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18111 Coastline Dr #1
D Composite 43.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0

$1,250,000

18111 Coastline Dr #1 · Topanga, CA 90265
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,149 sqft · Condo public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1967 $1088/sqft · 10% below area Est $1385k · 10% under $423/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

With stunning ocean views from nearly every room, this beautiful coastal condo is located in the highly desirable Sunset Mesa neighborhood. The main living room features sweeping Pacific vistas and opens to a spacious balcony, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A dedicated dining area with more spectacular views leads into the recently remodeled kitchen, which includes quartz countertops, brand-new stainless-steel appliances, and custom cabinetry. The guest bedroom is spacious and bright, accompanied by an updated bathroom with a large soaking tub. The primary suite offers a continuation of views along the coastline, with a private balcony overlooking the iconic Queen's Necklace and a ta

Key facts

  • Coastal condo
  • Quartz countertops
  • Spacious balcony

Tags

COASTAL CONDOSPACIOUS BALCONYDEDICATED DINING AREAREMODELED KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Complex name: Malibu Coastline Views; Unit located on floor 1; directions: PCH to Coastline Drive
  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA dues (approximately $423); Association maintains landscaping; Association allows pets; HOA fees include earthquake insurance, trash, water and sewer; Small complex with 4 units

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned attached 1-car garage with door opener; One additional covered parking space; One additional open parking space (total 2 parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Water and sewer included in association fees
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Garden-style, attached building; One level; Entry on level 1
  • Construction: Attached common walls
  • Exterior features: Ocean view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Ice maker; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Entry on level 1
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Radiant heat; No cooling
  • Interior features: Dining area; Covered patio; Jack-and-Jill layout; Living room; Great room; Cable available; Garbage disposal; Water line to refrigerator; Has ocean view
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry (washer and dryer included)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $1.25M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.06M (15.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $937k (25.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $937k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.6% in Topanga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#846 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Santa Monica-Malibu Unified (urban): math 61% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #123 of 1,400 in CA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Webster Elementary (214 students, 10% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 636 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,368/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($197k/yr) (locally 420% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$80k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.21M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 15 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $896k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $936,802 (25.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.25%
Cash-on-cash
-3.72%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,385,151
List price
$1,250,000
Delta
-6.51%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

0.62% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-96,381
Equity at exit
$402,060
10-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-72,248
Equity at exit
$515,718

Cash invested: $350,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 90265

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Rents YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
636
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,368 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,555
Tax from tax record
$988 /mo · $11,852/yr
Insurance
$521
HOA
$423
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,967
Net cashflow
$-1,086

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,743
Max offer price $1,058,171
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-378 -5% $-732 +0% $-1,086 +5% $-1,440 +10% $-1,793
Rent -10% $-1,826 -5% $-1,456 +0% $-1,086 +5% $-716 +10% $-346
Rate -1.0pp $-456 -0.5pp $-768 base $-1,086 +0.5pp $-1,410 +1.0pp $-1,739

