101 N 32nd St · Herrin, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,875
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 101 N. 32nd Street. Nestled on a quiet, larger and peaceful corner lot. You will love this home with two nice size bedrooms, one bathroom with a step in shower and a cozy eat in kitchen with plenty of cupboard space. Laundry room with a side entrance. Included is a detached one car garage and a shed. Also equipped with all appliances. You will for sure love the large yard. Call for your appointment to see this home today!
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1900
- Listed 87 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 8.7% in Herrin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#667 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Herrin CUSD 4 (suburban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #364 of 620 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 130 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $58k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.78%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $64,666
- List price
- $82,875
- Delta
- 28.16%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1007 W Cherry St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 828 (-2%) | 19mo | $75,000 | $91 | 58 |
| 413 S 26th St | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 | 892 (+5%) | 16mo | $69,900 | $78 | 56 |
| 1212 W Monroe St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-6%) | 18mo | $48,000 | $61 | 55 |
| 710 W Maple St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 932 (+10%) | 1mo | $94,800 | $102 | 54 |
| 804 W Harrison St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 940 (+11%) | 2mo | $71,000 | $76 | 53 |
| 1205 W Adams St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 826 (-2%) | 23mo | $92,000 | $111 | 52 |
| 220 N 27th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 884 (+4%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $68 | 50 |
| 520 N 27th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+14%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $109 | 40 |
| 605 W Cherry St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+10%) | 15mo | $30,000 | $32 | 39 |
| 700 N 30th St | 0.54mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 950 (+12%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $63 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $10,902
- Equity at exit
- $12,357
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $40,756
- Equity at exit
- $7,166
Cash invested: $23,205 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62948
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,124 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $436/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $382
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $429 | -5% $406 | +0% $382 | +5% $359 | +10% $335 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $294 | -5% $338 | +0% $382 | +5% $427 | +10% $471 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $424 | -0.5pp $403 | base $382 | +0.5pp $361 | +1.0pp $339 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,719
- Closing costs
- $2,486
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 N 35th St Unit D Herrin, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 6 Court C Herrin, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3 Ct D Herrin, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $82,875 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $82,875 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,875 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $82,875 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $82,875 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,875 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $82,875 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,875 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $82,875 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,875 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,875 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $82,875 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $82,875 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $82,875 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $82,875 Active 68 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $82,875 Active 67 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $82,875 Active 66 DOM
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2026-03-25$82,875 Active 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Welcome to 101 N. 32nd Street. Nestled on a quiet, larger and peaceful corner lot. You will love this home with two nice size bedrooms, one bathroom with a step in shower and a cozy eat in kitchen with plenty of cupboard space. Laundry room with a side entrance. Included is a detached one car garage and a shed. Also equipped with all appliances. You will for sure love the large yard. Call for your appointment to see this home today!
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2021-08-06historical
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2007-01-19soldstatus $57,650
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2007-01-19soldstatus $57,650
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2007-01-19soldstatus $58,000
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2006-11-30$59,500
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2006-11-30$59,500
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2006-05-15soldstatus $48,900
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2006-05-15soldstatus $49,000
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2006-04-14$48,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $436 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,158 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$723/yr (+$60/mo · 165.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,486
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,642
- − Property taxes
- −$436
- − Insurance
- −$414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,079
- − Management
- −$1,079
- − Depreciation
- −$2,411
- Taxable income
- $3,425
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$822
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,767/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Herrin CUSD 4
- NCES district ID
- 1718810
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,824
- Composite
- 20.56/100
- National rank
- #8558
- State rank
- #364 of 620 in IL
Livability — Herrin
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #667
- US rank
- #13670
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Herrin, IL
- City population
- 12,728
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,728
Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,553 people
- By 2030
- 70,090 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 70,345 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 69,394 · -0.2%
- By 2075
- 63,590 · -8.6%
- By 2100
- 51,154 · -26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Williamson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.0% · R 68.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.0pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -38.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.8 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.82%
- Current HPI
- 131.1617
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+69.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $82,875 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2007-01-19 Sold (MLS) $57,650 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-19 Sold (MLS) $57,650 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-30 Listed $59,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-30 Listed $59,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-15 Sold (MLS) $48,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-14 Listed $48,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $436 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…