15 Oak Ln · Park Forest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 3-bedroom, 1.1-bath ranch in Park Forest with great potential and approximately 1,500 square feet of living space. This home offers a functional one-level layout, a separate family room with fireplace, generous room sizes, and a 2-car detached garage. The property needs TLC and cosmetic updating, making it a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own style, build equity, or investors seeking their next project. Convenient location near schools, parks, shopping, and transportation. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- Near schools
- One-level layout
- Near parks
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: School bus service and nearby commuter train access; Possession at closing; Some photos are virtually staged
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (owned) with garage door opener; Two garage spaces (two total parking spaces); Asphalt driveway
- Utilities: Shared well water source; Storm sewer; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Detached single-family ranch; One-story; Fee simple ownership; House age approximately 61–70 years; Built before 1978; Model: Ranch
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Lot approximately 120 x 60 (less than 0.25 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eating area/table space in the kitchen (approx. 11 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level (approximately 10 x 9); Two additional bedrooms on the main level (each approximately 9 x 8)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Radiant floor heating; Wall cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Windows with screens; Pull-down stair attic access; Combined dining and living area; Wood-burning fireplace in the family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $145k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.35%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $198,702
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 343 Osage St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,490 (-0%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $124 | 87 |
| 71 Cherry St | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,500 (+0%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $110 | 69 |
| 6 Monee Ct | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,452 (-3%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $83 | 66 |
| 364 Osage St | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,503 (+1%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $163 | 66 |
| 107 Chestnut St | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,383 (-7%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $155 | 63 |
| 397 Oswego St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,398 (-6%) | 2mo | $199,000 | $142 | 49 |
| 329 Indianwood Blvd | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,598 (+7%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $88 | 44 |
| 410 Main St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (-8%) | 9mo | $189,000 | $137 | 44 |
| 127 Blackhawk Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,296 (-13%) | 3mo | $117,000 | $90 | 44 |
| 210 Marquette St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,269 (-15%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $121 | 42 |
| 236 Indianwood Blvd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (-15%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $133 | 33 |
| 214 Marquette St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,271 (-15%) | 7mo | $184,900 | $145 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-900
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $29,082
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60466
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,229 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$591 /mo · $7,089/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $350
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $860 | -5% $810 | +0% $350 | +5% $309 | +10% $268 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $174 | -5% $262 | +0% $350 | +5% $438 | +10% $526 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $423 | -0.5pp $387 | base $350 | +0.5pp $312 | +1.0pp $274 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apple Ln Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1541 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 23439 Western Ave Unit C29 Park Forest, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,570 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 372 Oswego St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,995 | $1.94 | 0d | 11 | 0.57mi |
| 111 Nashua St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 11 Fir St Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $2,069 | $2.02 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 411 Huron St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,200 | $2.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,971 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 441 Talala St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 490 Shabbona Dr Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,000 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 316 W 34th St Steger, IL | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 720 | $1,715 | $2.38 | 2d | 5 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $144,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 517-char remark
-
2026-06-10$144,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,089 · $591/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,089 · $591/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,750
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$7,089
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,140
- − Management
- −$2,140
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable income
- $2,324
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$558
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,643/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Park Forest
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #2726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park Forest, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 21,461
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,461
- Household income
- $61,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 900.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.87%
- Current HPI
- 219.9692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+70.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $144,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-21 Sold (MLS) $76,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-21 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-22 Listed $74,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2023): $7,089 · +54.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…