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20478 Old Covington Hwy
C- Composite 52.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$274,900

20478 Old Covington Hwy · Hammond, LA 70403
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1968 2.41 ac lot $126/sqft · 26% below area Est $355k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated on 2.41 acres with a stocked pond, this updated home offers space, comfort, and practical features both inside and out. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features two separate living areas, including a living room and a den, providing flexibility for everyday living and entertaining. Recent updates include new flooring and fresh paint throughout, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen is equipped with quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances, offering both style and functionality. A whole-home generator adds peace of mind and reliability year-round. The 2.41-acre property includes a large, stocked pond, adding a scenic centerpiece to the property. The home is located in Flood Zone X, meaning no flood insurance is required. Additional features include a large carport, an oversized patio ideal for outdoor enjoyment, and an outside storage shed for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. Schedule your private showing today and explore all the space and possibilities this property has to offer.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Oversized patio
  • Whole-home generator

Tags

TWO SEPARATE LIVING AREASQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWHOLE-HOME GENERATORLARGE CARPORTOVERSIZED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (12.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.0% in Hammond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#77 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute D+, schools D.
  • Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 329 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,403/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1201% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $163k; list at $275k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $240,256 (12.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.16%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$355,436
List price
$274,900
Delta
-22.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
43352 Rainier Dr 0.40mi 3/2.5 2,185 (0%) 4mo $305,000 $140 76
20299 Camden Ln 0.40mi 3/2.5 2,185 (0%) 7mo $305,000 $140 74
20383 Kingland Dr 0.20mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,185 (0%) 18mo $323,000 $148 68
20243 Kingland Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 2,139 (-2%) 15mo $307,500 $144 63
43450 Denali Dr 0.63mi 3/2.5 2,185 (0%) 9mo $312,000 $143 61
20235 Camden Ln 0.51mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,185 (0%) 19mo $315,000 $144 53
43449 Denali Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,951 (-11%) 1mo $339,000 $174 50
43421 Biscayne Dr 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,900 (-13%) 2mo $299,000 $157 45
43460 Denali Dr 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,896 (-13%) 2mo $297,500 $157 42
20216 Camden Ln 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,927 (-12%) 12mo $310,000 $161 40
43459 Denali Dr 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,927 (-12%) 8mo $297,000 $154 38
20193 Long Lake Dr 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,927 (-12%) 13mo $285,000 $148 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-42,199
Equity at exit
$40,988
10-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-50,218
Equity at exit
$23,768

Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70403

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
329
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,403 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,669/yr
Insurance
$115
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$505
Net cashflow
$136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,230
Max offer price $274,900
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,725
Closing costs
$8,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20175 Kingland Dr Hammond, LA 3.0 2.5 2300 $2,300 $1.00 43d 1 0.57mi
43293 Quiet Lake Dr Hammond, LA 4.0 2.0 1850 $3,840 $2.08 43d 1 0.87mi
44243 Kendalwood Dr Hammond, LA 3.0 2.0 1826 $2,200 $1.20 43d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $274,900 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $274,900 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $274,900 Active 158 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $274,900 Active 157 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $274,900 Active 156 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $274,900 Active 154 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $274,900 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $274,900 Active 151 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    pricestatus $274,900 Active 150 DOM
  10. 2026-03-25
    price $284,900 1030-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1030 chars)

    Situated on 2.41 acres with a stocked pond, this updated home offers space, comfort, and practical features both inside and out. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features two separate living areas, including a living room and a den, providing flexibility for everyday living and entertaining. Recent updates include new flooring and fresh paint throughout, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen is equipped with quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances, offering both style and functionality. A whole-home generator adds peace of mind and reliability year-round. The 2.41-acre property includes a large, stocked pond, adding a scenic centerpiece to the property. The home is located in Flood Zone X, meaning no flood insurance is required. Additional features include a large carport, an oversized patio ideal for outdoor enjoyment, and an outside storage shed for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. Schedule your private showing today and explore all the space and possibilities this property has to offer.

  11. 2026-03-25
    price $284,900 1030-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1030 chars)

    Situated on 2.41 acres with a stocked pond, this updated home offers space, comfort, and practical features both inside and out. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features two separate living areas, including a living room and a den, providing flexibility for everyday living and entertaining. Recent updates include new flooring and fresh paint throughout, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen is equipped with quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances, offering both style and functionality. A whole-home generator adds peace of mind and reliability year-round. The 2.41-acre property includes a large, stocked pond, adding a scenic centerpiece to the property. The home is located in Flood Zone X, meaning no flood insurance is required. Additional features include a large carport, an oversized patio ideal for outdoor enjoyment, and an outside storage shed for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. Schedule your private showing today and explore all the space and possibilities this property has to offer.

  12. 2025-12-22
    listed $289,900 Active 1030-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1030 chars)

    Situated on 2.41 acres with a stocked pond, this updated home offers space, comfort, and practical features both inside and out. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features two separate living areas, including a living room and a den, providing flexibility for everyday living and entertaining. Recent updates include new flooring and fresh paint throughout, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen is equipped with quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances, offering both style and functionality. A whole-home generator adds peace of mind and reliability year-round. The 2.41-acre property includes a large, stocked pond, adding a scenic centerpiece to the property. The home is located in Flood Zone X, meaning no flood insurance is required. Additional features include a large carport, an oversized patio ideal for outdoor enjoyment, and an outside storage shed for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. Schedule your private showing today and explore all the space and possibilities this property has to offer.

