CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1200 Thirteenth Ave
C Composite 59.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1200 Thirteenth Ave · Albany, GA 31707
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,156 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1952 0.34 ac lot Est $135k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity. Add this income-producing property to your portfolio today! Contact your Realtor for more information.

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 1952
  • Listed 77 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($90/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.0% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sherwood Acres Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #996 of 1,228 statewide, top 83%, 642 students, 100% FRL); Albany Middle School (math 5% / reading 8%, grade F, #457 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 833 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 79% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
5.99%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$135,252
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1917 Palmyra Rd 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+6%) 1mo $143,000 $117 65
2008 N Harding St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,215 (+5%) 13mo $120,000 $99 61
2409 Hoover St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,214 (+5%) 20mo $206,000 $170 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-9,629
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$16,255
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31707

Rents YoY
9.4%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$985 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $975
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $61 -5% $34 +0% $7 +5% $-19 +10% $-46
Rent -10% $-70 -5% $-31 +0% $7 +5% $46 +10% $85
Rate -1.0pp $55 -0.5pp $32 base $7 +0.5pp $-17 +1.0pp $-42

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1314 9th Ave Albany, GA 3.0 1.0 1090 $1,000 $0.92 23d 1 0.38mi
903 7th Ave Apt A Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 912 $825 $0.90 23d 1 0.57mi
2607 Cardinal St Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 23d 1 0.85mi
914 20th Ave Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 988 $815 $0.82 45d 1 0.88mi
900 20th Ave Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 850 $800 $0.94 23d 1 0.90mi
820 W 3rd Ave Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 1270 $700 $0.55 23d 1 0.96mi
1308 Maryland Dr Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 988 $750 $0.76 23d 1 1.07mi
1905 Elkhorn Ln Unit B Albany, GA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,000 $0.91 23d 1 1.07mi
1900 Buck Ln Albany, GA 3.0 2.5 1280 $1,195 $0.93 23d 1 1.08mi
906 N Van Buren St Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 835 $695 $0.83 23d 1 1.09mi
1110 Rawson Dr Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 1300 $875 $0.67 23d 1 1.12mi
1111 N Madison St Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 1460 $875 $0.60 23d 1 1.12mi
1107 N Madison St Albany, GA 2.0 2.0 1460 $1,375 $0.94 23d 1 1.14mi
3315 Sylvester Rd Unit 63 Albany, GA 3.0 2.0 1024 $900 $0.88 23d 1 1.20mi
612 Florence Dr Albany, GA 3.0 1.0 1428 $1,200 $0.84 23d 1 1.21mi
2001 Dawson Rd Albany, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 952 $975 $1.02 23d 7 1.26mi
701 W Society Ave Albany, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0 723 $649 $0.90 23d 1 1.32mi
1204 Julia Ave Apt B Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 796 $900 $1.13 23d 1 1.34mi
2510 Barnesdale Way Unit 4 Albany, GA 2.0 2.0 1081 $1,175 $1.09 23d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $95,000 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $95,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  15. 2026-04-09
    status Active
  16. 2026-03-27
    status Pending
  17. 2024-02-16
    listed $95,000 Active
  18. 2022-12-05
    soldstatus $916,630

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,288 · $107/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,288 · $107/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,815
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,288
− Insurance
−$1,978
− Repairs & maintenance
−$945
− Management
−$945
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable loss
−$1,426
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$342
After-tax cash flow
$432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dougherty County
NCES district ID
1301830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$33,105
Composite
11.31/100
National rank
#9716
State rank
#163 of 174 in GA

Livability — Albany

Score
60/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#18903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, GA
County
Dougherty County · 89,040 people
City population
89,040
Metro
Albany, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,679
Household income
$50,862
Rent vs Own
57.3% rent · 42.7% own
Severe rent burden
1572.0

Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,551 people
By 2030
80,637 · -4.6%
By 2040
72,090 · -14.7%
By 2050
64,056 · -24.2%
By 2075
46,332 · -45.2%
By 2100
33,127 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 31% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
2008→2024 swing
+6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -130.86%
Current HPI
173.4443
Rent YoY
▲ 9.39%
Metro
Albany, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-89.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending SWGABOR
  • 2026-04-09 Relisted SWGABOR
  • 2026-03-27 Pending SWGABOR
  • 2024-02-16 Listed $95,000 SWGABOR
  • 2022-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $916,630 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,288 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…