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546 Rice St
B Composite 74.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

546 Rice St · Danville, VA 24540
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 791 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 263 Days on market
Built 1952 0.27 ac lot $69/sqft · 12% below area Est $62k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment Potential. This 2BD 1BA home has rental potential. Large yard with double lot. This property could be updated and the investment could pay dividends for years to come. Don't pass this opportunity by.

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Double lot
  • 0.27 acre lot

Tags

LARGE YARDDOUBLE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 5.3% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#91 in VA, #2,952 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
  • Danville City Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #128 of 131 in VA (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 211 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 54 units permitted in Danville city in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Danville County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
16.89%
Cash-on-cash
37.85%
DSCR
2.68
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$62,244
List price
$54,900
Delta
-11.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
203 Cunningham St 0.17mi 2/1.0 783 (-1%) 2mo $44,000 $56 89
126 Midland St 0.12mi 2/1.0 783 (-1%) 11mo $75,000 $96 83
121 7th St 0.19mi 2/1.0 775 (-2%) 12mo $55,000 $71 78
1482 Myrtle Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 800 (+1%) 4mo $75,000 $94 78
460 Locust Ln 0.18mi 2/1.0 750 (-5%) 10mo $26,000 $35 75
1555 Myrtle Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 832 (+5%) 11mo $70,000 $84 66
1441 Myrtle Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 874 (+10%) 3mo $43,500 $50 62
2133 Spencer St 0.50mi 2/1.0 817 (+3%) 12mo $65,000 $80 61
227 Jordan St 0.29mi 2/1.0 892 (+13%) 9mo $55,000 $62 58
205 Sunset Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 775 (-2%) 12mo $85,000 $110 56
2211 Spencer St 0.53mi 2/1.0 875 (+11%) 8mo $75,000 $86 51
1233 Aspen St 0.49mi 2/1.0 672 (-15%) 15mo $29,500 $44 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.9%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$21,971
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
40.8%
Equity multiple
4.83×
Total profit
$58,835
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24540

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Active inventory
211
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,029 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $208/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$485

Break-even live

Break-even rent $415
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
128 Lowell St Danville, VA 3.0 1.0 918 $1,050 $1.14 43d 1 0.15mi
224 Clement Ave Unit 2B Danville, VA 1.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 43d 1 0.50mi
117 Ida St Danville, VA 3.0 1.0 925 $1,163 $1.26 43d 1 0.75mi
1353 N Main St Apt 6 Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 850 $650 $0.76 43d 1 0.78mi
337 Audubon Dr Apt 22C Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 43d 1 0.86mi
335 Audubon Dr Apt 10B Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 43d 1 0.88mi
333 Audubon Dr Apt 17A Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 43d 1 0.91mi
442 Main St Unit 306 Danville, VA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,200 $1.82 43d 1 1.39mi
442 Main St Unit 207 Danville, VA 2.0 2.0 850 $1,500 $1.76 43d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $54,900 Active 263 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,900 Active 262 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,900 Active 261 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 260 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    price $54,900 Active 259 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 259 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 257 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 256 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 254 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 253 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 252 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 251 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 248 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $60,000 Active 246 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 245 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 244 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 243 DOM
  18. 2026-05-18
    historical Active Under Contract 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great Investment Potential. This 2BD 1BA home has rental potential. Large yard with double lot. This property could be updated and the investment could pay dividends for years to come. Don't pass this opportunity by.

  19. 2026-01-28
    price $60,000 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great Investment Potential. This 2BD 1BA home has rental potential. Large yard with double lot. This property could be updated and the investment could pay dividends for years to come. Don't pass this opportunity by.

  20. 2025-09-30
    listed $69,900 Active 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great Investment Potential. This 2BD 1BA home has rental potential. Large yard with double lot. This property could be updated and the investment could pay dividends for years to come. Don't pass this opportunity by.

  21. 2024-12-30
    soldstatus $45,000
  22. 2024-12-27
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great Investment Potential. This 2BD 1BA home has rental potential. Large yard with double lot. This property could be updated and the investment could pay dividends for years to come. Don't pass this opportunity by.

  23. 2024-12-04
    historical Active Under Contract 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great Investment Potential. This 2BD 1BA home has rental potential. Large yard with double lot. This property could be updated and the investment could pay dividends for years to come. Don't pass this opportunity by.

  24. 2024-11-11
    listed $50,000 Active 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great Investment Potential. This 2BD 1BA home has rental potential. Large yard with double lot. This property could be updated and the investment could pay dividends for years to come. Don't pass this opportunity by.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$208 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$450 · $38/mo
Expected delta
+$242/yr (+$20/mo · 116.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,350
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$208
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$988
− Management
−$988
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$5,219
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,252
After-tax cash flow
$4,566/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Danville City Public School District
NCES district ID
5101110
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$31,952
Composite
30.23/100
National rank
#6298
State rank
#128 of 131 in VA

Livability — Danville

Score
77/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#2952

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Danville, VA
County
Danville City · 59,055 people
City population
59,055
Metro
Danville, VA
Population (ZIP)
31,013
Household income
$47,924
Rent vs Own
40.4% rent · 59.6% own
Severe rent burden
1170.0

Population outlook (Danville County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,989 people
By 2030
40,432 · -1.4%
By 2040
39,255 · -4.2%
By 2050
38,035 · -7.2%
By 2075
35,612 · -13.1%
By 2100
30,365 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Danville

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.1) · D 60.1% · R 39.0%
2008→2024 swing
+1.9pp toward D · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 21.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.1 2020: D+22.1 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+22.1 2008: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.79%
Current HPI
235.1746
Rent YoY
Metro
Danville, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+20.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Contingent DRRAR
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $60,000 DRRAR
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $69,900 DRRAR
  • 2024-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2024-12-27 Sold (MLS) $45,000 DRRAR
  • 2024-12-04 Contingent DRRAR
  • 2024-11-11 Listed $50,000 DRRAR

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $208 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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