13362 Emporia St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.26%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity comes knocking!!! 13362 Emporia Street great fixer-upper for an investor! Vacant home ready to renovate & sell in thriving market! Just off of I-10 with lots of potential!! Fabulous ARV & Rental income! TLC needed! Property sits on a spacious lot on . 17 acres. BRING ALL OFFERS! Hurry to get your hands on this one!
Key facts
- 7,200 sq ft lot
- Built 1951
- Listed 2 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Galena Park ISD (suburban): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #578 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: North Shore Middle (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #842 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 1,260 students, 87% FRL); North Shore Senior High (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 4,569 students, 86% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.82%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13125 Joliet St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,064 (-2%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $174 | 67 |
| 13339 Emporia St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (-13%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $142 | 62 |
| 821 Evanston St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,032 (-5%) | 12mo | $148,000 | $143 | 61 |
| 13229 Vicksburg St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,153 (+6%) | 11mo | $149,000 | $129 | 58 |
| 13137 Vicksburg St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,134 (+4%) | 16mo | $198,000 | $175 | 54 |
| 13327 Halifax St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,212 (+11%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $144 | 53 |
| 12913 Joliet St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,076 (-1%) | 16mo | $189,000 | $176 | 51 |
| 13725 Corpus Christi St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+10%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $96 | 47 |
| 13522 Boise St St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,220 (+12%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $94 | 46 |
| 13306 Force St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+8%) | 13mo | $199,900 | $170 | 46 |
| 706 Redondo Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,198 (+10%) | 7mo | $167,900 | $140 | 43 |
| 501 Evanston St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,206 (+11%) | 15mo | $187,500 | $155 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-12,462
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-15,255
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77015
- Home prices YoY
- -10.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,243 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,718/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $111
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13025 Joliet St Unit A Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $925 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 13025 Joliet St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,098 | $2.10 | 10d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 13433 Topeka St Unit 1510879P Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,767 | $1.24 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 13925 Alderson St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,273 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 13925 Alderson St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $824 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 353 Audrey Ln Unit 383 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1224 | $1,400 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 353 Audrey Ln Unit 365 1/2 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 695 Normandy St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 788 | $1,200 | $1.52 | 12d | 30 | 0.95mi |
| 13161 Woodforest Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 965 | $1,058 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 799 Normandy St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $1,387 | $1.65 | 2d | 13 | 0.97mi |
| 555 Normandy St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 745 | $1,385 | $1.86 | 2d | 23 | 1.01mi |
| 561 Normandy St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,200 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 561 Normandy St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,200 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 12905 Woodforest Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,098 | $1.24 | 20d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 12955 Woodforest Blvd Unit 305 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $975 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 536 Normandy St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,144 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 12800 Woodforest Blvd Unit 12857 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,126 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 12800 Woodforest Blvd Unit 12833 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,366 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 794 Normandy St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 742 | $1,255 | $1.69 | 2d | 27 | 1.14mi |
| 316 White Cedar St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $1,496 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 316 White Cedar St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,035 | $1.45 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 316 White Cedar St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $1,496 | $1.29 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 316 White Cedar St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,035 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 316 White Cedar St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,306 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 12516 Orleans St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,275 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 250 Uvalde Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 909 | $1,039 | $1.14 | 2d | 26 | 1.16mi |
| 456 Normandy St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,099 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13464 Castilian Dr #2 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $1,195 | $0.83 | 12d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 14448 Bonham St Unit 1 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2025-06-24status Pending
-
2023-07-12status Pending
-
2023-07-10$99,000 Active
-
2008-08-15soldstatus
-
2002-10-01soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,718 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,718 · $310/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$3,718
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,193
- − Management
- −$1,193
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$114
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$27
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,363/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galena Park ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820250
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,158
- Composite
- 27.62/100
- National rank
- #6927
- State rank
- #578 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,415
- Household income
- $57,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1816.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 54% Black 14% White 6% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 60% Cuban 2%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 31% English-only · Spanish 68% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.47%
- Current HPI
- 300.1821
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-24 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-07-12 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-07-10 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2008-08-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,718 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…