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16107 7th Ave NW
D+ Composite 49.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$335,000

16107 7th Ave NW · Andover, MN 55304
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,384 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1948 0.90 ac lot $242/sqft · 30% above area Est $401k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 5-bedroom home offering a flexible layout across three levels. The main level features 2 bedrooms and a full bath, while the upper level includes 2 additional bedrooms and a1/2 bath. The lower level offers a 5th bedroom with walkout access to the patio. Enjoy a large backyard surrounded by mature trees providing exceptional privacy. Additional features include an updated kitchen, detached finished garage, and ample space for a variety of living needs.

Key facts

  • 0.9 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic system (compliant); Electric and propane fuel
  • Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Finished main level and lower level
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Medium tree coverage; No fencing noted

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen with adjacent informal dining/breakfast area
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms total; Bedroom on main level; Multiple bedrooms on upper level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; One half bathroom; Upper-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished walkout basement with egress windows; Block foundation; Hardwood floors; Kitchen window
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Laundry area in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($721/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (18.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $273k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Andover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#291 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 392 active listings in the ZIP; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $272,898 (18.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.77%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$401,364
List price
$335,000
Delta
-16.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.1%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-50,553
Equity at exit
$49,950
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-39,475
Equity at exit
$28,965

Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55304

Active inventory
392
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,729 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,757
Tax from tax record
$199 /mo · $2,394/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$573
Net cashflow
$60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,653
Max offer price $335,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,750
Closing costs
$10,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    historical Contingent - Other 464-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $335,000 Active 464-char remark
  3. 2026-05-06
    historical $335,000 464-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,394 · $199/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,073 · $256/mo
Expected delta
+$679/yr (+$57/mo · 28.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,748
− Mortgage interest
−$18,765
− Property taxes
−$2,394
− Insurance
−$1,675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,620
− Management
−$2,620
− Depreciation
−$9,745
Taxable loss
−$5,071
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,217
After-tax cash flow
$1,938/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District
NCES district ID
2703180
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$73,837
Composite
46.7/100
National rank
#2400
State rank
#71 of 301 in MN

Livability — Andover

Score
72/100
State rank
#291
US rank
#6311

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Andover, MN
Population (ZIP)
49,452

Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
375,223 people
By 2030
387,850 · +3.4%
By 2040
407,239 · +8.5%
By 2050
417,541 · +11.3%
By 2075
448,447 · +19.5%
By 2100
464,954 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Anoka

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -267.68%
Current HPI
242.7122
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $335,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Coming Soon $335,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,394 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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