4565 Tucker Dr · Prichard, AL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,164
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * Value Range Marketing: Seller is entertaining offers from $144,900 – $164,900 * * Completely remodeled and move-in ready! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offers approximately 1,200 sq ft of modern living space with an open-concept layout perfect for entertaining and everyday living. The remodeled kitchen features stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, cooktop, and hood range, while the updated bathroom includes modern fixtures and a tub/shower combo. Fresh paint and durable LVP flooring flow throughout the home. Spacious bedrooms offer plenty of closet and storage space, and the sunroom provides the perfect bonus area for relaxing o
Key facts
- Large corner lot
- Remodeled kitchen
- Sunroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 covered space); 2 parking spaces total
- Utilities: Electricity available (220 volts); Natural gas available; Water available; Septic tank sewage
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick 4 sides construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Insulated windows; Built in 1960; Other outbuildings/structures on site
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; No fencing; Property has a view; No pool or spa
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Range hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 0 half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Gas water heater; Range hood; Refrigerator; Washer; No fireplace; Accessible bedroom, doors, entrance, full bath, hallway(s), kitchen, kitchen appliances, and washer/dryer
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mattie T Blount High School (math 2% / reading 3%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 1,176 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 67% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 2% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $997 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $144k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.93%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $60,544
- List price
- $144,164
- Delta
- 138.11%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Turner Ln | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,031 (-14%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $121 | 50 |
| 235 Crystal Springs Rd S | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-10%) | 24mo | $33,000 | $31 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-4
- Equity at exit
- $21,495
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $29,879
- Equity at exit
- $12,465
Cash invested: $40,366 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36613
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,537 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$756
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $360/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $368
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,041
- Closing costs
- $4,325
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-15$144,164 Active 1017-char remark
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $68,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $360 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $591 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$231/yr (+$19/mo · 64.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,438
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,075
- − Property taxes
- −$360
- − Insurance
- −$721
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,475
- − Management
- −$1,475
- − Depreciation
- −$4,194
- Taxable income
- $2,138
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$513
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,900/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Prichard
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #472
- US rank
- #24080
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prichard, AL
- City population
- 13,402
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,082
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (52%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.49%
- Current HPI
- 208.8677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+112.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-15 Listed $144,164 GCMLS AL
- 2023-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-11.1%/yrLatest (2025): $360 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…