920 W Rogers St · Osceola, IN
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home on a double lot in Penn School District! Well, Septic and Roof are all less then 12 years old!
Key facts
- Electric box
- Investment property
- Double lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential, site-built home; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Built as site-built construction
- Exterior features: Patio; Shed(s); Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: One half bathroom; One main level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; No cooling
- Interior features: One fireplace; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 3.4% in Osceola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#144 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Penn-Harris-Madison School Corporation (suburban): math 54% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #19 of 301 in IN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Moran Elementary School (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B, #99 of 994 statewide, top 10%, 431 students, 41% FRL); Virgil I Grissom Middle School (math 25% / reading 45%, grade F, #164 of 330 statewide, top 50%, 678 students, 46% FRL); Penn High School (math 53% / reading 83%, grade B, #22 of 369 statewide, top 6%, 3,624 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 21% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $65k implies a 333% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.55%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,352
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 N Olive St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-2%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $215 | 75 |
| 202 N Erie St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 676 (-8%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $192 | 62 |
| 522 Garfield St | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 764 (+4%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $262 | 62 |
| 306 S Apple Rd | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+9%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $213 | 56 |
| 316 S Chestnut St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (-4%) | 20mo | $120,000 | $170 | 48 |
| 317 W Adams St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 692 (-6%) | 21mo | $78,000 | $113 | 48 |
| 840 Griffith St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 680 (-8%) | 19mo | $133,600 | $196 | 45 |
| 312 S Apple Rd | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 798 (+8%) | 17mo | $165,000 | $207 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $25,724
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.79×
- Total profit
- $69,053
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46561
- Home prices YoY
- -27.2%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,226 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $569
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-13status $65,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 387-char remark
-
2026-06-07$65,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $375 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $464 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$89/yr (+$7/mo · 23.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,714
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,177
- − Management
- −$1,177
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $6,128
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,471
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,363/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penn-Harris-Madison School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1808760
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,421
- Composite
- 51.11/100
- National rank
- #1764
- State rank
- #19 of 301 in IN
Livability — Osceola
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #7375
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Osceola, IN
- City population
- 14,499
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,499
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.38%
- Current HPI
- 217.644
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+161.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $65,000 IRMLS
- 2017-05-02 Sold (MLS) $15,000 IRMLS
- 2016-11-29 Listed $24,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2024): $375 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…