1629 Barcelona Ave · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect investment opportunity home and lot included. Property is currently under construction selling as is and comes with approved plans, renderings, windstorm certification, and all permits already approved.
Key facts
- Approved plans
- 3,500 sq ft lot
- Built 2026
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.9% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment F.
- Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dishman El (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 320 students, 95% FRL); Gutierrez Middle (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 819 students, 71% FRL); Harlingen H S (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,632 statewide, top 75%, 1,942 students, 82% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 575 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.53%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,556
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -48.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 W Montana Ave | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 854 (-1%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $111 | 55 |
| 1014 Beaumont St | 1.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 880 (+2%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $188 | 54 |
| 1713 Farley St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+17%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $139 | 46 |
| 210 E Linda St | 1.25mi | 2/1.5 | 1,032 (+19%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $160 | 38 |
| 22287 E Shelley Dr | 1.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 784 (-9%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $57 | 33 |
| 718 Pittman St | 1.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,042 (+21%) | 10mo | $155,300 | $149 | 28 |
| 510 Ferree St | 1.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,048 (+21%) | 32mo | $147,653 | $141 | 11 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $9,479
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $38,449
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active
- Median asking
- $100,500 ($94/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 123 d
- This list price
- 20% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +86.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78550
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 575
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,123 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $396 | -5% $369 | +0% $342 | +5% $314 | +10% $287 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $253 | -5% $297 | +0% $342 | +5% $386 | +10% $430 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $381 | -0.5pp $362 | base $342 | +0.5pp $321 | +1.0pp $300 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2104 Multi National Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 93d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2005 Southridge Ave Unit A Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 848 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 93d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2204 Northridge Ave Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 93d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2204 Northridge Ave Unit 23 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 70d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2205 Multi National Unit A Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 93d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2211 Northridge Ave Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 877 | $1,150 | $1.31 | 93d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2209 Multi National Unit D Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 93d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2218 Multi National Unit B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 877 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 63d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2219 Northridge Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 63d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 18586 Primera Rd Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 93d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2101 N G St Unit B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $950 | $0.95 | 70d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1917 New Combes Hwy Unit H Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $975 | $0.89 | 70d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 20558 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 93d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 20550 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 93d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Single-family residence (house)Single-story
- Construction
- Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features
- Metal roofLot on approximately 0.08 acresLocated in Avondale Subdivision
Interior
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Interior features
- One full bathroom
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $79,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $79,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $79,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $79,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $79,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $79,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $79,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $79,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $79,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $79,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $79,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $79,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $79,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $79,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $79,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $79,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $79,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $79,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $79,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $79,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $79,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $79,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $79,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $79,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $79,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $79,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $79,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $79,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $79,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $79,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $79,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $79,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $79,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $79,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $79,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $79,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $79,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $79,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $79,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 139 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,078
- − Management
- −$1,078
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $3,020
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$725
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,374/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This single-family home is under construction with walls in place and utilities ready. It's a good investment opportunity with cosmetic completion needed for a move-in-ready condition.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Install flooring — Improves living space and rental appeal ↑
- Both Complete interior finishes — Finishes the home for move-in readiness ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlingen CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,182
- Composite
- 24.94/100
- National rank
- #7566
- State rank
- #647 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlingen, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 441,603 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,335
- Household income
- $49,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 167.7038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.45%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+5.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $79,000 RGVMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $85,000 RGVMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $90,000 RGVMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $85,000 RGVMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $90,000 RGVMLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $95,000 RGVMLS
- 2026-01-04 Price Changed $95,000 RGVMLS
- 2025-07-14 Price Changed $57,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed $57,500 RGVMLS
- 2025-06-02 Listed $59,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-02-25 Price Changed $59,000 RGVMLS
- 2024-10-23 Price Changed $64,999 RGVMLS
- 2024-08-28 Price Changed $69,000 RGVMLS
- 2024-06-14 Price Changed $72,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-06-14 Price Changed $72,500 RGVMLS
- 2024-04-09 Listed $74,999 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-03-26 Price Changed $74,999 RGVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…