3001 13th St · Menominee, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NICE FAMILY HOME AT A GREAT PRICE. FENCED AREA IN BACK, ALL VINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWS ON THE 2ND FLR, GARAGE W/ BREEZEWAY. REMODELED 1ST FLR BATHRM, NEW SEWER LINE FROM ST. ADDED INSULATION IN ATTIC.
Key facts
- Full basement
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas available; Central air
- Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Construction completed
- Construction: Finished above-grade living area approximately 1,593; No finished space below grade
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot under 1/2 acre (approximately 0.16 acre); Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on the main level about 12 x 19
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) about 10 x 12; Bedroom 2 (Upper) about 11 x 11; Bedroom 3 (Upper) about 10 x 11
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full poured concrete basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 24.7% vs local median 4.0% in Menominee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#282 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Menominee Area Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #312 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Menominee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Menominee County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.75%
- DSCR
- 3.93
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $186,381
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3101 16th St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,601 (+0%) | 1mo | $220,400 | $138 | 90 |
| 3209 13th St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (+0%) | 11mo | $187,400 | $117 | 83 |
| 1809 28th Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,600 (+0%) | 7mo | $270,000 | $169 | 76 |
| 3009 17th St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,826 (+15%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $115 | 64 |
| 3308 13th St | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,358 (-15%) | 4mo | $152,000 | $112 | 60 |
| 1709 25th Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,780 (+12%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $107 | 59 |
| 4000 13th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-6%) | 2mo | $219,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 1113 38th Ave | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,753 (+10%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $80 | 53 |
| 1600 26th Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,428 (-10%) | 11mo | $170,400 | $119 | 52 |
| 1905 16th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (-5%) | 9mo | $151,000 | $100 | 48 |
| 1813 14th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,625 (+2%) | 9mo | $127,000 | $78 | 46 |
| 2300 19th St | 0.54mi | 3/3.0 | 1,800 (+13%) | 10mo | $317,500 | $176 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.91×
- Total profit
- $40,668
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 69.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.03×
- Total profit
- $98,182
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49858
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,356 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $277/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $766
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $794 | -5% $780 | +0% $766 | +5% $751 | +10% $737 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $658 | -5% $712 | +0% $766 | +5% $819 | +10% $873 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $791 | -0.5pp $778 | base $766 | +0.5pp $753 | +1.0pp $739 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,900 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-12$49,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $277 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $523 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$246/yr (+$20/mo · 88.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,270
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$277
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,302
- − Management
- −$1,302
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $8,893
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,134
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,052/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Menominee Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2623550
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,809
- Composite
- 28.68/100
- National rank
- #6694
- State rank
- #312 of 540 in MI
Livability — Menominee
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #282
- US rank
- #6909
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Menominee, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,870
Population outlook (Menominee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,668 people
- By 2030
- 21,986 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 20,196 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 18,335 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 14,771 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 10,999 · -51.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 7% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Menominee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.8pp toward R · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+29.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.34%
- Current HPI
- 206.2461
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-13.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $49,900 RANW
- 2006-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $59,400 Public Records
- 2006-05-30 Sold (MLS) $59,400 METROMLS
- 2006-03-14 Listed $57,900 METROMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…