213 E Cedar St St · Hill City, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Remodeled bathroom
- Water softener
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 140; Zoning: Other
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential property; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Brick construction; Concrete basement
- Exterior features: Covered porch/patio; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating
- Interior features: Window coverings; Water softener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#172 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Graham County (rural): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #251 of 280 in KS (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
- Graham County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $60k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.50%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $41,951
- Equity at exit
- $40,667
- IRR
- 34.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.29×
- Total profit
- $105,723
- Equity at exit
- $76,436
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67642
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $959 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $343
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $60,000 Pending 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
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2026-05-23historical Active Under Contract
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2026-05-11$60,000 Active
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1988-08-01soldstatus $21,500
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1988-08-01soldstatus $21,500
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1987-10-01soldstatus $12,300
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1987-10-01soldstatus $12,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$921
- − Management
- −$921
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $3,360
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$806
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Graham County
- NCES district ID
- 2007260
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,902
- Composite
- 22.43/100
- National rank
- #13471
- State rank
- #251 of 280 in KS
Livability — Hill City
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #8068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hill City, KS
- City population
- 1,779
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,779
Population outlook (Graham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,510 people
- By 2030
- 2,458 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 2,399 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 2,403 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 2,658 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 2,880 · +14.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Serbian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Graham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.3% · R 82.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -51.6pp · 2024: -65.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.7 2020: R+63.8 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+60.4 2008: R+51.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.77%
- Current HPI
- 193.775
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+387.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Contingent — Hays MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $60,000 Hays MLS
- 1988-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
- 1988-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
- 1987-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,300 Public Records
- 1987-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,300 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…