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5909 Annex Ct
D Composite 40.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

5909 Annex Ct · Normandy, MO 63135
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,785 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1950 0.53 ac lot $95/sqft · 42% above area Est $120k · 42% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Expansive ranch home with 1785 sq ft, beautifully renovated with 4 bedrooms, luxury vinyl plank floors throughout & split floor plan. 2nd bedroom is currently being used as dressing room for primary bedroom. Kitchen is light, modern and functional with lots of storage. Refrigerator stays (AS IS). Spacious living area includes formal living room with wood burning fireplace and family room with exterior access leading to large level backyard. Nestled on a half acre lot creates the perfect space for entertaining. Lots of natural light spills through the large windows throughout the home (3+ years old). Washer and dryer stay (AS IS). Architectural roof is approximately 3 yrs old. Elementary school is one block from house.

Key facts

  • Exterior access
  • Lots of storage
  • Split floor plan

Tags

LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORSSPLIT FLOOR PLANLOTS OF STORAGEWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEEXTERIOR ACCESSLARGE LEVEL BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#290 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $170k implies a 750% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $158,956 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.21%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,021
List price
$169,900
Delta
41.56%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5909 Annex Ct 0.00mi 4/1.0 1,785 (0%) 0mo $169,900 $95 98
6009 Bermuda Dr 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,575 (-12%) 1mo $110,000 $70 71
112 Woodstock Rd 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,813 (+2%) 19mo $60,000 $33 63
18 Mintert Manor Dr 0.48mi 4/3.0 1,941 (+9%) 6mo $189,900 $98 52
7549 Norwalk Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,745 (-2%) 20mo $149,900 $86 44
6202 Dupree Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-12%) 15mo $115,000 $73 37
7752 Wooddale Ln 0.40mi 4/2.5 2,035 (+14%) 22mo $179,000 $88 36
5563 Norway Dr 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,583 (-11%) 14mo $104,900 $66 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-8,536
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$44,364
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63135

Rents YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,590 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,526/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,378
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6170 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,500 $1.17 14d 1 0.42mi
6170 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,425 $1.11 2d 1 0.42mi
846 Elsworth Pl Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1352 $1,600 $1.18 4d 1 0.50mi
7808 Winward Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1434 $1,425 $0.99 21d 1 0.51mi
299 Dashwood Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1920 $1,575 $0.82 23d 1 0.90mi
1006 Highmont Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1920 $1,550 $0.81 43d 1 1.11mi
265 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1240 $1,350 $1.09 43d 1 1.18mi
406 Tiffin Ave Ferguson, MO 4.0 1.0 1888 $1,525 $0.81 43d 1 1.22mi
324 Emmett Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,650 $1.22 23d 1 1.39mi
2646 Terrace Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1565 $1,275 $0.81 23d 1 1.41mi
8824 Huiskamp Ave Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1548 $1,200 $0.78 23d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 733-char remark
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    Expansive ranch home with 1785 sq ft, beautifully renovated with 4 bedrooms, luxury vinyl plank floors throughout & split floor plan. 2nd bedroom is currently being used as dressing room for primary bedroom. Kitchen is light, modern and functional with lots of storage. Refrigerator stays (AS IS). Spacious living area includes formal living room with wood burning fireplace and family room with exterior access leading to large level backyard. Nestled on a half acre lot creates the perfect space for entertaining. Lots of natural light spills through the large windows throughout the home (3+ years old). Washer and dryer stay (AS IS). Architectural roof is approximately 3 yrs old. Elementary school is one block from house.

  2. 2026-04-18
    listed $169,900 Active 733-char remark
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    Expansive ranch home with 1785 sq ft, beautifully renovated with 4 bedrooms, luxury vinyl plank floors throughout & split floor plan. 2nd bedroom is currently being used as dressing room for primary bedroom. Kitchen is light, modern and functional with lots of storage. Refrigerator stays (AS IS). Spacious living area includes formal living room with wood burning fireplace and family room with exterior access leading to large level backyard. Nestled on a half acre lot creates the perfect space for entertaining. Lots of natural light spills through the large windows throughout the home (3+ years old). Washer and dryer stay (AS IS). Architectural roof is approximately 3 yrs old. Elementary school is one block from house.

  3. 2022-07-14
    soldstatus
  4. 2017-06-08
    soldstatus $20,000
  5. 2017-06-05
    soldstatus Closed 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    Spacious ranch style home located in Normandy that sits on a half acre! This home includes four bedrooms, one and a half bathrooms, a stone fireplace in the living room, full unfinished basement that is walk-out, and a one car carport. The home is tucked away in a private area on a nice cul de sac! Schedule a showing today!

  6. 2017-04-22
    status Pending 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    Spacious ranch style home located in Normandy that sits on a half acre! This home includes four bedrooms, one and a half bathrooms, a stone fireplace in the living room, full unfinished basement that is walk-out, and a one car carport. The home is tucked away in a private area on a nice cul de sac! Schedule a showing today!

  7. 2017-02-08
    listed $27,000 Active 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    Spacious ranch style home located in Normandy that sits on a half acre! This home includes four bedrooms, one and a half bathrooms, a stone fireplace in the living room, full unfinished basement that is walk-out, and a one car carport. The home is tucked away in a private area on a nice cul de sac! Schedule a showing today!

  8. 2016-12-19
    soldstatus Closed
  9. 2016-11-10
    status Pending
  10. 2016-10-27
    price $16,900
  11. 2016-10-05
    price $19,750
  12. 2016-09-06
    listed $22,500 Active
  13. 2008-01-04
    soldstatus
  14. 2006-02-15
    soldstatus
  15. 2005-09-14
    soldstatus $120,000
  16. 2004-11-02
    soldstatus $45,000
  17. 1998-09-14
    soldstatus $35,000
  18. 1994-06-15
    soldstatus
  19. 1994-06-15
    soldstatus
  20. 1992-08-04
    soldstatus
  21. 1992-08-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,526 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,648 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$122/yr (+$10/mo · 8.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,075
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,526
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,526
− Management
−$1,526
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$813
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$195
After-tax cash flow
$2,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Normandy

Score
65/100
State rank
#290
US rank
#13498

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Normandy, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
25,008
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
18,381
Household income
$52,328
Rent vs Own
45.8% rent · 54.2% own
Severe rent burden
957.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.56%
Current HPI
138.6781
Rent YoY
▲ 9.03%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+385.4% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $169,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2017-06-05 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-22 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-08 Listed $27,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-19 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-10 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-27 Price Changed $16,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-05 Price Changed $19,750 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-06 Listed $22,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-02-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2004-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1998-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1994-06-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-06-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1992-08-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1992-08-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,526 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…