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18556 Highway 5
C+ Composite 63.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,000

18556 Highway 5 · Centerville, IA 52544
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Other public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1976 1.20 ac lot $84/sqft · 26% below area Est $120k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FSBO For comp purposes only.

Key facts

  • 1.2 acres
  • Excellent location
  • 1.2 acre lot

Tags

EXCELLENT LOCATIONCLOSE TO RATHBUN LAKE1.2 ACRES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached gravel garage with 2 car spaces
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: 1.2-acre lot (approximate dimensions: 160 x 330 x 138 x 331)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Forced air heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($912/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $89k).
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.0% in Centerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#277 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Centerville Community School District (town): math 57% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #251 of 289 in IA (top 87%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Appanoose County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $961 appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
  • Appanoose County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $89k implies a 345% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $89,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.66%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,336
List price
$89,000
Delta
-26.04%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$6,905
Equity at exit
$30,754
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$29,597
Equity at exit
$41,157

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52544

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,052/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $854
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 224-char remark
  2. 2026-05-11
    historical Active Under Contract 224-char remark
  3. 2026-05-05
    listed $89,000 Active 224-char remark
  4. 2019-05-15
    soldstatus $20,000 28-char remark
    Show marketing remark (28 chars)

    FSBO For comp purposes only.

  5. 2019-05-13
    listed $20,000 28-char remark
    Show marketing remark (28 chars)

    FSBO For comp purposes only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,052 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,052 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,405
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$2,052
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$912
− Management
−$912
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable loss
−$491
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$118
After-tax cash flow
$1,030/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Centerville Community School District
NCES district ID
1906750
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$35,401
Composite
50.48/100
National rank
#1854
State rank
#251 of 289 in IA

Livability — Centerville

Score
73/100
State rank
#277
US rank
#5375

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,110

Population outlook (Appanoose County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,726 people
By 2030
11,194 · -4.5%
By 2040
10,063 · -14.2%
By 2050
8,976 · -23.5%
By 2075
6,785 · -42.1%
By 2100
4,819 · -58.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Appanoose

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.7) · D 26.1% · R 72.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-44.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -46.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.7 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+3.5 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.08%
Current HPI
212.65
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+345.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending IAR
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent IAR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $89,000 IAR
  • 2019-05-15 Sold (MLS) $20,000 IAR
  • 2019-05-13 Listed $20,000 IAR

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,052 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…