604 Pine St · Cambridge, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check out this spacious and versatile 4 bedroom, 1. 1/2- bath home ready for its new owner! This well-maintained property features: One bedroom and full bath on the main level, nice size livingroom , dinningroom, three additional bedrooms upstairs with a half bathroom. Bright enclosed front porch currently being used as a home office, additional storage /walk in closet space upstairs. detached shed for extra storage and a brand -new roof for a piece of mind. Plenty of space, functionality, and recent upgrades make this home a must see!
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- Detached shed
- Enclosed front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 4.3% in Cambridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#255 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
- Dorchester County Public Schools (rural): math 10% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #23 of 24 in MD (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 294 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Dorchester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dorchester County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $90k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $90k implies a 260% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.52%
- DSCR
- 3.25
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,156
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -46.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 638 Douglas St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 1,942 (+3%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $118 | 79 |
| 314 Muir St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,796 (-4%) | 1mo | $76,500 | $43 | 72 |
| 705 Peachblossom Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 | 1,803 (-4%) | 7mo | $335,000 | $186 | 66 |
| 634 Douglas St | 0.19mi | 4/3.5 | 2,075 (+10%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $113 | 62 |
| 632 Douglas St | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,726 (-8%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $130 | 60 |
| 306 Oakley St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,905 (+1%) | 6mo | $415,000 | $218 | 59 |
| 210 Choptank Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,744 (-7%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $140 | 51 |
| 107 W End Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,836 (-2%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $150 | 49 |
| 201 Washington St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,642 (-13%) | 4mo | $188,000 | $114 | 46 |
| 123 Choptank Ave | 0.66mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,097 (+12%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $41 | 40 |
| 405 Leonards Ln | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,608 (-14%) | 5mo | $234,000 | $146 | 40 |
| 211 Choptank Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,608 (-14%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $127 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $53,015
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.29×
- Total profit
- $133,275
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21613
- Home prices YoY
- -25.1%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,113 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,189/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $1,061
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,112 | -5% $1,086 | +0% $1,061 | +5% $1,036 | +10% $1,010 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $894 | -5% $978 | +0% $1,061 | +5% $1,144 | +10% $1,228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,106 | -0.5pp $1,084 | base $1,061 | +0.5pp $1,038 | +1.0pp $1,014 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804 Allen St Cambridge, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 406 Robbins St Cambridge, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,800 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 401 N Seaway Ct Cambridge, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1867 | $2,600 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 414 Waterfield Ct Cambridge, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,395 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 318 E Appleby Ave Cambridge, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $2,100 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1507 Race St Cambridge, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,695 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $90,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $90,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-03-16price $150,000 546-char remark
Show marketing remark (546 chars)
Come check out this spacious and versatile 4 bedroom, 1. 1/2- bath home ready for its new owner! This well-maintained property features: One bedroom and full bath on the main level, nice size livingroom , dinningroom, three additional bedrooms upstairs with a half bathroom. Bright enclosed front porch currently being used as a home office, additional storage /walk in closet space upstairs. detached shed for extra storage and a brand -new roof for a piece of mind. Plenty of space, functionality, and recent upgrades make this home a must see!
-
2026-02-28$180,000 Active 546-char remark
Show marketing remark (546 chars)
Come check out this spacious and versatile 4 bedroom, 1. 1/2- bath home ready for its new owner! This well-maintained property features: One bedroom and full bath on the main level, nice size livingroom , dinningroom, three additional bedrooms upstairs with a half bathroom. Bright enclosed front porch currently being used as a home office, additional storage /walk in closet space upstairs. detached shed for extra storage and a brand -new roof for a piece of mind. Plenty of space, functionality, and recent upgrades make this home a must see!
-
2011-04-26soldstatus $25,000
-
2008-03-07historical
-
2007-03-07
-
2006-06-29soldstatus $56,000
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2005-11-22soldstatus $56,000
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2005-10-24historical
-
2005-09-02$52,900
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2005-08-30historical
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2005-04-04
-
2005-03-30historical
-
2005-02-18
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2004-11-15historical
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2004-09-16
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2004-08-20historical
-
2004-02-02
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,189 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,189 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,189
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,029
- − Management
- −$2,029
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $12,004
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,881
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dorchester County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400300
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,767
- Composite
- 14.65/100
- National rank
- #9404
- State rank
- #23 of 24 in MD
Livability — Cambridge
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #13046
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cambridge, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,167
Population outlook (Dorchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,699 people
- By 2030
- 31,054 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 29,712 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 28,618 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 28,436 · -10.3%
- By 2100
- 28,937 · -8.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 33% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dorchester
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.6) · D 41.6% · R 56.1% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -8.2pp · 2024: -14.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.6 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+16.0 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+8.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.03%
- Current HPI
- 271.1127
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+183.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-28 Listed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2008-03-07 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-03-07 Listed — MRIS
- 2006-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-22 Sold (MLS) $56,000 MRIS
- 2005-10-24 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-09-02 Listed $52,900 MRIS
- 2005-08-30 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-04-04 Listed — MRIS
- 2005-03-30 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-02-18 Listed — MRIS
- 2004-11-15 Delisted — MRIS
- 2004-09-16 Listed — MRIS
- 2004-08-20 Delisted — MRIS
- 2004-02-02 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,189 · +37.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…