705 S Grace Ave · Crawfordsville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 9,757 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1948
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.5% in Crawfordsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#118 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, commute D+, amenities F.
- Crawfordsville Community Schools (town): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #247 of 301 in IN (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 52 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.33%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,264
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 S Grace Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,232 (0%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $93 | 100 |
| 1802 E College St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-4%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $187 | 78 |
| 1919 Fremont St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,156 (-6%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $173 | 75 |
| 504 Wilson Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+9%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $160 | 71 |
| 706 Mill St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,222 (-1%) | 4mo | $152,000 | $124 | 67 |
| 1906 Traction Rd | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,281 (+4%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $148 | 64 |
| 410 Spann Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-12%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $152 | 60 |
| 1011 Chapel Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,340 (+9%) | 4mo | $78,000 | $58 | 56 |
| 435 Greenacres Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-3%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $188 | 53 |
| 325 Fairlane Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,324 (+8%) | 5mo | $197,000 | $149 | 50 |
| 153 N Pleasant Run | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,364 (+11%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $165 | 48 |
| 907 Tuttle Ave | 0.58mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,084 (-12%) | 4mo | $148,000 | $137 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,974
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $13,228
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47933
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,309 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Knoll Cir Crawfordsville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,250 | $1.52 | 13d | 9 | 0.26mi |
| 103 Aspen Dr Crawfordsville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $1,525 | $1.26 | 20d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 102 Aspen Dr Crawfordsville, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,225 | $1.20 | 20d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 100 Aspen Dr Crawfordsville, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $1,525 | $1.51 | 13d | 5 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-01-26price $119,900
-
2026-01-26price $119,900
-
2025-09-26$144,900 Active
-
2025-09-26$144,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,702
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,256
- − Management
- −$1,256
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $588
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$141
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,321/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crawfordsville Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1802460
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,087
- Composite
- 24.73/100
- National rank
- #7606
- State rank
- #247 of 301 in IN
Livability — Crawfordsville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #118
- US rank
- #6376
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crawfordsville, IN
- County
- Montgomery County · 28,357 people
- City population
- 28,357
- Metro
- Crawfordsville, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,357
- Household income
- $68,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,893 people
- By 2030
- 37,539 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 36,536 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 34,454 · -9.1%
- By 2075
- 28,852 · -23.9%
- By 2100
- 21,145 · -44.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.2) · D 24.9% · R 73.2% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: -19.9pp · 2024: -48.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.2 2020: R+49.1 2016: R+50.9 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.91%
- Current HPI
- 211.6864
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- Metro
- Crawfordsville, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-17.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $119,900 IRMLS
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $119,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Listed $144,900 IRMLS
- 2025-09-26 Listed $144,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5 · -41.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…