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1440 E Losey St
B Composite 74.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$47,500

1440 E Losey St · Galesburg, IL 61401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 616 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1921 7,095 sqft lot Est $73k · 35% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brick Beauty is this 2 bedroom home featuring natural woodwork, living room featuring oak staircase, and fireplace, dining room which includes 2 corner hutches, + convenient kitchen. Basement offers laundry area, 14x13 recreation room, 12x9 office, and additional sink, stool, and shower. Well maintained home with brick exterior and 2-car garage.

Key facts

  • Dry full basement
  • Gas water heater
  • Newer roof

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSBUILT-IN CORNER CABINETSWOODBURNING FIREPLACEDRY FULL BASEMENTNEWER ROOFGAS WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Shared gravel driveway; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Built in 1921; Full unfinished basement
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both located on the upper level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living areas and both bedrooms; Laminate flooring in the kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Gas water heater; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Cable available; Replacement windows; Non-functional wood-burning fireplace in the living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($982 rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Galesburg Senior High School (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,762 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $328 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $46,787 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
16.80%
Cash-on-cash
37.53%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$73,304
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
59 Imperial Dr 0.61mi 2/1.0 675 (+10%) 9mo $60,000 $89 48
208 Illinois Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 672 (+9%) 22mo $79,900 $119 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.5%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$18,831
Equity at exit
$7,082
10-year hold
IRR
40.5%
Equity multiple
4.81×
Total profit
$50,652
Equity at exit
$4,107

Cash invested: $13,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61401

Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$982 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$249
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,091/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $455
Max offer price $47,500
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,875
Closing costs
$1,425
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $47,500 Under Contract 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $47,500 Under Contract 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $47,500 Under Contract 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $47,500 Under Contract 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $47,500 Under Contract 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $47,500 Under Contract 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,500 Under Contract 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,500 Under Contract 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,500 Under Contract 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $47,500 Under Contract 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $47,500 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $47,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,091 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,091 · $91/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,784
− Mortgage interest
−$2,661
− Property taxes
−$1,091
− Insurance
−$238
− Repairs & maintenance
−$943
− Management
−$943
− Depreciation
−$1,382
Taxable income
$4,528
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,087
After-tax cash flow
$3,905/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galesburg CUSD 205
NCES district ID
1716080
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,901
Composite
14.46/100
National rank
#9427
State rank
#488 of 620 in IL

Livability — Galesburg

Score
70/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#7601

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galesburg, IL
City population
32,318
Population (ZIP)
30,684

Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,224 people
By 2030
46,333 · -3.9%
By 2040
42,424 · -12.0%
By 2050
38,929 · -19.3%
By 2075
31,523 · -34.6%
By 2100
24,092 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Knox

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.48%
Current HPI
157.276
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $47,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
  • 2006-03-24 Sold (MLS) $45,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-18 Listed $49,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,091 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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