1150 W Prince Rd Unit C02 · Tucson, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * Crescent Manor is an active and exciting 55+ Senior Community. Make your dream of home ownership a reality with this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom double-wide home! With a spacious floor plan and a perfectly designed kitchen area, you will love entertaining guests and spending time with family here. In a community with amenities such as a library, a swimming pool, and a clubhouse, there is something here for everyone to love. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Spacious floor plan
- Swimming pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Status: Active
- Financial info: List price: 34900
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas heating available
- Home design: Spec inventory new construction; Plan name 92513; Address: 1150 W Prince Rd Unit C02, Tucson AZ 85705
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (both full)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Living area of 1440 (listed separately under exterior property information)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $825 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 34.7% vs local median 3.7% in Tucson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in AZ, #4,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Flowing Wells Unified District (4405) (suburban): math 23% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #143 of 249 in AZ (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 177 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 101.30%
- DSCR
- 5.51
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,200
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3833 N Fairview Ave #118 | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $76,000 | $53 | 86 |
| 3337 N Flowing Wells Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+1%) | 12mo | $322,000 | $221 | 58 |
| 917 W Siglo Pl | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $175 | 56 |
| 3153 N Sioux Ave | 0.74mi | 2/2.5 | 1,345 (-7%) | 4mo | $159,000 | $118 | 49 |
| 1607 W Higgins Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+7%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $130 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 99.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.43×
- Total profit
- $43,334
- Equity at exit
- $5,204
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.37×
- Total profit
- $91,592
- Equity at exit
- $3,018
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85705
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,349 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $524/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $825
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1215 W Roger Rd Unit 1201-01 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1215 W Roger Rd Unit 1201-13 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1448 W Kilburn St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,350 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1435 W Kilburn St Apt 2102 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1202 | $1,495 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4030 N Fairview Ave Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 570 W Prince Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $975 | $1.24 | 43d | 13 | 0.58mi |
| 4111 N Flowing Wells Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1131 | $1,625 | $1.44 | 23d | 3 | 0.59mi |
| 1326 W Hadley St Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $725 | $0.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 156 W Pastime Rd Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,535 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 352 W Delano St Unit 1 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 939 | $1,200 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4190 N Western Winds Dr Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,349 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4190 N Western Winds Dr Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,349 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 104 W Navajo Rd Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,375 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 115 W Limberlost Dr Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,350 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3036 N Balboa Ave Unit 1 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,100 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3038 N Balboa Ave Unit 1 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3020 N Balboa Ave Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2 E Navajo Rd Unit 8 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $945 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 123 W Delano St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $995 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 123 W Delano St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,093 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4162 N Thurston Ln #100 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $1,895 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4170 N Thurston Ln Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $1,999 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4751 N Flowing Wells Rd Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 201 W Blacklidge Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,669 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 224 W Laguna St Unit 1 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $34,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $34,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $34,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $34,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $34,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $34,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $34,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $34,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $34,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $34,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $34,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 594-char remark
-
2026-06-02$34,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥107°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,194
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$524
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $9,935
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,384
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,515/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some maintenance to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Replace or clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, enhancing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace or clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flowing Wells Unified District (4405)
- NCES district ID
- 0403010
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,361
- Composite
- 21.69/100
- National rank
- #8271
- State rank
- #143 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Tucson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #4502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tucson, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,012,107 people
- City population
- 839,336
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,700
- Household income
- $37,194
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4240.0
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 30% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.31%
- Current HPI
- 283.0647
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.30%
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…