🏷️ Likely Rental
20689 Seneca Dr · Mount Clemens, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this updated 2002 manufactured home in Rudgate Mobile Home Community. Offering almost 1,200 square feet, this home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths with an open-concept layout. The spacious kitchen includes a large island, butcher block counters, and all appliances, flowing seamlessly into the main living area. The primary bedroom offers a private bath with double sinks and a large tiled shower. Enjoy the outdoor deck, along with a shed for additional storage. Lot rent is $800 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Community amenities include an inground pool, playground, and clubhouse. Pets are allowed. Note: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Agents do not need a special license to bring a buyer, only to list. BATAVI.
Key facts
- Large tiled shower
- Private bath
- Outdoor deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $791 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.4% vs local median 3.0% in Mount Clemens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#120 in MI, #2,918 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities D+.
- Chippewa Valley Schools (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #133 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $34k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 75.45%
- DSCR
- 4.36
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,052
- List price
- $44,900
- Delta
- -78.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20456 Harmony Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,072 (-7%) | 10mo | $20,500 | $19 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 75.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.44×
- Total profit
- $43,262
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 79.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.22×
- Total profit
- $103,281
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48036
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,393 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $674/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $791
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $822 | -5% $806 | +0% $791 | +5% $775 | +10% $759 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $680 | -5% $735 | +0% $791 | +5% $846 | +10% $901 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $813 | -0.5pp $802 | base $791 | +0.5pp $779 | +1.0pp $767 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20475 Foster Dr Clinton Twp, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,229 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 20195 Weybridge St Unit 15-20150 102-M 2AG Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,215 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 20195 Weybridge St Unit 15-20140 101-R 2BG Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,235 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 37545 Charter Oaks Blvd Clinton Twp, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 36760 Farmbrook Dr Clinton Twp, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,296 | $1.52 | 0d | 8 | 1.01mi |
| 35 S Groesbeck Hwy Mt Clemens, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1125 | $2,050 | $1.82 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 21613 Sunnyview St #14 Clinton Twp, MI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1209 | $1,700 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 29 events
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2026-06-21days on market $44,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $44,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $44,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-04pricedays on market $44,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-04-18$49,900 Active 830-char remark
Show marketing remark (836 chars)
Don’t miss this updated 2002 manufactured home in Rudgate Mobile Home Community. Offering almost 1,200 square feet, this home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths with an open-concept layout. The spacious kitchen includes a large island, butcher block counters, and all appliances, flowing seamlessly into the main living area. The primary bedroom offers a private bath with double sinks and a large tiled shower. Enjoy the outdoor deck, along with a shed for additional storage. Lot rent is $800 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Community amenities include an inground pool, playground, and clubhouse. Pets are allowed. Note: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Agents do not need a special license to bring a buyer, only to list. BATAVI.
-
2026-04-18$49,900 Active 836-char remark
Show marketing remark (836 chars)
Don’t miss this updated 2002 manufactured home in Rudgate Mobile Home Community. Offering almost 1,200 square feet, this home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths with an open-concept layout. The spacious kitchen includes a large island, butcher block counters, and all appliances, flowing seamlessly into the main living area. The primary bedroom offers a private bath with double sinks and a large tiled shower. Enjoy the outdoor deck, along with a shed for additional storage. Lot rent is $800 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Community amenities include an inground pool, playground, and clubhouse. Pets are allowed. Note: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Agents do not need a special license to bring a buyer, only to list. BATAVI.
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2023-03-30soldstatus $34,000 Sold
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2023-03-30soldstatus $34,000 Closed
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2023-03-30soldstatus $34,000
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2023-03-07status Pending
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2023-03-07status Pending
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2023-02-10price $39,000
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2023-02-10price $39,000
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2023-01-05price $41,000
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2023-01-04price $41,000
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2022-10-14$45,000 Active
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2022-10-14$45,000 Active
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2022-10-14$39,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,721
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$674
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,338
- − Management
- −$1,338
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $9,326
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,238
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2002 manufactured home in Rudgate Mobile Home Community is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed. It offers an open-concept layout and community amenities, but some updates could significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Deck — Some wear and tear visible on the wooden deck.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home look more appealing and modern.
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood floors — Hardwood floors are more durable and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Resale Replace deck — A new deck can enhance curb appeal and add value to the home.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Deck · Some wear and tear visible on the wooden deck. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 1 items | $500–3,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home look more appealing and modern. ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood floors — Hardwood floors are more durable and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale Replace deck — A new deck can enhance curb appeal and add value to the home. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chippewa Valley Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2609570
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,964
- Composite
- 39.61/100
- National rank
- #3922
- State rank
- #133 of 540 in MI
Livability — Mount Clemens
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #120
- US rank
- #2918
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 15,429
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,538
- Household income
- $70,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 514.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 21% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 3% English 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.99%
- Current HPI
- 270.9126
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+10.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-18 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-30 Sold (MLS) $34,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-30 Sold (MLS) $34,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-30 Sold (MLS) $34,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-03-07 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-07 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-02-10 Price Changed $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-10 Price Changed $39,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-01-05 Price Changed $41,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-04 Price Changed $41,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-10-14 Listed $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-14 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-14 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…