  13. 2025-12-22
    listed $289,900 Active 1030-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1030 chars)

    Situated on 2.41 acres with a stocked pond, this updated home offers space, comfort, and practical features both inside and out. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features two separate living areas, including a living room and a den, providing flexibility for everyday living and entertaining. Recent updates include new flooring and fresh paint throughout, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen is equipped with quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances, offering both style and functionality. A whole-home generator adds peace of mind and reliability year-round. The 2.41-acre property includes a large, stocked pond, adding a scenic centerpiece to the property. The home is located in Flood Zone X, meaning no flood insurance is required. Additional features include a large carport, an oversized patio ideal for outdoor enjoyment, and an outside storage shed for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. Schedule your private showing today and explore all the space and possibilities this property has to offer.

  14. 2025-11-28
    price $289,900
  15. 2025-11-28
    price $289,900
  16. 2025-11-21
    price $295,000
  17. 2025-11-11
    price $295,000
  18. 2025-10-21
    price $299,900
  19. 2025-10-21
    price $299,900
  20. 2025-09-26
    price $305,000
  21. 2025-09-25
    price $305,000
  22. 2025-09-10
    price $310,000
  23. 2025-09-10
    price $310,000
  24. 2025-08-29
    listed $315,000 Active
  25. 2025-08-29
    listed $310,000 Active
  26. 2025-06-10
    soldstatus $163,000 Closed
  27. 2025-05-05
    historical Active Under Contract
  28. 2025-04-24
    price $215,000
  29. 2025-04-24
    price $215,000
  30. 2025-04-19
    price $219,000
  31. 2025-04-19
    price $219,000
  32. 2025-04-14
    price $225,000
  33. 2025-04-14
    price $225,000
  34. 2025-04-12
    price $229,000
  35. 2025-04-12
    price $229,000
  36. 2025-04-09
    price $230,000
  37. 2025-04-09
    price $230,000
  38. 2025-04-01
    price $235,000
  39. 2025-04-01
    price $235,000
  40. 2025-03-24
    price $237,000
  41. 2025-03-24
    price $237,000
  42. 2025-03-19
    price $239,000
  43. 2025-03-19
    price $239,000
  44. 2025-03-10
    price $240,000
  45. 2025-03-10
    price $240,000
  46. 2025-02-03
    price $245,000
  47. 2025-02-03
    price $245,000
  48. 2024-12-03
    listed $250,000 Active
  49. 2024-12-03
    listed $250,000 Active
  50. 1994-05-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,831
− Mortgage interest
−$15,399
− Property taxes
−$1,669
− Insurance
−$2,172
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,306
− Management
−$2,306
− Depreciation
−$7,997
Taxable loss
−$3,019
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$725
After-tax cash flow
$2,360/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tangipahoa Parish
NCES district ID
2201680
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$41,283
Composite
19.94/100
National rank
#8676
State rank
#63 of 98 in LA

Livability — Hammond

Score
69/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#8868

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tangipahoa Parish · 85,958 people
City population
51,394
Metro
Hammond, LA
Population (ZIP)
30,173
Household income
$50,976
Rent vs Own
33.6% rent · 66.4% own
Severe rent burden
1201.0

Population outlook (Tangipahoa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,204 people
By 2030
151,413 · +5.0%
By 2040
164,374 · +14.0%
By 2050
175,427 · +21.7%
By 2075
195,165 · +35.3%
By 2100
201,641 · +39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tangipahoa

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.6% · R 68.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: -30.9pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+32.6 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+30.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.04%
Current HPI
127.4535
Rent YoY
▲ 0.33%
Metro
Hammond, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14.0% since first listed
41 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $284,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $284,900 GBRMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $289,900 GBRMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $289,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-11-28 Price Changed $289,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-11-28 Price Changed $289,900 GSREIN
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $295,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $295,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $299,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $299,900 GSREIN
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $305,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Price Changed $305,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $310,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $310,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-08-29 Listed $310,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Listed $315,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-06-10 Sold (MLS) $163,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-05-05 Contingent GSREIN
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $215,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $215,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-04-19 Price Changed $219,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-04-19 Price Changed $219,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-04-14 Price Changed $225,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-04-14 Price Changed $225,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-04-12 Price Changed $229,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-04-12 Price Changed $229,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-04-09 Price Changed $230,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Price Changed $230,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-04-01 Price Changed $235,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-04-01 Price Changed $235,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-03-24 Price Changed $237,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-03-24 Price Changed $237,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-03-19 Price Changed $239,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-03-19 Price Changed $239,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-03-10 Price Changed $240,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-03-10 Price Changed $240,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-02-03 Price Changed $245,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-02-03 Price Changed $245,000 GSREIN
  • 2024-12-03 Listed $250,000 GSREIN
  • 2024-12-03 Listed $250,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 1994-05-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,669 · +91.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…