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183 Casa Bella Dr
C Composite 56.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,900

183 Casa Bella Dr · Advance, NC 27006
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 35 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 0.34 ac lot Est $131k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 183 Casa Bella Drive in Advance, NC! This brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bath singlewide home offers modern finishes and comfortable living, all situated on a spacious, nearly half-acre lot shaded by mature trees. Step inside to an open concept layout featuring a bright living area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining space. The kitchen is equipped with stylish cabinetry, ample counter space, and a center island—perfect for meal prep or casual seating. The split-bedroom floor plan provides privacy, with a primary suite that includes a private bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living needs. The large lot and s

Key facts

  • Stylish cabinetry
  • Spacious lot
  • Modern finishes

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTMODERN FINISHESSPACIOUS LOTMATURE TREESSTYLISH CABINETRYCENTER ISLAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private maintained road
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Laquinta

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Residential manufactured home; Single-wide; One level; Built in 2025; Existing structure
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Cleared yard; Corner lot; Partially wooded

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level; Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $156k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $156k).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 1.9% in Advance — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#215 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Davie County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #57 of 178 in NC (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 250 units permitted in Davie County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Davie County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $151,223 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.47%
Cash-on-cash
11.35%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,320
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
205 Casa Bella Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 971 (-1%) 6mo $130,000 $134 90
166 La Quinta Dr 0.36mi 2/2.0 (-1) 952 (-3%) 7mo $58,000 $61 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,062
Equity at exit
$23,245
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$34,900
Equity at exit
$13,479

Cash invested: $43,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27006

Home prices YoY
-32.4%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,886 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$818
Tax est. 1.5%
$195 /mo · $2,338/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,364
Max offer price $155,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $521 -5% $467 +0% $413 +5% $359 +10% $305
Rent -10% $264 -5% $338 +0% $413 +5% $487 +10% $562
Rate -1.0pp $491 -0.5pp $453 base $413 +0.5pp $372 +1.0pp $331

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,975
Closing costs
$4,677
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    historical Due Diligence Period
  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $155,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,637
− Mortgage interest
−$8,733
− Property taxes
−$2,338
− Insurance
−$780
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,811
− Management
−$1,811
− Depreciation
−$4,535
Taxable income
$2,629
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$631
After-tax cash flow
$4,323/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This modern, singlewide home offers a spacious, nearly half-acre lot shaded by mature trees. The interior is well-maintained with modern finishes and ample living space. The home is move-in ready with minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Addition of outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Addition of outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Davie County Schools
NCES district ID
3701170
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$51,331
Composite
44.16/100
National rank
#2860
State rank
#57 of 178 in NC

Livability — Advance

Score
67/100
State rank
#215
US rank
#10250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Davie County · 42,813 people
City population
16,247
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
Population (ZIP)
16,247
Household income
$96,580
Rent vs Own
12.2% rent · 87.8% own
Severe rent burden
68.0

Population outlook (Davie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,613 people
By 2030
42,691 · +0.2%
By 2040
42,137 · -1.1%
By 2050
40,445 · -5.1%
By 2075
35,939 · -15.7%
By 2100
29,103 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Davie

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.2% · R 72.6% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -46.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.5 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+43.7 2008: R+38.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.92%
Current HPI
179.445
Rent YoY
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $155,900 Triad MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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