35394 Sussex Ln · Long Neck, DE
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Price adjustment, Seller is willing to pay closing costs and DMV fees with acceptable offer. Step into this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The large living room flows seamlessly into a roomy kitchen with ample counter space and storage—ideal for home chefs and family gatherings. The primary suite offers a relaxing retreat with a generous walk-in shower in the en-suite bath. Outside, a versatile shed with electric ready to install adds extra value and potential. Plus a beautiful community pool, plenty of community entertainment, and low lot rent. Whether you're starting fresh or settling in, this home is ready to welcome you.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Ample counter space
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $781 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.8% vs local median 3.2% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 865 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.10%
- DSCR
- 3.63
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,817
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -14.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35468 Joann Dr #11511 | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-3%) | 11mo | $52,000 | $41 | 74 |
| 27287 Seabreeze Rd #5643 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+2%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $95 | 54 |
| 27299 Dinghy Rd #1348 | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 9mo | $69,000 | $58 | 52 |
| 35317 Fishermans Rd #5751 | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (+0%) | 19mo | $62,000 | $48 | 46 |
| 35476 Bayview Ln #4147 | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+8%) | 17mo | $146,000 | $104 | 38 |
| 34651 Deck St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,476 (+14%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $27 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $35,407
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.81×
- Total profit
- $95,938
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19966
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 865
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,251 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $310/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$2
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $781
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35829 S Gloucester Cir Unit 35829 Long Neck, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.15mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $2 · $24/yr
- Likely covers
- electricpool
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $90,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-03-10price $120,000 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Price adjustment, Seller is willing to pay closing costs and DMV fees with acceptable offer. Step into this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The large living room flows seamlessly into a roomy kitchen with ample counter space and storage—ideal for home chefs and family gatherings. The primary suite offers a relaxing retreat with a generous walk-in shower in the en-suite bath. Outside, a versatile shed with electric ready to install adds extra value and potential. Plus a beautiful community pool, plenty of community entertainment, and low lot rent. Whether you're starting fresh or settling in, this home is ready to welcome you.
-
2026-01-07price $128,000 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Price adjustment, Seller is willing to pay closing costs and DMV fees with acceptable offer. Step into this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The large living room flows seamlessly into a roomy kitchen with ample counter space and storage—ideal for home chefs and family gatherings. The primary suite offers a relaxing retreat with a generous walk-in shower in the en-suite bath. Outside, a versatile shed with electric ready to install adds extra value and potential. Plus a beautiful community pool, plenty of community entertainment, and low lot rent. Whether you're starting fresh or settling in, this home is ready to welcome you.
-
2025-11-18$130,000 Active 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Price adjustment, Seller is willing to pay closing costs and DMV fees with acceptable offer. Step into this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The large living room flows seamlessly into a roomy kitchen with ample counter space and storage—ideal for home chefs and family gatherings. The primary suite offers a relaxing retreat with a generous walk-in shower in the en-suite bath. Outside, a versatile shed with electric ready to install adds extra value and potential. Plus a beautiful community pool, plenty of community entertainment, and low lot rent. Whether you're starting fresh or settling in, this home is ready to welcome you.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $310 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $416 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- +$106/yr (+$9/mo · 34.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,014
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$310
- − Insurance
- −$5,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,161
- − Management
- −$2,161
- − HOA
- −$24
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $8,724
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,094
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,275/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Long Neck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #8720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 82,708 people
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,884
- Household income
- $78,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.26%
- Current HPI
- 268.5609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-7.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $128,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $310 · -17.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…