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35394 Sussex Ln
B+ Composite 75.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

35394 Sussex Ln · Long Neck, DE 19966
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured public records · 209 Days on market
Built 2013 104 ac lot $69/sqft · 20% below area Est $105k · 14% under $2/mo HOA ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Price adjustment, Seller is willing to pay closing costs and DMV fees with acceptable offer. Step into this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The large living room flows seamlessly into a roomy kitchen with ample counter space and storage—ideal for home chefs and family gatherings. The primary suite offers a relaxing retreat with a generous walk-in shower in the en-suite bath. Outside, a versatile shed with electric ready to install adds extra value and potential. Plus a beautiful community pool, plenty of community entertainment, and low lot rent. Whether you're starting fresh or settling in, this home is ready to welcome you.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Ample counter space
  • Community pool

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE LIVING ROOMROOMY KITCHENAMPLE COUNTER SPACEVERSATILE SHEDCOMMUNITY POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $781 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.8% vs local median 3.2% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 865 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.50%
Cap rate
22.84%
Cash-on-cash
59.10%
DSCR
3.63
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$104,817
List price
$90,000
Delta
-14.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35468 Joann Dr #11511 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,260 (-3%) 11mo $52,000 $41 74
27287 Seabreeze Rd #5643 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,320 (+2%) 6mo $125,000 $95 54
27299 Dinghy Rd #1348 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-7%) 9mo $69,000 $58 52
35317 Fishermans Rd #5751 0.65mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,300 (+0%) 19mo $62,000 $48 46
35476 Bayview Ln #4147 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+8%) 17mo $146,000 $104 38
34651 Deck St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,476 (+14%) 7mo $40,000 $27 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$35,407
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
40.3%
Equity multiple
4.81×
Total profit
$95,938
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19966

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
865
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,251 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $310/yr
Insurance
$38
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$2
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$473
Net cashflow
$781

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,263
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
35829 S Gloucester Cir Unit 35829 Long Neck, DE 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,995 $1.33 13d 1 0.15mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$2 · $24/yr
Likely covers
electricpool

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 209 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 208 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 207 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 206 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 204 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 203 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $90,000 Active 201 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 200 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 199 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 198 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $90,000 Active 193 DOM
  12. 2026-03-10
    price $120,000 722-char remark
    Show marketing remark (722 chars)

    Price adjustment, Seller is willing to pay closing costs and DMV fees with acceptable offer. Step into this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The large living room flows seamlessly into a roomy kitchen with ample counter space and storage—ideal for home chefs and family gatherings. The primary suite offers a relaxing retreat with a generous walk-in shower in the en-suite bath. Outside, a versatile shed with electric ready to install adds extra value and potential. Plus a beautiful community pool, plenty of community entertainment, and low lot rent. Whether you're starting fresh or settling in, this home is ready to welcome you.

  13. 2026-01-07
    price $128,000 722-char remark
    Show marketing remark (722 chars)

    Price adjustment, Seller is willing to pay closing costs and DMV fees with acceptable offer. Step into this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The large living room flows seamlessly into a roomy kitchen with ample counter space and storage—ideal for home chefs and family gatherings. The primary suite offers a relaxing retreat with a generous walk-in shower in the en-suite bath. Outside, a versatile shed with electric ready to install adds extra value and potential. Plus a beautiful community pool, plenty of community entertainment, and low lot rent. Whether you're starting fresh or settling in, this home is ready to welcome you.

  14. 2025-11-18
    listed $130,000 Active 722-char remark
    Show marketing remark (722 chars)

    Price adjustment, Seller is willing to pay closing costs and DMV fees with acceptable offer. Step into this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a spacious open floor plan perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The large living room flows seamlessly into a roomy kitchen with ample counter space and storage—ideal for home chefs and family gatherings. The primary suite offers a relaxing retreat with a generous walk-in shower in the en-suite bath. Outside, a versatile shed with electric ready to install adds extra value and potential. Plus a beautiful community pool, plenty of community entertainment, and low lot rent. Whether you're starting fresh or settling in, this home is ready to welcome you.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$310 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$416 · $35/mo
Expected delta
+$106/yr (+$9/mo · 34.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,014
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$310
− Insurance
−$5,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,161
− Management
−$2,161
− HOA
−$24
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$8,724
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,094
After-tax cash flow
$7,275/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River School District
NCES district ID
1000680
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$53,838
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#6620
State rank
#14 of 26 in DE

Livability — Long Neck

Score
69/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#8720

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sussex County · 82,708 people
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
35,884
Household income
$78,305
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
464.0

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.26%
Current HPI
268.5609
Rent YoY
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $128,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $310 · -17.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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