225 Swaying Pine Ct · Crestview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity near the hospital in Rolling Pines Subdivision. Walking distance to elementary and middle school. This is a court ordered sale. Seller makes no warranties and has no knowledge of the condition of the property.
Key facts
- Near the hospital
- Built 2006
- Listed 58 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.4% in Crestview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 521 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.67%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $178,573
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -16.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178 Swaying Pine Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,562 (-1%) | 8mo | $163,500 | $105 | 85 |
| 151 E Iron Horse Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 1,554 (-1%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $138 | 78 |
| 293 Swaying Pine Ct | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,562 (-1%) | 20mo | $128,501 | $82 | 78 |
| 180 Swaying Pine Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,564 (-1%) | 18mo | $198,000 | $127 | 77 |
| 182 Swaying Pine Ct | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (-8%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $128 | 70 |
| 222 Swaying Pine Ct | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,356 (-14%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $133 | 68 |
| 114 E Iron Horse Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 | 1,551 (-1%) | 16mo | $225,000 | $145 | 67 |
| 361 Crooked Pine Trl | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,356 (-14%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $129 | 67 |
| 151 Swaying Pine Ct | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,356 (-14%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $133 | 66 |
| 122 Swaying Pine Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,356 (-14%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $129 | 63 |
| 363 Crooked Pine Trl | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,356 (-14%) | 11mo | $164,000 | $121 | 58 |
| 314 Crooked Pine Trl | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,356 (-14%) | 8mo | $182,000 | $134 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-7,691
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,947
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32539
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 521
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,765 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,486/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 240 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,400 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 163 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 365 Crooked Pine Trl Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 147 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1309 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 143 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,450 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 347 Crooked Pine Trl Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 343 Crooked Pine Trl Unit 1 Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1415 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 648 Alysheba Dr Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1341 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 111 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 295 Limestone Cir Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,625 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 124 Sandstone Trl Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $1,900 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 177 Iron Horse Dr E Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $1,700 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 146 Iron Horse Dr E Unit 1 Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1974 | $1,300 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 150 Iron Horse Dr E Unit 1 Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1974 | $1,300 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2500 E Redstone Ave Crestview, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1428 | $1,952 | $1.37 | 13d | 6 | 0.35mi |
| 4 Holly Rd Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,725 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4 Holly Rd Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,725 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 114 Blooming Cv Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $2,095 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 111 Steeplechase Dr Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1637 | $1,795 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 210 Lyla Ln Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 157 Blooming Cv Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1727 | $1,995 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 812 Moorhen Way Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,195 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 201 Lyla Ln Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1727 | $2,095 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 201 Lyla Ln Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1727 | $1,999 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 916 Merganser Way Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1631 | $1,950 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 833 Moorhen Way Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 833 Moorhen Way Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 301 E Redstone Ave Crestview, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $2,202 | $2.00 | 14d | 20 | 0.66mi |
| 1035 Limpkin St Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,300 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 661 Brookmeade Dr Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1637 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 14 Flora Cv Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 719 Quintana St Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 727 Quintana St Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $2,300 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4821 Acorn Dr Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $1,930 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4821 Acorn Dr Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $1,930 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 153 Nicole Ln Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1985 | $2,000 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3016 Aplin Rd Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 107 Trenton Ave Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1799 | $2,150 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 413 Scarborough St Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $2,100 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-21$160,000 Active 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Investment opportunity near the hospital in Rolling Pines Subdivision. Walking distance to elementary and middle school. This is a court ordered sale. Seller makes no warranties and has no knowledge of the condition of the property.
-
2023-05-09soldstatus $213,200
-
2023-05-05soldstatus $213,125 Sold 629-char remark
Show marketing remark (629 chars)
One of the largest floorplans in the Rolling Pines community. The 1st floor has great natural light and hosts a large living room, seperate dining room, kitchen, and half bath for guests. The 2nd floor features a primary bedroom, large enough to fit a king-sized bed and nightstands, and is equipped with walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom for added privacy. Walk past the laundry room to enter the large guest bedrooms and shared guest bathroom. The backyard is bordered on both sides with a fence, providing privacy. The unfenced area allows for a view of the surrounding woods, creating a peaceful and natural atmosphere.
-
2023-04-01status Pending 629-char remark
Show marketing remark (629 chars)
One of the largest floorplans in the Rolling Pines community. The 1st floor has great natural light and hosts a large living room, seperate dining room, kitchen, and half bath for guests. The 2nd floor features a primary bedroom, large enough to fit a king-sized bed and nightstands, and is equipped with walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom for added privacy. Walk past the laundry room to enter the large guest bedrooms and shared guest bathroom. The backyard is bordered on both sides with a fence, providing privacy. The unfenced area allows for a view of the surrounding woods, creating a peaceful and natural atmosphere.
-
2023-03-30$210,000 Active 629-char remark
Show marketing remark (629 chars)
One of the largest floorplans in the Rolling Pines community. The 1st floor has great natural light and hosts a large living room, seperate dining room, kitchen, and half bath for guests. The 2nd floor features a primary bedroom, large enough to fit a king-sized bed and nightstands, and is equipped with walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom for added privacy. Walk past the laundry room to enter the large guest bedrooms and shared guest bathroom. The backyard is bordered on both sides with a fence, providing privacy. The unfenced area allows for a view of the surrounding woods, creating a peaceful and natural atmosphere.
-
2012-04-05soldstatus $63,000
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2009-10-28historical
-
2008-09-08$124,900
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2008-09-08$124,900
-
2007-07-20soldstatus $3,465,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,486 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,486 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,184
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,486
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,695
- − Management
- −$1,695
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,793
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$430
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,630/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Crestview
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crestview, FL
- County
- Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
- City population
- 58,889
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,290
- Household income
- $74,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 371.0
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.52%
- Current HPI
- 261.1557
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.12%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-95.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $160,000 NAMLS
- 2023-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $213,200 Public Records
- 2023-05-05 Sold (MLS) $213,125 ECAR
- 2023-04-01 Pending — ECAR
- 2023-03-30 Listed $210,000 ECAR
- 2012-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2009-10-28 Listing Removed — NAMLS
- 2008-09-08 Listed $124,900 NAMLS
- 2008-09-08 Listed $124,900 ECAR
- 2007-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $3,465,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,486 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…