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15 Oak Ln
B- Composite 69.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

15 Oak Ln · Park Forest, IL 60466
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,494 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1956 7,200 sqft lot Est $199k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 3-bedroom, 1.1-bath ranch in Park Forest with great potential and approximately 1,500 square feet of living space. This home offers a functional one-level layout, a separate family room with fireplace, generous room sizes, and a 2-car detached garage. The property needs TLC and cosmetic updating, making it a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own style, build equity, or investors seeking their next project. Convenient location near schools, parks, shopping, and transportation. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • One-level layout
  • Near parks

Tags

ONE-LEVEL LAYOUTSEPARATE FAMILY ROOMFIREPLACECONVENIENT LOCATIONNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR PARKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: School bus service and nearby commuter train access; Possession at closing; Some photos are virtually staged
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (owned) with garage door opener; Two garage spaces (two total parking spaces); Asphalt driveway
  • Utilities: Shared well water source; Storm sewer; 100 amp electric service
  • Home design: Detached single-family ranch; One-story; Fee simple ownership; House age approximately 61–70 years; Built before 1978; Model: Ranch
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Lot approximately 120 x 60 (less than 0.25 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eating area/table space in the kitchen (approx. 11 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level (approximately 10 x 9); Two additional bedrooms on the main level (each approximately 9 x 8)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Radiant floor heating; Wall cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Windows with screens; Pull-down stair attic access; Combined dining and living area; Wood-burning fireplace in the family room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $76k; list at $145k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $144,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
9.19%
Cash-on-cash
10.35%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$198,702
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
343 Osage St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,490 (-0%) 0mo $185,000 $124 87
71 Cherry St 0.35mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,500 (+0%) 8mo $165,000 $110 69
6 Monee Ct 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,452 (-3%) 3mo $120,000 $83 66
364 Osage St 0.41mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,503 (+1%) 1mo $245,000 $163 66
107 Chestnut St 0.26mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,383 (-7%) 1mo $215,000 $155 63
397 Oswego St 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,398 (-6%) 2mo $199,000 $142 49
329 Indianwood Blvd 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,598 (+7%) 8mo $140,000 $88 44
410 Main St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,376 (-8%) 9mo $189,000 $137 44
127 Blackhawk Dr 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,296 (-13%) 3mo $117,000 $90 44
210 Marquette St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,269 (-15%) 1mo $153,000 $121 42
236 Indianwood Blvd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,276 (-15%) 10mo $170,000 $133 33
214 Marquette St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,271 (-15%) 7mo $184,900 $145 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-900
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$29,082
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60466

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,229 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$591 /mo · $7,089/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$468
Net cashflow
$350

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,786
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $860 -5% $810 +0% $350 +5% $309 +10% $268
Rent -10% $174 -5% $262 +0% $350 +5% $438 +10% $526
Rate -1.0pp $423 -0.5pp $387 base $350 +0.5pp $312 +1.0pp $274

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19 Apple Ln Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1541 $2,300 $1.49 13d 1 0.10mi
23439 Western Ave Unit C29 Park Forest, IL 2.0 2.0 975 $1,570 $1.61 2d 1 0.43mi
372 Oswego St Park Forest, IL 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,600 $2.17 25d 1 0.56mi
3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $1,995 $1.94 0d 11 0.57mi
111 Nashua St Park Forest, IL 4.0 1.5 1500 $2,500 $1.67 25d 1 0.63mi
11 Fir St Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $2,069 $2.02 0d 1 0.80mi
411 Huron St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,200 $2.01 0d 1 0.96mi
194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,971 $1.80 22d 1 1.04mi
441 Talala St Park Forest, IL 4.0 2.0 1740 $2,500 $1.44 25d 1 1.09mi
277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 966 $2,000 $2.07 4d 1 1.18mi
490 Shabbona Dr Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,895 $1.46 3d 1 1.26mi
235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,000 $1.83 25d 1 1.29mi
316 W 34th St Steger, IL 3.0 1.0–1.5 720 $1,715 $2.38 2d 5 1.35mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    remarks 517-char remark
  7. 2026-06-10
    listed $144,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,089 · $591/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,089 · $591/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,750
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$7,089
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,140
− Management
−$2,140
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable income
$2,324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$558
After-tax cash flow
$3,643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Park Forest

Score
78/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#2726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Park Forest, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
21,461
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
21,461
Household income
$61,654
Rent vs Own
33.7% rent · 66.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.87%
Current HPI
219.9692
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+70.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $144,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
  • 2017-04-21 Sold (MLS) $76,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-21 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-22 Listed $74,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,089 · +54.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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