534 E 37th Ave Unit 9JFH2X · Lake Station, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Cash flow +0.2/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -2.6
$87,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Ravinia Pines - where custom living meets elevated design. This stunning Clayton-built residence is more than just a home - it's a statement. Thoughtfully designed with rich textures, upscale finishes, and modern architectural detail throughout, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath custom home delivers the kind of warmth and sophistication rarely found at this price point. Priced as shown at $92,500, this home was designed to feel curated, refined, and effortlessly luxurious from the moment you walk through the door. And the best part? You can personalize it even further - add finishing touches, upgrade selections, or completely redesign elements to create a home that is uniquely yours. Build on the homesite of your choice within Ravinia Pines and create a space that reflects your vision from the ground up. Luxury details include: • Matte black pendant lighting creating a dramatic designer focal point • Statement accent wall adding depth, texture, and architectural character • Decorative ceiling beams bringing warmth and elevated craftsmanship • Spa-inspired Palisade shower surround with a clean, modern aesthetic • Farmhouse sink paired with upscale fixtures and designer finishes • Upgraded appliance package blending style with functionality • Luxe primary suite designed as a true private retreat This home is a dream - balancing custom-home style with attainable ownership in one of the area's most welcoming communities. 23-year home loan financing options available.
Key facts
- Built 2024
- Listed 439 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $87k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-391 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $30k (65.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (65.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 0.9% vs local median 6.0% in Lake Station — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#411 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- River Forest Community School Corporation (suburban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #268 of 301 in IN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John I Meister Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #762 of 994 statewide, top 78%, 346 students, 87% FRL); River Forest Middle School (math 10% / reading 26%, grade F, #279 of 330 statewide, top 86%, 379 students, 87% FRL); River Forest High School (math 12% / reading 52%, grade F, #295 of 369 statewide, top 82%, 532 students, 83% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 495 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 66d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 440 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 9% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 60% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 440 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 65% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 0.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -19.24%
- DSCR
- 0.14
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,780
- List price
- $87,000
- Delta
- -53.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 W 39th Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+3%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $231 | 73 |
| 1301 E 34th Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-3%) | 1mo | $174,900 | $156 | 71 |
| 1350 E 34th Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (-7%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $107 | 62 |
| 125 N Wisconsin St | 0.88mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (+2%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $192 | 57 |
| 297 Fox Trail Ct | 0.70mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,198 (+4%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $200 | 53 |
| 2834 W 38th Ave | 1.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,225 (+6%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $155 | 50 |
| 4124 Liverpool Rd | 1.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+10%) | 1mo | $247,000 | $196 | 48 |
| 27 N Connecticut St | 0.99mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-8%) | 1mo | $228,750 | $217 | 46 |
| 920 W Old Ridge Rd | 0.85mi | 3/1.0 | 1,023 (-11%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $200 | 42 |
| 1034 E Cleveland Ave | 1.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (+14%) | 1mo | $192,500 | $147 | 36 |
| 80 Lukes Ct | 0.74mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,418 (+23%) | 0mo | $252,500 | $178 | 33 |
| 16 Beverly Blvd | 0.99mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 868 (-24%) | 1mo | $211,000 | $243 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -45.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.46×
- Total profit
- $-35,603
- Equity at exit
- $12,972
- IRR
- -38.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.99×
- Total profit
- $-48,537
- Equity at exit
- $7,522
Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 18 active
- Median asking
- $49,500 ($41/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 82 d
- This list price
- 100% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +300.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 46342
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 495
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,089 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$456
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$109 /mo · $1,305/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$650
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $-391
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-331 | -5% $-361 | +0% $-391 | +5% $-421 | +10% $-451 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-477 | -5% $-434 | +0% $-391 | +5% $-348 | +10% $-305 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-347 | -0.5pp $-369 | base $-391 | +0.5pp $-413 | +1.0pp $-436 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,750
- Closing costs
- $2,610
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 905 W 37th Ave Unit 48 Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 184d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 621 W 39th Pl Hobart, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 0d | 4 | 0.45mi |
| 416 Van Buren Ave Hobart, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 142d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 327 N Colorado St Hobart, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,625 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 333 Neringa Ln Hobart, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1102 | $1,780 | $1.62 | 0d | 3 | 0.78mi |
| 6 Huber Blvd New Chicago, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6 Huber Blvd New Chicago, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 12d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2955 Dekalb St Unit 21 Lake Station, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2955 DeKalb St Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 86d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2955 DeKalb St Lake Station, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,100 | $1.40 | 143d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2830 Grand Blvd Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,395 | $1.61 | 138d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1811 E 28th Ave Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,325 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4537 Park Ave Lake Station, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,300 | $1.57 | 0d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1229 W 44th Pl Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,350 | $1.86 | 95d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2715 Greene St Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1003 | $1,425 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2716 Huntington St Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,500 | $1.80 | 132d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3753 Englehart St Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 138d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1421 High St Unit 2W Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 161d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1421 High St Unit 1E Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3320 Randolph Pl Apt D Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,400 | $1.14 | 53d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2873 New Hampshire St Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 80d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 215 East St Unit 3 Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 65d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 215 East St Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 92d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $87,000 Active 440 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $87,000 Active 439 DOM
-
2026-11-07remarks 699-char remark
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2026-11-06days on market $87,000 Active 438 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $87,000 Active 437 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $87,000 Active 436 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $87,000 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $87,000 Active 433 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $87,000 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $87,000 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $87,000 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $87,000 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $87,000 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $87,000 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $87,000 Active 426 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $87,000 Active 425 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $87,000 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $87,000 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $87,000 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $87,000 Active 421 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $87,000 Active 420 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $87,000 Active 419 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $87,000 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $87,000 Active 417 DOM
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2026-10-15days on market $87,000 Active 416 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $87,000 Active 415 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $87,000 Active 414 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $87,000 Active 413 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $87,000 Active 412 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $87,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $87,000 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $87,000 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $87,000 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $87,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $87,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $87,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $87,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $87,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $87,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $87,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $87,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $87,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $87,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-09-26days on market $87,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $87,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $87,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $87,000 Active 394 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $87,000 Active 393 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $87,000 Active 392 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $87,000 Active 391 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,873
- − Property taxes
- −$1,305
- − Insurance
- −$435
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,046
- − Management
- −$1,046
- − HOA
- −$7,800
- − Depreciation
- −$2,531
- Taxable loss
- −$5,963
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,431
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,256/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This modern, move-in-ready manufactured home features a well-designed kitchen with stainless steel appliances and granite countertops, and is priced at $92,500. Potential buyers and renters can appreciate the home's excellent condition and the opportunity to personalize it further.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and can be a selling point for both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding a smart lock — Enhances security and can be a selling point for both buyers and renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- River Forest Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1804620
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,317
- Composite
- 19.65/100
- National rank
- #8738
- State rank
- #268 of 301 in IN
Livability — Lake Station
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #411
- US rank
- #14929
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Station, IN
- County
- Lake County · 484,026 people
- City population
- 12,184
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,224
- Household income
- $75,521
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 5%
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.01%
- Current HPI
- 260.2635
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.63%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+12.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $90,000 Zillow
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $92,500 Zillow
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-11-29 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-11-01 Price Changed $68,685 Zillow
- 2024-03-14 Listed $79,999 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…