1800 N Machin Ave · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Centrally located and well-maintained, this updated home offers comfort, efficiency, and convenience less than 10 minutes from OSF HealthCare, Northwoods Mall, and Komatsu. The seller is looking for a quick sale, recent price reduction! Seller is considering offers — bring your best offer! Garage Carport Combo Built 4 years ago! Roof Installed 4 years ago! DOUBLE LOT!! The home features a Tesla solar panel system designed to help lower monthly electric bills. Panels are leased and will transfer to the buyer at closing; per Sunrun representative, panel ownership transfers once the lease is paid off. Enjoy long-term peace of mind with a newer roof and detached garage, both built just
Key facts
- Private garden area
- Private driveway
- Rare double lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Well-kept home with value-add potential
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Parking garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; New roof (installed ~4 years ago); New garage (installed ~4 years ago); Solar panels for reduced electric bills
- Construction: Shingle roof; Built in 1930
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Private driveway; Double lot; Garden planters; BBQ / firepit area
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one on main level, one on upper level, one in basement/lower level)
- Flooring: Hardwood in one bedroom; Vinyl flooring in bedrooms and kitchen; Other flooring in one basement bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Egress windows in two bedrooms; Refrigerator included
- Laundry & utility: Dry basement with potential for conversion (possible 3rd bedroom)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($929 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Peoria High School (math 4% / reading 7%, grade F, #609 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 1,447 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (42%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.35%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $27,456
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1803 N Broadway St | 0.05mi | 1/1.0 | 616 (-1%) | 23mo | $23,000 | $37 | 76 |
| 1808 N Broadway St | 0.08mi | 1/1.5 | 646 (+4%) | 23mo | $28,500 | $44 | 69 |
| 1703 N Valley Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 676 (+8%) | 9mo | $28,000 | $41 | 66 |
| 1717 N Valley Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 676 (+8%) | 13mo | $18,000 | $27 | 63 |
| 2309 N Flora Ave | 0.58mi | 1/1.0 | 600 (-4%) | 8mo | $47,000 | $78 | 60 |
| 1715 N Bourland Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 676 (+8%) | 20mo | $24,466 | $36 | 59 |
| 1629 N Bourland Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 676 (+8%) | 21mo | $32,000 | $47 | 57 |
| 417 W Nebraska Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 672 (+8%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $74 | 54 |
| 2222 N Ellis St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 704 (+13%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $50 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $12,811
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $37,379
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61604
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $929 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $854/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$195
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $382 | -5% $367 | +0% $351 | +5% $335 | +10% $320 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $278 | -5% $314 | +0% $351 | +5% $388 | +10% $424 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $379 | -0.5pp $365 | base $351 | +0.5pp $337 | +1.0pp $322 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1703 N Valley Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,200 | $1.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2214 N Linsley St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $550 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 905 W Thrush Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 905 N Sheridan Rd Unit F Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1505 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,006 | $1.92 | 14d | 4 | 0.85mi |
| 711 Morton St Apt A Peoria, IL | — | 1.0 | 400 | $655 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $55,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $55,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $80,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Active
-
2026-05-21price $80,000
-
2026-04-25historical Under Contract
-
2026-04-09price $85,000
-
2026-03-28$95,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $854 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,051 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- +$197/yr (+$16/mo · 23.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,142
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$854
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$891
- − Management
- −$891
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $3,550
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$852
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,313
- Household income
- $52,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 815.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.15%
- Current HPI
- 165.8838
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.30%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-15.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $80,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $85,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Listed $95,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2024): $854 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…