7394 State Highway 97 #19 · Ontario, OH 44903

$39,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 42 Days on market

Built 2026 Fair condition

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +6.3/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This 2019 Adventure Homes Mojave Model 26 offers a well-designed single-wide layout with 924 square feet of comfortable living space. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home provides flexibility for families, guests, or a home office setup. Inside, you'll find a bright and open living area with updated flooring and a functional flow into the kitchen, creating an inviting space for everyday living. The kitchen offers ample cabinet storage and workspace, making meal prep simple and efficient. The primary bedroom includes a private full bathroom, while the additional bedrooms are conveniently located near the second bath. With modern finishes and a clean, move-in ready condition,

Key facts

• Built 2026
• Listed 41 days

Tags

• BRIGHT OPEN LIVING AREA
• AMPLE CABINET STORAGE
• PRIVATE FULL BATHROOM
• MOVE-IN READY CONDITION
• PEACEFUL COMMUNITY SETTING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 24.1% vs local median 2.4% in Ontario — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#673 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Lexington Local (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #113 of 656 in OH (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Morrow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Morrow County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $38,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.76% ✓
• Cap rate: 24.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 63.71%
• DSCR: 3.83
• GRM: 3.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 62.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.80×
• Total profit: $31,328
• Equity at exit: $5,949

10-year hold

• IRR: 67.3%
• Equity multiple: 7.80×
• Total profit: $75,991
• Equity at exit: $3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44903

• Home prices YoY: -27.7%
• Active inventory: 122
• Price-to-rent: 3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,100 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$209
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$50 /mo · $598/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$231
• Net cashflow: $593

Break-even live

Break-even rent $349

Max offer price $39,900

Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $9,975
• Closing costs: $1,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-12
   days on market $39,900 Active 42 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $39,900 Active 39 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $39,900 Active 38 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $39,900 Active 37 DOM
5. 2026-06-05
   days on market $39,900 Active 34 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $39,900 Active 33 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $39,900 Active 32 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $39,900 Active 31 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $39,900 Active 30 DOM
10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,900 Active 29 DOM
11. 2026-05-02
    listed $39,900 Active 944-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,198
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,235
• − Property taxes: −$598
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,056
• − Management: −$1,056
• − Depreciation: −$1,161
• Taxable income: $6,893
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,654
• After-tax cash flow: $5,463/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2019 Adventure Homes Mojave Model 26 is in good condition with updated finishes and a move-in ready layout. However, some landscaping and curb appeal improvements can further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.
• Both Painting exterior siding — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑
• Both Painting exterior siding — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lexington Local
• NCES district ID: 3904943
• Math proficiency: 72% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 75% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $56,984
• Composite: 62.93/100
• National rank: #659
• State rank: #113 of 656 in OH

Livability — Ontario

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #673
• US rank: #11878

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Richland · 128,966 people
• City population: 17,059
• Metro: Mansfield, OH
• Population (ZIP): 26,804
• Household income: $65,421
• Rent vs Own: 27.7% rent · 72.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 9.5

Population outlook (Morrow County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 35,607 people
• By 2030: 35,482 · -0.4%
• By 2040: 34,369 · -3.5%
• By 2050: 32,038 · -10.0%
• By 2075: 25,090 · -29.5%
• By 2100: 17,123 · -51.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morrow

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.4pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -55.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+54.3 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -92.50%
• Current HPI: 241.9342
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B