None · Miami, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
$432,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
New construction twin home in the heart of Miami featuring modern design and quality CBS poured-on-site construction. This residence offers impact-resistant windows, and a thoughtfully designed layout with a 2-car driveway finished in pavers and concrete. Located in a desirable central Miami area with easy access to major highways, schools, and urban amenities. Property is not part of a workforce program. CO received. Built by Bluenest Development. Move-in ready and available for immediate occupancy.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- 2-car driveway
- $272 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
- HOA & community: HOA fee of $272 per month
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more parking spaces
- Security: Security / high-impact doors
- Home design: Single-story; New construction; Property is attached; Entry on level 1
- Construction: Block construction; New construction
- Exterior features: Security / high-impact doors; Open porch; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Built-in features; First-floor entry; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $433k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $433k).
- Recommended offer: $420k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,432/mo this rent would consume 107% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 5231% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($420k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.17%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.79% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,964
- Equity at exit
- $88,325
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $45,609
- Equity at exit
- $79,573
Cash invested: $121,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33130
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 639
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,432 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,270
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$541 /mo · $6,494/yr
- Insurance
- −$180
- HOA
- −$272
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,141
- Net cashflow
- $1,027
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $108,225
- Closing costs
- $12,987
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $272 · $3,264/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $432,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $432,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $432,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $432,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $432,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $432,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $432,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $432,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $432,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $432,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $432,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $432,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $432,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $439,000
-
2026-04-23$451,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $65,179
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,249
- − Property taxes
- −$6,494
- − Insurance
- −$2,164
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,214
- − Management
- −$5,214
- − HOA
- −$3,264
- − Depreciation
- −$12,593
- Taxable income
- $5,986
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,437
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,891/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in ready townhouse in Miami offers modern design and quality construction. It is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed, making it an attractive investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
- Both New window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #2724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 827,308
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,964
- Household income
- $61,009
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5231.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 73% Two or more races 44% White 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 24% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 60% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 23% English-only · Spanish 70% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.79%
- Current HPI
- 344.7752
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.53%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-2.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $439,000 MARMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $451,000 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…