14463 Canter Rd · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
$257,440
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Pearson townhome offers a smart and inviting design that makes the most of every square foot, delivering approximately 1,468 square feet of comfortable living space with three bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. This well-planned layout creates a sense of openness from the moment you enter, with the kitchen, dining area, and main living space flowing together to support both daily routines and special gatherings. The kitchen is designed as a true focal point, featuring an oversized bar that provides plenty of room for meal preparation, casual dining, and connecting with guests while you cook. Large sliding glass doors off the living area bring in an abundance of natural light, brightening the home and creating a warm, welcoming atmosphere throughout the day. Upstairs, the primary bedroom serves as a private retreat, complete with a spacious walk-in closet and a well-appointed bathroom with a large vanity. Two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. The upstairs laundry area adds everyday convenience and keeps household tasks close at hand. With energy-efficient construction and modern features, the Pearson is a thoughtfully built new construction townhome located in desirable neighborhoods across North Florida, offering comfort, style, and long-term value.
Key facts
- Well planned layout
- Natural light
- Oversized bar
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community association with amenities; Quarterly HOA fee ($390); Community amenities: children's pool, clubhouse, dog park, fitness center, pickleball, playground; CDD fee applies ($900)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity available; Water connected; Sewer available; Other utilities available
- Home design: Townhouse; Two stories; Attached property
- Construction: Concrete construction; Fiber cement siding; Frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Community pool (not private)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Microwave; Other kitchen appliance(s)
- Laundry & utility: Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $257k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-379 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (21.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (24.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mamie Agnes Jones Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 430 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.31%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-26,066
- Equity at exit
- $80,600
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-13,234
- Equity at exit
- $101,684
Cash invested: $72,083 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32234
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 232
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,937 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,350
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$322 /mo · $3,862/yr
- Insurance
- −$107
- HOA
- −$130
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $-379
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,360
- Closing costs
- $7,723
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $130 · $1,560/yr
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $257,440 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $257,440 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $257,440 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $257,440 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $257,440 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $257,440 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $257,440 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $257,440 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $257,440 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $257,440 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $257,440 Active 86 DOM
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2026-03-07$257,440 Active 1308-char remark
Show marketing remark (1308 chars)
The Pearson townhome offers a smart and inviting design that makes the most of every square foot, delivering approximately 1,468 square feet of comfortable living space with three bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. This well-planned layout creates a sense of openness from the moment you enter, with the kitchen, dining area, and main living space flowing together to support both daily routines and special gatherings. The kitchen is designed as a true focal point, featuring an oversized bar that provides plenty of room for meal preparation, casual dining, and connecting with guests while you cook. Large sliding glass doors off the living area bring in an abundance of natural light, brightening the home and creating a warm, welcoming atmosphere throughout the day. Upstairs, the primary bedroom serves as a private retreat, complete with a spacious walk-in closet and a well-appointed bathroom with a large vanity. Two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. The upstairs laundry area adds everyday convenience and keeps household tasks close at hand. With energy-efficient construction and modern features, the Pearson is a thoughtfully built new construction townhome located in desirable neighborhoods across North Florida, offering comfort, style, and long-term value.
-
2026-03-06$257,440 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,421
- − Property taxes
- −$3,862
- − Insurance
- −$1,287
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,859
- − Management
- −$1,859
- − HOA
- −$1,560
- − Depreciation
- −$7,489
- Taxable loss
- −$9,096
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,183
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,678
- Household income
- $87,331
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 62.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.45%
- Current HPI
- 288.4613
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Listed $257,440 Zillow
- 2026-03-06 Listed $257,440 realMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…