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10799 Worden St
B Composite 71.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

10799 Worden St · Detroit, MI 48224
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,579 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1941 5,227 sqft lot $56/sqft · 8% below area Est $96k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid brick bungalow featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, complete with hardwood floors, a spacious living room with a fireplace, and a full basement with a dedicated laundry area. Property needs some work but would make a great home or investment opportunity. Sold as-is. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1941
  • Listed 63 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $66k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,660 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
11.25%
Cash-on-cash
17.72%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,456
List price
$89,000
Delta
-7.73%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9155 Grayton St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,554 (-2%) 0mo $170,000 $109 73
12058 Wayburn St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,566 (-1%) 2mo $143,000 $91 72
6150 Bluehill St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,647 (+4%) 3mo $153,000 $93 59
9160 Boleyn St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,436 (-9%) 4mo $69,000 $48 58
12180 Wayburn St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,643 (+4%) 4mo $65,000 $40 57
19331 Kingsville St 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,603 (+2%) 5mo $134,900 $84 57
9451 Camley St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,438 (-9%) 5mo $85,000 $59 56
9201 Bishop St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,700 (+8%) 4mo $45,000 $26 56
10727 Beaconsfield St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,486 (-6%) 5mo $72,000 $48 54
10947 Roxbury St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,696 (+7%) 2mo $127,675 $75 54
12230 Lansdowne St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,426 (-10%) 3mo $56,000 $39 53
9922 Yorkshire Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,342 (-15%) 2mo $75,000 $56 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$6,057
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$23,875
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,356 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$200 /mo · $2,396/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $891
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $418 -5% $393 +0% $368 +5% $343 +10% $318
Rent -10% $261 -5% $314 +0% $368 +5% $421 +10% $475
Rate -1.0pp $413 -0.5pp $391 base $368 +0.5pp $345 +1.0pp $321

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10870 Marne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1156 $1,100 $0.95 18d 1 0.25mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.28mi
9313 Harvard Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1329 $1,200 $0.90 18d 1 0.39mi
9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,350 $1.00 44d 1 0.46mi
11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 18d 1 0.47mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 18d 1 0.48mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 44d 1 0.50mi
19435 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,300 $1.13 18d 1 0.50mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 15d 1 0.50mi
20461 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,399 $1.27 15d 1 0.53mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,350 $1.18 44d 1 0.57mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 44d 1 0.58mi
9171 Bishop St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1508 $1,300 $0.86 44d 1 0.58mi
6225 Oldtown St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1330 $1,199 $0.90 18d 1 0.59mi
11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,400 $1.04 44d 1 0.62mi
20926 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 0.65mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 18d 1 0.66mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 4d 1 0.66mi
6154 Woodhall St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1136 $1,000 $0.88 44d 1 0.67mi
9635 Everts St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,650 $1.14 44d 1 0.71mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,300 $1.20 13d 1 0.73mi
10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $900 $0.78 21d 1 0.73mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.74mi
19203 Edgefield St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 25d 1 0.78mi
5944 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1910 $1,300 $0.68 18d 1 0.89mi
5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,225 $1.11 17d 1 0.90mi
18530 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.5 1396 $1,375 $0.98 18d 1 0.98mi
19168 Berden St Grosse Pointe, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 0d 1 1.03mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 11d 1 1.03mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 44d 1 1.11mi
12655 Kelly Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,150 $0.68 11d 1 1.11mi
12651 Kelly Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,150 $0.68 11d 1 1.11mi
15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 5d 1 1.12mi
16031 E 7 Mile Rd #5 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1204 $1,200 $1.00 3d 1 1.13mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 18d 1 1.15mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 18d 1 1.18mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 44d 1 1.18mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 1.22mi
18808 Eastwood Dr Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 2021 $1,500 $0.74 25d 1 1.22mi
15616 E 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,150 $1.00 18d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $89,000 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $92,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $92,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,000 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-04-16
    listed $92,000 Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Solid brick bungalow featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, complete with hardwood floors, a spacious living room with a fireplace, and a full basement with a dedicated laundry area. Property needs some work but would make a great home or investment opportunity. Sold as-is. Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2026-04-16
    historical
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Solid brick bungalow featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, complete with hardwood floors, a spacious living room with a fireplace, and a full basement with a dedicated laundry area. Property needs some work but would make a great home or investment opportunity. Sold as-is. Schedule your showing today!

  16. 2026-04-16
    listed $92,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Solid brick bungalow featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, complete with hardwood floors, a spacious living room with a fireplace, and a full basement with a dedicated laundry area. Property needs some work but would make a great home or investment opportunity. Sold as-is. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2026-04-16
    historical
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Solid brick bungalow featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, complete with hardwood floors, a spacious living room with a fireplace, and a full basement with a dedicated laundry area. Property needs some work but would make a great home or investment opportunity. Sold as-is. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-02-17
    listed $92,000 Active
  19. 2026-02-17
    listed $92,000 Active
  20. 2026-02-07
    historical
  21. 2026-02-07
    historical
  22. 2025-09-24
    price $99,000
  23. 2025-09-24
    price $99,000
  24. 2025-06-05
    listed $105,000 Active
  25. 2025-06-05
    listed $105,000 Active
  26. 2023-05-03
    historical
  27. 2023-05-03
    historical
  28. 2023-04-24
    status Active
  29. 2023-04-24
    status Active
  30. 2023-04-19
    historical
  31. 2023-04-19
    historical
  32. 2023-04-12
    listed $95,000 Active
  33. 2023-04-12
    listed $95,000 Active
  34. 2020-12-07
    soldstatus $65,900
  35. 2005-02-16
    soldstatus $109,000
  36. 2004-09-17
    soldstatus $109,000
  37. 2004-06-05
    listed $107,000
  38. 1996-07-03
    soldstatus $58,000
  39. 1996-06-24
    soldstatus $58,000
  40. 1996-05-14
    historical
  41. 1996-04-28
    listed $57,990

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,396 · $200/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,396 · $200/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,275
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$2,396
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,302
− Management
−$1,302
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$3,255
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$781
After-tax cash flow
$3,634/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.6% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $92,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $92,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $92,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $92,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-05 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-05 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-03 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-24 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-24 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-12 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-12 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $65,900 Public Records
  • 2005-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
  • 2004-09-17 Sold (MLS) $109,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-06-05 Listed $107,000 REALCOMP
  • 1996-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 1996-06-24 Sold (MLS) $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-05-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-04-28 Listed $57,990 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,396 · -54.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…