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337 Mcdougal St
B- Composite 68.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

337 Mcdougal St · Fostoria, OH 44830
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,284 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1900 3,929 sqft lot Est $140k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

TURN-KEY & FULLY UPDATED! This beautifully flipped home is ready for its new owner. Ideal for first-time home buyers, this property features extensive recent improvements including: new windows (2026), new electrical panel/meter (2026), updated flooring and fresh paint throughout (2026), roof and furnace (2023), siding updates (2024), new water heater (2025), and sewer line improvements with exterior cleanout installation (2024). Affordable, updated, and move-in ready — don't miss this opportunity!

Key facts

  • 3,929 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 0.09 acre (approx. 3,929 sq ft)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Gravel parking; On-street parking
  • Security: Smart lock(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (200+ amp service); Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Detached, no common walls; Two levels / 2-story home; Faces unspecified direction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built year not provided
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Upper-level bedroom (approx. 14 x 11); Upper-level bedroom (approx. 11 x 14); Main-level bedroom (approx. 11 x 9)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Floor furnace heating; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Other interior features; Smart lock(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Accessible utilities or laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.5% in Fostoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#216 in OH, #3,330 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
  • Fostoria City (town): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #566 of 656 in OH (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fostoria Elementary School (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,107 of 1,584 statewide, top 70%, 1,056 students, 66% FRL); Fostoria Junior/Senior High School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #612 of 781 statewide, top 78%, 801 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in Seneca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Seneca County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $127,951 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.70%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,956
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
130 Summit St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-3%) 10mo $148,900 $119 63
337 S Union St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,306 (+2%) 14mo $62,310 $48 59
517 W North St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,335 (+4%) 1mo $155,000 $116 58
230 W South St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,352 (+5%) 11mo $150,000 $111 57
551 N Main St 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,206 (-6%) 14mo $125,000 $104 56
481 Beverly Dr 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,185 (-8%) 7mo $157,000 $132 55
220 S Union St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,365 (+6%) 14mo $90,000 $66 55
251 W Tiffin St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,390 (+8%) 15mo $172,000 $124 50
604 S Union St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,165 (-9%) 5mo $46,000 $39 47
912 Mcdougal St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,148 (-11%) 10mo $125,000 $109 42
260 E 6th St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,406 (+10%) 10mo $45,000 $32 40
728 Oaklawn Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,116 (-13%) 14mo $49,000 $44 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$7,277
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$42,673
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44830

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $524/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$446

Break-even live

Break-even rent $986
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $519 -5% $482 +0% $446 +5% $409 +10% $372
Rent -10% $323 -5% $384 +0% $446 +5% $507 +10% $568
Rate -1.0pp $511 -0.5pp $479 base $446 +0.5pp $412 +1.0pp $378

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
260 E 6th St Fostoria, OH 4.0 2.0 1408 $1,550 $1.10 0d 1 0.66mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $129,900 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,900 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-05-24
    status Active
  14. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  15. 2026-05-11
    listed $129,900 Active
  16. 2026-05-08
    historical $129,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$524 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,275 · $106/mo
Expected delta
+$751/yr (+$63/mo · 143.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,600
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$524
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$3,395
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$815
After-tax cash flow
$4,531/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fostoria City
NCES district ID
3904399
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$36,902
Composite
28.65/100
National rank
#6702
State rank
#566 of 656 in OH

Livability — Fostoria

Score
76/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#3330

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fostoria, OH
County
Seneca · 70,739 people
City population
18,409
Population (ZIP)
18,409
Household income
$61,589
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
9.8

Population outlook (Seneca County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,243 people
By 2030
52,947 · -2.4%
By 2040
49,842 · -8.1%
By 2050
46,689 · -13.9%
By 2075
39,889 · -26.5%
By 2100
32,155 · -40.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Seneca

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.7% · R 68.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+34.2 2016: R+31.2 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+2.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.93%
Current HPI
224.2583
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Relisted NORIS
  • 2026-05-13 Pending NORIS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $129,900 NORIS
  • 2026-05-08 Coming Soon $129,900 NORIS

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $524 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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