schedule your private showing.
-
2020-03-13status Pending Sale 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Calling all investors!! You won't want to miss out on an outstanding opportunity to own this 3 unit Cash Cow. With all three units currently rented this gem is set for you to just sit back and make money. Notable updates and improvements include bathroom, kitchen & flooring. Call today to schedule your private showing.
-
2020-03-10$135,000 Active 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Calling all investors!! You won't want to miss out on an outstanding opportunity to own this 3 unit Cash Cow. With all three units currently rented this gem is set for you to just sit back and make money. Notable updates and improvements include bathroom, kitchen & flooring. Call today to schedule your private showing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,784 · $482/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,784 · $482/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$5,784
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,790
- − Management
- −$3,790
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable income
- $14,279
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,427
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,340/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Depew Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609030
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,488
- Composite
- 38.33/100
- National rank
- #4224
- State rank
- #461 of 590 in NY
Livability — Depew
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #408
- US rank
- #7016
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Depew, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 25,098
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,098
- Household income
- $74,112
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 854.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 30% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Arabic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.13%
- Current HPI
- 292.1082
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.75%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+62.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-15 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $219,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-02-15 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2023-10-17 Price Changed $225,000 WNYREIS
- 2023-08-15 Listed $250,000 WNYREIS
- 2020-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-01 Sold (MLS) $125,000 WNYREIS
- 2020-03-13 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2020-03-10 Listed $135,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,784 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…