16107 7th Ave NW · Andover, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$335,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 5-bedroom home offering a flexible layout across three levels. The main level features 2 bedrooms and a full bath, while the upper level includes 2 additional bedrooms and a1/2 bath. The lower level offers a 5th bedroom with walkout access to the patio. Enjoy a large backyard surrounded by mature trees providing exceptional privacy. Additional features include an updated kitchen, detached finished garage, and ample space for a variety of living needs.
Key facts
- 0.9 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1948
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system (compliant); Electric and propane fuel
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Finished main level and lower level
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Medium tree coverage; No fencing noted
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen with adjacent informal dining/breakfast area
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms total; Bedroom on main level; Multiple bedrooms on upper level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; One half bathroom; Upper-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished walkout basement with egress windows; Block foundation; Hardwood floors; Kitchen window
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Laundry area in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($721/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (18.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $273k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Andover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#291 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 392 active listings in the ZIP; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.77%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $401,364
- List price
- $335,000
- Delta
- -16.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-50,553
- Equity at exit
- $49,950
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-39,475
- Equity at exit
- $28,965
Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55304
- Active inventory
- 392
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,729 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,394/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$573
- Net cashflow
- $60
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,750
- Closing costs
- $10,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-11historical Contingent - Other 464-char remark
-
2026-05-07$335,000 Active 464-char remark
-
2026-05-06historical $335,000 464-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,394 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,073 · $256/mo
- Expected delta
- +$679/yr (+$57/mo · 28.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,765
- − Property taxes
- −$2,394
- − Insurance
- −$1,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,620
- − Management
- −$2,620
- − Depreciation
- −$9,745
- Taxable loss
- −$5,071
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,217
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,938/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anoka-Hennepin Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2703180
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,837
- Composite
- 46.7/100
- National rank
- #2400
- State rank
- #71 of 301 in MN
Livability — Andover
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #291
- US rank
- #6311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Andover, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,452
Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 375,223 people
- By 2030
- 387,850 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 407,239 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 417,541 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 448,447 · +19.5%
- By 2100
- 464,954 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Anoka
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -267.68%
- Current HPI
- 242.7122
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listed $335,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Coming Soon $335,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,394 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…