🏷️ Likely Rental
1315 Newport St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$12,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special! Solid 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom colonial on Detroit's east side, just minutes from Kercheval and Jefferson. Layout features a large living room, formal dining area, and full kitchen on the main level with all four bedrooms and full bath upstairs, offering great rental or flip potential. Property needs work and is priced accordingly, giving investors a chance to add value through rehab and updates. Prime location near the Jefferson/Chalmers and Kercheval corridors, close to neighborhood retail, dining, and easy access to downtown and Grosse Pointe. Located in a federally designated Opportunity Zone (per public maps); buyers and their advisors to verify all information, zoning, and incentives independently.
Key facts
- Full kitchen
- Large living room
- Formal dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Information not provided
- Financial info: Information not provided
- HOA & community: Information not provided
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Security: Information not provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Wood siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,364
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (30 x 123)
Interior
- Kitchen: Information not provided
- Bedrooms: Information not provided
- Flooring: Information not provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 7 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Information not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $12k).
- Cap rate 116.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $83 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $360 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 12.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 116.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 391.81%
- DSCR
- 18.43
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $267,732
- List price
- $12,000
- Delta
- -94.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1315 Newport St | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 | 1,364 (0%) | 0mo | $10,000 | $7 | 100 |
| 1060 Chalmers St | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 | 1,368 (+0%) | 8mo | $36,890 | $27 | 78 |
| 1075 Wayburn St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (+3%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $196 | 63 |
| 760 Algonquin St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,366 (+0%) | 10mo | $70,900 | $52 | 54 |
| 1332 Wayburn St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-8%) | 3mo | $335,000 | $268 | 51 |
| 1053 Wayburn St | 0.46mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,532 (+12%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $131 | 50 |
| 1318 Maryland St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,450 (+6%) | 7mo | $345,000 | $238 | 48 |
| 809 Algonquin St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-5%) | 9mo | $67,500 | $52 | 48 |
| 1429 Maryland St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,512 (+11%) | 0mo | $270,000 | $179 | 44 |
| 1032 Beaconsfield Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,476 (+8%) | 4mo | $229,900 | $156 | 39 |
| 591 Chalmers St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,556 (+14%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $32 | 38 |
| 3111 Lenox St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-12%) | 9mo | $25,000 | $21 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 21.22×
- Total profit
- $67,950
- Equity at exit
- $1,789
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 45.41×
- Total profit
- $149,233
- Equity at exit
- $1,038
Cash invested: $3,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48215
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,494 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$63
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$15 /mo · $180/yr
- Insurance
- −$5
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $1,097
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,000
- Closing costs
- $360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 875 Philip St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1353 | $1,400 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1042 Wayburn St Grosse Pointe Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 4d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1348 Wayburn St Grosse Pointe, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $2,200 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 734 Ashland St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 734 Ashland St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4251 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1326 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3625 Chatsworth St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1182 | $1,295 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3651 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,300 | $0.98 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3626 Courville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,300 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $12,000 Pending 5 DOM
Show marketing remark (728 chars)
Investor special! Solid 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom colonial on Detroit's east side, just minutes from Kercheval and Jefferson. Layout features a large living room, formal dining area, and full kitchen on the main level with all four bedrooms and full bath upstairs, offering great rental or flip potential. Property needs work and is priced accordingly, giving investors a chance to add value through rehab and updates. Prime location near the Jefferson/Chalmers and Kercheval corridors, close to neighborhood retail, dining, and easy access to downtown and Grosse Pointe. Located in a federally designated Opportunity Zone (per public maps); buyers and their advisors to verify all information, zoning, and incentives independently.
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2026-06-02days on market $12,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $12,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $12,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-04-08$15,000 Active 734-char remark
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2026-04-08$15,000 Active 728-char remark
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2026-04-08historical
-
2026-04-08historical
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2026-02-24$18,000 Active
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2026-02-24$18,000 Active
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2026-02-24historical
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2026-02-24historical
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2026-02-04status Active
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2026-02-04status Active
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2026-01-19historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2026-01-19historical Active Under Contract
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2026-01-10price $20,000
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2026-01-09price $20,000
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2025-12-04$28,000 Active
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2025-12-04$28,000 Active
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2002-07-01soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$672
- − Property taxes
- −$180
- − Insurance
- −$60
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,434
- − Management
- −$1,434
- − Depreciation
- −$349
- Taxable income
- $13,795
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,311
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- City population
- 572,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,238
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% White 9% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.84%
- Current HPI
- 191.0405
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-33.3% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-29 Listed $12,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-29 Listed $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-08 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-24 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-04 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-04 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-19 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-19 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $20,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-04 Listed $28,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-04 Listed $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $950 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…