3528 Winsford Drive Site 365 · Jackson, MI 49201

$103,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured · 45 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.5/30.0
• DSCR +7.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.3/10.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Live the Difference in this Charming Home ~ Corner Lot!

Key facts

• Corner lot
• Built 2026
• Listed 44 days

Tags

• CORNER LOT

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $103,900

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family residence; Active listing
• Construction: Built in 2026 (new construction/spec)
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,456 (listed)

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (full)
• Interior features: Spec-built home (The Reserves plan)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $104k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
• Recommended offer: $101k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
• Northwest Community Schools (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $718 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $100,783 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.75%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.78%
• DSCR: 1.39
• GRM: 7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 2.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.10×
• Total profit: $2,961
• Equity at exit: $15,492

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.67×
• Total profit: $48,442
• Equity at exit: $8,983

Cash invested: $29,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 49201

• Rents YoY: 10.3%
• Active inventory: 362
• Price-to-rent: 7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,178 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$545
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$130 /mo · $1,558/yr
• Insurance: −$43
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$247
• Net cashflow: $213

Break-even live

Break-even rent $909

Max offer price $103,900

Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $285	-5% $249	+0% $213	+5% $177	+10% $141
Rent	-10% $120	-5% $166	+0% $213	+5% $259	+10% $306
Rate	-1.0pp $265	-0.5pp $239	base $213	+0.5pp $186	+1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,975
• Closing costs: $3,117
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3004 N Pointe Dr Jackson, MI	2.0	2.0	945	$1,025	$1.08	44d	1	0.89mi
3999 Sherwood Lakes Blvd Jackson, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,339	$1.27	44d	1	1.22mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-03
   days on market $103,900 Active 45 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $103,900 Active 44 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $103,900 Active 43 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $103,900 Active 42 DOM
5. 2026-05-30
   days on market $103,900 Active 41 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,139
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,820
• − Property taxes: −$1,558
• − Insurance: −$520
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,131
• − Management: −$1,131
• − Depreciation: −$3,023
• Taxable income: $956
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$229
• After-tax cash flow: $2,324/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This charming corner lot home is in good condition with no visible repairs needed. It has a good exterior, interior, and landscaping, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters.
• Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can add value and improve the home's overall appearance.
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers or renters.
• Both Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can make the bathrooms more functional and appealing to potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters. ↑
• Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can add value and improve the home's overall appearance. ↑
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
• Both Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can make the bathrooms more functional and appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Northwest Community Schools
• NCES district ID: 2626010
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $47,509
• Composite: 25.88/100
• National rank: #7342
• State rank: #360 of 540 in MI

Livability — Jackson

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #197
• US rank: #4970

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Jackson County · 85,581 people
• City population: 85,581
• Metro: Jackson, MI
• Population (ZIP): 49,107
• Household income: $74,484
• Rent vs Own: 25.8% rent · 74.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 840.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 156,365 people
• By 2030: 153,123 · -2.1%
• By 2040: 144,981 · -7.3%
• By 2050: 135,671 · -13.2%
• By 2075: 113,833 · -27.2%
• By 2100: 86,592 · -44.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -198.89%
• Current HPI: 185.3773
• Rent YoY: ▲ 10.32%
• Metro: Jackson, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B