183 Casa Bella Dr · Advance, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 183 Casa Bella Drive in Advance, NC! This brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bath singlewide home offers modern finishes and comfortable living, all situated on a spacious, nearly half-acre lot shaded by mature trees. Step inside to an open concept layout featuring a bright living area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining space. The kitchen is equipped with stylish cabinetry, ample counter space, and a center island—perfect for meal prep or casual seating. The split-bedroom floor plan provides privacy, with a primary suite that includes a private bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living needs. The large lot and s
Key facts
- Stylish cabinetry
- Spacious lot
- Modern finishes
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private maintained road
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Laquinta
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Residential manufactured home; Single-wide; One level; Built in 2025; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Cleared yard; Corner lot; Partially wooded
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level; Vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $156k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $156k).
- Recommended offer: $151k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 1.9% in Advance — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#215 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Davie County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #57 of 178 in NC (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 250 units permitted in Davie County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Davie County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.35%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,320
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Casa Bella Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 971 (-1%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $134 | 90 |
| 166 La Quinta Dr | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 952 (-3%) | 7mo | $58,000 | $61 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,062
- Equity at exit
- $23,245
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $34,900
- Equity at exit
- $13,479
Cash invested: $43,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27006
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,886 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$818
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$195 /mo · $2,338/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $413
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $521 | -5% $467 | +0% $413 | +5% $359 | +10% $305 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $264 | -5% $338 | +0% $413 | +5% $487 | +10% $562 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $491 | -0.5pp $453 | base $413 | +0.5pp $372 | +1.0pp $331 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,975
- Closing costs
- $4,677
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-09historical Due Diligence Period
-
2026-04-22$155,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,637
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,733
- − Property taxes
- −$2,338
- − Insurance
- −$780
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,811
- − Management
- −$1,811
- − Depreciation
- −$4,535
- Taxable income
- $2,629
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$631
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,323/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This modern, singlewide home offers a spacious, nearly half-acre lot shaded by mature trees. The interior is well-maintained with modern finishes and ample living space. The home is move-in ready with minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Both Addition of outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Addition of outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davie County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701170
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,331
- Composite
- 44.16/100
- National rank
- #2860
- State rank
- #57 of 178 in NC
Livability — Advance
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #215
- US rank
- #10250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Davie County · 42,813 people
- City population
- 16,247
- Metro
- Winston-Salem, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,247
- Household income
- $96,580
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 68.0
Population outlook (Davie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,613 people
- By 2030
- 42,691 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 42,137 · -1.1%
- By 2050
- 40,445 · -5.1%
- By 2075
- 35,939 · -15.7%
- By 2100
- 29,103 · -31.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Davie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.2% · R 72.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -46.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.5 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+43.7 2008: R+38.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.92%
- Current HPI
- 179.445
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Winston-Salem, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $155,900 Triad MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…