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$312,500
Closing costs
$37,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18103 Coastline Dr Unit 7 Malibu, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $5,400 $4.50 45d 1 0.02mi
18103 Coastline Dr Unit 8 Malibu, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $5,800 $4.83 45d 1 0.02mi
18065 Coastline Dr Unit 1 Malibu, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $9,360 $8.51 45d 1 0.05mi
18139 Coastline Dr Unit 2 Malibu, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $6,500 $5.42 45d 1 0.07mi
18139 Coastline Dr Unit 3 Malibu, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $6,000 $5.00 7d 1 0.07mi
18139 Coastline Dr Unit 1 Malibu, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $6,000 $5.00 45d 1 0.07mi
18147 Coastline Dr #5 Malibu, CA 2.0 1.5 1210 $5,000 $4.13 45d 1 0.08mi
17350 W Sunset Blvd Pacific Palisades, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 944 $5,000 $5.29 0d 2 0.99mi
17366 W Sunset Blvd #201 Pacific Palisades, CA 1.0 1.0 1051 $5,500 $5.23 45d 1 1.01mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$423 · $5,076/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-02-24
    listed $5,700
  17. 2026-01-06
    listed $1,295,000 Active 1202-char remark
  18. 2025-06-18
    listed Active
  19. 2025-04-17
    price
  20. 2025-03-14
    listed Active
  21. 2024-10-30
    price
  22. 2024-10-02
    listed Active
  23. 2024-05-14
    status Active
  24. 2024-03-12
    price
  25. 2024-02-19
    listed Active
  26. 2020-07-31
    soldstatus $895,787 Sold
  27. 2020-07-31
    soldstatus $896,000
  28. 2020-06-26
    historical Backup Offers Accepted
  29. 2020-06-19
    listed $999,000 Active
  30. 2020-06-17
    historical
  31. 2020-01-20
    price $1,099,000
  32. 2019-10-09
    listed $1,149,000 Active
  33. 2015-09-16
    soldstatus $814,000
  34. 2013-11-22
    historical Withdrawn
  35. 2013-09-27
    status Active
  36. 2013-08-30
    status Pending
  37. 2013-07-23
    listed Active
  38. 2011-01-01
    historical Expired
  39. 2010-07-23
    listed Active
  40. 2008-07-03
    soldstatus $1,165,000 Closed
  41. 2008-07-02
    soldstatus $1,165,000
  42. 2008-06-30
    historical
  43. 2008-06-18
    historical
  44. 2008-05-09
    price $1,198,000
  45. 2008-04-18
    price $1,268,000
  46. 2008-04-05
    price $1,298,000
  47. 2008-04-02
    price $1,348,000
  48. 2008-03-13
    price $1,368,000
  49. 2008-02-21
    price $1,268,000
  50. 2008-01-18
    price $1,253,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$11,852 · $988/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,852 · $988/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥80°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$112,416
− Mortgage interest
−$70,019
− Property taxes
−$11,852
− Insurance
−$6,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,993
− Management
−$8,993
− HOA
−$5,076
− Depreciation
−$36,364
Taxable loss
−$35,131
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8,432
After-tax cash flow
$-4,599/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Santa Monica-Malibu Unified
NCES district ID
0635700
Math proficiency
61% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
74% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$81,489
Composite
61.58/100
National rank
#1535
State rank
#123 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Topanga

Score
55/100
State rank
#846
US rank
#23336

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Topanga, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
6,315
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
15,918
Household income
$196,742
Rent vs Own
21.5% rent · 78.5% own
Severe rent burden
420.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 8% Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.62%
Current HPI
498.5117
Rent YoY
▼ -3.39%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.0% since first listed
42 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $1,250,000 TheMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listed for Rent $5,700 CLAW
  • 2026-01-06 Listed TheMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Listed TheMLS
  • 2025-04-17 Price Changed TheMLS
  • 2025-03-14 Listed TheMLS
  • 2024-10-30 Price Changed TheMLS
  • 2024-10-02 Listed TheMLS
  • 2024-05-14 Relisted TheMLS
  • 2024-03-12 Price Changed TheMLS
  • 2024-02-19 Listed TheMLS
  • 2020-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $896,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-31 Sold (MLS) $895,787 TheMLS
  • 2020-06-26 Contingent TheMLS
  • 2020-06-19 Listed $999,000 TheMLS
  • 2020-06-17 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2020-01-20 Price Changed $1,099,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-10-09 Listed $1,149,000 CRMLS
  • 2015-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $814,000 Public Records
  • 2013-11-22 Delisted TheMLS
  • 2013-09-27 Relisted TheMLS
  • 2013-08-30 Pending TheMLS
  • 2013-07-23 Listed TheMLS
  • 2011-01-01 Delisted TheMLS
  • 2010-07-23 Listed TheMLS
  • 2008-07-03 Sold (MLS) $1,165,000 TheMLS
  • 2008-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $1,165,000 Public Records
  • 2008-06-30 Delisted TheMLS
  • 2008-06-18 Contingent TheMLS
  • 2008-05-09 Price Changed $1,198,000 TheMLS
  • 2008-04-18 Price Changed $1,268,000 TheMLS
  • 2008-04-05 Price Changed $1,298,000 TheMLS
  • 2008-04-02 Price Changed $1,348,000 TheMLS
  • 2008-03-13 Price Changed $1,368,000 TheMLS
  • 2008-02-21 Price Changed $1,268,000 TheMLS
  • 2008-01-18 Price Changed $1,253,000 TheMLS
  • 2008-01-08 Price Changed $1,258,000 TheMLS
  • 2008-01-03 Price Changed $1,263,000 TheMLS
  • 2007-11-18 Listed $1,268,000 TheMLS
  • 2007-11-15 Delisted TheMLS
  • 2007-09-21 Listed TheMLS
  • 2001-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $1,225,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $11,852 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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