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C Composite 59.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

13362 Emporia St · Houston, TX 77015
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1951 7,200 sqft lot Est $157k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity comes knocking!!! 13362 Emporia Street great fixer-upper for an investor! Vacant home ready to renovate & sell in thriving market! Just off of I-10 with lots of potential!! Fabulous ARV & Rental income! TLC needed! Property sits on a spacious lot on . 17 acres. BRING ALL OFFERS! Hurry to get your hands on this one!

Key facts

  • 7,200 sq ft lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 2 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Galena Park ISD (suburban): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #578 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: North Shore Middle (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #842 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 1,260 students, 87% FRL); North Shore Senior High (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 4,569 students, 86% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.82%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,672
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13125 Joliet St 0.42mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,064 (-2%) 3mo $185,000 $174 67
13339 Emporia St 0.07mi 3/1.0 (+1) 950 (-13%) 10mo $135,000 $142 62
821 Evanston St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,032 (-5%) 12mo $148,000 $143 61
13229 Vicksburg St 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,153 (+6%) 11mo $149,000 $129 58
13137 Vicksburg St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,134 (+4%) 16mo $198,000 $175 54
13327 Halifax St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,212 (+11%) 0mo $175,000 $144 53
12913 Joliet St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,076 (-1%) 16mo $189,000 $176 51
13725 Corpus Christi St 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,200 (+10%) 8mo $115,000 $96 47
13522 Boise St St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,220 (+12%) 4mo $115,000 $94 46
13306 Force St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (+8%) 13mo $199,900 $170 46
706 Redondo Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,198 (+10%) 7mo $167,900 $140 43
501 Evanston St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,206 (+11%) 15mo $187,500 $155 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-12,462
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-15,255
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77015

Home prices YoY
-10.8%
Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,243 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$310 /mo · $3,718/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,102
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13025 Joliet St Unit A Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 842 $925 $1.10 24d 1 0.50mi
13025 Joliet St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,098 $2.10 10d 1 0.50mi
13433 Topeka St Unit 1510879P Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1420 $1,767 $1.24 2d 1 0.56mi
13925 Alderson St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,273 $1.82 3d 1 0.84mi
13925 Alderson St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 730 $824 $1.13 15d 1 0.84mi
353 Audrey Ln Unit 383 Houston, TX 2.0 2.5 1224 $1,400 $1.14 43d 1 0.94mi
353 Audrey Ln Unit 365 1/2 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,375 $1.72 43d 1 0.94mi
695 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 788 $1,200 $1.52 12d 30 0.95mi
13161 Woodforest Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 965 $1,058 $1.10 43d 1 0.96mi
799 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 843 $1,387 $1.65 2d 13 0.97mi
555 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 745 $1,385 $1.86 2d 23 1.01mi
561 Normandy St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,200 $1.28 22d 1 1.02mi
561 Normandy St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,200 $1.28 43d 1 1.02mi
12905 Woodforest Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 886 $1,098 $1.24 20d 2 1.08mi
12955 Woodforest Blvd Unit 305 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 728 $975 $1.34 24d 1 1.09mi
536 Normandy St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 860 $1,144 $1.33 43d 1 1.10mi
12800 Woodforest Blvd Unit 12857 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,126 $1.32 2d 1 1.10mi
12800 Woodforest Blvd Unit 12833 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,366 $1.14 2d 1 1.10mi
794 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 742 $1,255 $1.69 2d 27 1.14mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1158 $1,496 $1.29 43d 1 1.15mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 712 $1,035 $1.45 19d 1 1.15mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1158 $1,496 $1.29 19d 1 1.15mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 712 $1,035 $1.45 22d 1 1.15mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1028 $1,306 $1.27 24d 1 1.15mi
12516 Orleans St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 995 $1,275 $1.28 24d 1 1.16mi
250 Uvalde Rd Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 909 $1,039 $1.14 2d 26 1.16mi
456 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 734 $1,099 $1.50 43d 1 1.22mi
13464 Castilian Dr #2 Houston, TX 3.0 1.5 1440 $1,195 $0.83 12d 1 1.38mi
14448 Bonham St Unit 1 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 750 $825 $1.10 2d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2025-06-24
    status Pending
  2. 2023-07-12
    status Pending
  3. 2023-07-10
    listed $99,000 Active
  4. 2008-08-15
    soldstatus
  5. 2002-10-01
    soldstatus
  6. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,718 · $310/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,718 · $310/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,910
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$3,718
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,193
− Management
−$1,193
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$114
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$27
After-tax cash flow
$1,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galena Park ISD
NCES district ID
4820250
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$43,158
Composite
27.62/100
National rank
#6927
State rank
#578 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
58,415
Household income
$57,753
Rent vs Own
46.8% rent · 53.2% own
Severe rent burden
1816.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 54% Black 14% White 6% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60% Cuban 2%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
31% English-only · Spanish 68% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.47%
Current HPI
300.1821
Rent YoY
▼ -0.83%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-24 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-07-12 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-07-10 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
  • 2008-08-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-10-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,718 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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