5316 Janet Ave · Jennings, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$54,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bed 1 bath property part of a 4 unit package. FOUR UNITS CAN BE PURCHASED FOR $94,000, MLS 19086343, 19086218, and 19086197 GREAT START FOR A PORTFOLIO.
Key facts
- Newer flooring
- Newer roof
- Unfinished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Owner by contract
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built year per public records
- Exterior features: Front porch; Chain link fencing; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Gas oven; Refrigerator; Block basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 12.0% in Jennings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fairview Primary (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 267 students, 100% FRL); Rose Johnson Jennings Jr. High (math 10% / reading 23%, grade F, #357 of 391 statewide, top 91%, 361 students, 100% FRL); Jennings High (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #497 of 521 statewide, top 96%, 691 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($373 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.71%
- DSCR
- 2.68
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $37,648
- List price
- $54,000
- Delta
- 43.43%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7028 Dawson Pl | 0.15mi | 1/— (-1) | 602 (+2%) | 15mo | $29,999 | $50 | 72 |
| 5612 Janet Ave | 0.48mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 560 (-5%) | 7mo | $19,900 | $36 | 58 |
| 5635 Hodiamont Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 580 (-2%) | 18mo | $39,900 | $69 | 56 |
| 5314 Hamilton Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (+12%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $91 | 54 |
| 6342 Lena Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 678 (+14%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $59 | 50 |
| 6062 Thekla | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 640 (+8%) | 15mo | $36,000 | $56 | 41 |
| 6340 Lena Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 648 (+10%) | 23mo | $64,900 | $100 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $41,149
- Equity at exit
- $26,719
- IRR
- 45.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.92×
- Total profit
- $104,648
- Equity at exit
- $43,182
Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,035 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$283
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $442/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $475
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $506 | -5% $490 | +0% $475 | +5% $460 | +10% $445 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $393 | -5% $434 | +0% $475 | +5% $516 | +10% $557 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $502 | -0.5pp $489 | base $475 | +0.5pp $461 | +1.0pp $447 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,500
- Closing costs
- $1,620
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $995 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $899 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 0d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4719 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $995 | $1.34 | 6d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5600 Gatesworth Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,095 | $1.63 | 6d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7516 Chandler Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4935 Alcott Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $705 | $1.04 | 17d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $54,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $54,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $54,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $54,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $54,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $54,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $54,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $54,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-12$59,000 Active 830-char remark
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2025-09-06price $69,900
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2025-08-23historical $1,190
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2025-07-24$1,190
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2025-07-11$75,000 Active
-
2022-10-25soldstatus $83,000
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2020-02-24soldstatus $86,000
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2020-02-12soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
2 bed 1 bath property part of a 4 unit package. FOUR UNITS CAN BE PURCHASED FOR $94,000, MLS 19086343, 19086218, and 19086197 GREAT START FOR A PORTFOLIO.
-
2020-01-24status Pending
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
2 bed 1 bath property part of a 4 unit package. FOUR UNITS CAN BE PURCHASED FOR $94,000, MLS 19086343, 19086218, and 19086197 GREAT START FOR A PORTFOLIO.
-
2019-12-31price $26,000
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
2 bed 1 bath property part of a 4 unit package. FOUR UNITS CAN BE PURCHASED FOR $94,000, MLS 19086343, 19086218, and 19086197 GREAT START FOR A PORTFOLIO.
-
2019-11-26$28,000 Active
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
2 bed 1 bath property part of a 4 unit package. FOUR UNITS CAN BE PURCHASED FOR $94,000, MLS 19086343, 19086218, and 19086197 GREAT START FOR A PORTFOLIO.
-
2003-06-24soldstatus $36,500
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2003-01-29soldstatus $12,000
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2003-01-29soldstatus $15,100
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2001-10-10soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $442 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $524 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$82/yr (+$7/mo · 18.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,421
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,025
- − Property taxes
- −$442
- − Insurance
- −$270
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$994
- − Management
- −$994
- − Depreciation
- −$1,571
- Taxable income
- $5,126
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,230
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jennings
- NCES district ID
- 2916290
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,595
- Composite
- 11.04/100
- National rank
- #9739
- State rank
- #315 of 324 in MO
Livability — Jennings
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #10499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jennings, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+8.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $54,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listed $59,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-06 Price Changed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-23 Rental Removed $1,190 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-07-24 Listed for Rent $1,190 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-07-11 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-12 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-24 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-31 Price Changed $26,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-26 Listed $28,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
- 2003-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $15,100 Public Records
- 2003-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 2001-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.3%/yrLatest (2022): $442 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…