103 Wethersfield Dr · Harvest, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-kept spacious two-story home in Chandler Farms subdivision in Harvest. This 3 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home offers generous living space and large bedrooms designed for comfort. Enjoy the privacy fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also features a 2-car garage. This is a great opportunity for anyone looking for space and convenience in a growing area or a great investment opportunity to add to the portfolio.
Key facts
- Large bedrooms
- 4,800 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-252/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (1.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (26.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Harvest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#27 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 666 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $240k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.38%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $232,206
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- 3.36%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Wethersfield Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 2,649 (+0%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $87 | 95 |
| 109 Elmhurst Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 2,850 (+8%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $84 | 73 |
| 143 Harvest Moon Dr | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 | 2,404 (-9%) | 1mo | $313,305 | $130 | 59 |
| 135 Harvest Moon Dr | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 | 2,404 (-9%) | 2mo | $349,040 | $145 | 58 |
| 233 Farmington Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 2,283 (-14%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $110 | 57 |
| 215 Farmington Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 2,250 (-15%) | 16mo | $209,900 | $93 | 55 |
| 106 Starview Ct | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,502 (-5%) | 20mo | $349,000 | $139 | 41 |
| 110 Harvest Moon Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,494 (-6%) | 20mo | $325,000 | $130 | 41 |
| 202 Waterbrook Ln | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,276 (-14%) | 1mo | $380,000 | $167 | 37 |
| 9054 Wall Triana Hwy | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,350 (-11%) | 22mo | $269,000 | $114 | 33 |
| 171 Cobb Pl | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 2,246 (-15%) | 16mo | $203,000 | $90 | 28 |
| 117 Branch Creek Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,359 (-11%) | 22mo | $379,500 | $161 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-44,159
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-55,627
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35749
- Home prices YoY
- -5.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 666
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,766 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $616/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$6
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $-21
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $115 | -5% $47 | +0% $-21 | +5% $-89 | +10% $-157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-161 | -5% $-91 | +0% $-21 | +5% $49 | +10% $118 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $100 | -0.5pp $40 | base $-21 | +0.5pp $-83 | +1.0pp $-146 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Wethersfield Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2253 | $1,511 | $0.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 215 Farmington Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2250 | $1,520 | $0.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 224 Farmington Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2340 | $1,581 | $0.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 108 Lockport Dr Harvest, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2205 | $1,591 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 102 Border Collie Dr Harvest, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1891 | $2,200 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 169 Labrador Ln Harvest, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1753 | $1,925 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $6 · $72/yr
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
Welcome to this well-kept spacious two-story home in Chandler Farms subdivision in Harvest. This 3 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home offers generous living space and large bedrooms designed for comfort. Enjoy the privacy fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also features a 2-car garage. This is a great opportunity for anyone looking for space and convenience in a growing area or a great investment opportunity to add to the portfolio.
-
2026-04-22price $240,000 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
Welcome to this well-kept spacious two-story home in Chandler Farms subdivision in Harvest. This 3 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home offers generous living space and large bedrooms designed for comfort. Enjoy the privacy fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also features a 2-car garage. This is a great opportunity for anyone looking for space and convenience in a growing area or a great investment opportunity to add to the portfolio.
-
2026-03-15$250,000 Active 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
Welcome to this well-kept spacious two-story home in Chandler Farms subdivision in Harvest. This 3 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home offers generous living space and large bedrooms designed for comfort. Enjoy the privacy fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also features a 2-car garage. This is a great opportunity for anyone looking for space and convenience in a growing area or a great investment opportunity to add to the portfolio.
-
2023-07-31price $260,000
-
2023-06-21status Active
-
2023-06-20historical
-
2023-06-18$265,000 Active
-
2012-01-31soldstatus $99,900
-
2009-12-02$99,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $616 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$368/yr (+$31/mo · 59.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,189
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$616
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,695
- − Management
- −$1,695
- − HOA
- −$72
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$4,515
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,084
- After-tax cash flow
- $831/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Harvest
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #5986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harvest, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 30,710
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,710
- Household income
- $103,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 174.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.54%
- Current HPI
- 291.1184
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+140.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $240,000 VMLS
- 2026-03-15 Listed $250,000 VMLS
- 2023-07-31 Price Changed $260,000 VMLS
- 2023-06-21 Relisted — VMLS
- 2023-06-20 Delisted — VMLS
- 2023-06-18 Listed $265,000 VMLS
- 2012-01-31 Sold (MLS) $99,900 VMLS
- 2009-12-02 Listed $99,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2024): $616 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…