🏷️ Likely Rental
4092 Merida Ave · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
STOP RENTING, START OWNING! Photos show the model home with the same floor plan as several fully refurbished homes available now. Part of a three-phase development with renovated and newly built homes on 15 acres. Just 8 miles from Downtown Fort Worth, featuring maintained green space, mature trees, and pedestrian trails. Owner-occupant eligibility applies with MAXIMUM income limits: 1-person household: $59,750 - 2 $68,300 - 3 $76,850 - 4 $85,350. Buyers who haven’t owned a home in the past three years may qualify for up to $25,000 in DOWN PAYMENT ASSISTANCE. Buyers purchase the dwelling while leasing the land from the Fort Worth Community Land Trust, lowering the purchase price and monthly costs. The ground lease is $37.50 per month and included in association dues. Features include a covered front porch, fiber-cement siding, architectural shingles, original wood floors, luxury vinyl plank in wet areas, quartz countertops, designer lighting, gas range, microwave, pantry, fridge water line, disposal-ready setup, energy-efficient windows, Ring doorbell, recessed LED lighting, and 2” blinds. REFRIGERATOR IS INCLUDED! Ample parking. Owner laundry facility coming soon. Contact your agent to get started!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Fiber cement siding
- Designer lighting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($490/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
- Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 187 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 37d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.30%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,591
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -21.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3821 Townsend Dr | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+7%) | 6mo | $159,900 | $204 | 62 |
| 3624 W Boyce Ave | 1.02mi | 2/1.0 | 746 (+2%) | 5mo | $147,500 | $198 | 57 |
| 3624 Frazier Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 796 (+9%) | 2mo | $138,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 3801 Ryan Ave | 0.84mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-5%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $258 | 56 |
| 4312 Greene Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 774 (+6%) | 23mo | $135,450 | $175 | 54 |
| 4109 Wayside Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 807 (+10%) | 22mo | $169,900 | $211 | 54 |
| 4313 Wabash Ave | 0.88mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+5%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $215 | 52 |
| 1501 W Boyce Ave | 0.93mi | 2/2.0 | 768 (+5%) | 5mo | $179,900 | $234 | 48 |
| 3450 W Gambrell St | 0.76mi | 2/1.0 | 764 (+5%) | 15mo | $190,000 | $249 | 44 |
| 4401 Cherokee Trl | 0.81mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (+14%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $229 | 40 |
| 1321 W Hammond St | 1.06mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (+19%) | 10mo | $179,500 | $207 | 32 |
| 3208 Greene Ave | 1.09mi | 2/2.0 | 832 (+14%) | 16mo | $465,000 | $559 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-22,382
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-28,299
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.0 mo (33%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $169,000 ($211/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 38 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +11.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76110
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,424 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$151
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $41
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $134 | -5% $87 | +0% $41 | +5% $-6 | +10% $-52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-72 | -5% $-15 | +0% $41 | +5% $97 | +10% $153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $109 | -0.5pp $75 | base $41 | +0.5pp $6 | +1.0pp $-30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3916 Winfield Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,595 | $2.17 | 18d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4000 Winfield Ave Unit B Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $900 | $2.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3578 Wayside Ave Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,150 | $2.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3414 S University Dr Unit 2 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $999 | $1.67 | 55d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3414 S University Dr Unit 6 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $990 | $1.41 | 93d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3845 Willing Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,150 | $1.70 | 37d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4316 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 642 | $1,200 | $1.87 | 0d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 4316 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,399 | $1.92 | 93d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 4318 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,399 | $1.92 | 93d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4317 Baldwin Ave Unit 4318-201 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,195 | $1.64 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4317 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 642 | $1,399 | $2.18 | 93d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 4321 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,399 | $1.92 | 93d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2861 W Devitt St Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,500 | $2.02 | 93d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2720 W Devitt St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 740 | $2,000 | $2.70 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3345 8th Ave Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,175 | $2.94 | 73d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3132 Greene Ave Unit C Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $950 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3125 S University Dr Unit 4 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,400 | $2.80 | 7d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3125 S University Dr Unit 3 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,450 | $2.90 | 32d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3123 S University Dr Unit 10 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,400 | $2.80 | 7d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3123 S University Dr Apt 11 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,425 | $2.85 | 12d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3123 S University Dr Apt 12 Fort Worth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,475 | $2.95 | 32d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1215 Lowe St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,250 | $1.84 | 64d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail $151/mo · $1,812/yr
- Likely covers
- watergas
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $135,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $135,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $135,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $135,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $135,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $135,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $135,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $135,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $135,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $135,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $135,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $135,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $135,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $135,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $135,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $135,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $135,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $135,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $135,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $135,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $135,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $135,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $135,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $135,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $135,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $135,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $135,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $135,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $135,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $135,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $135,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $135,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $135,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $135,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $135,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $135,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $135,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $135,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 175 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,085
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,367
- − Management
- −$1,367
- − HOA
- −$1,812
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,650
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$396
- After-tax cash flow
- $886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with a modern and well-maintained interior and exterior. It is ready for immediate occupancy and can be further enhanced with minor updates to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace the blinds with energy-efficient ones — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrade the flooring in the bathrooms — Improves the overall look and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Worth ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,109
- Composite
- 19.61/100
- National rank
- #8753
- State rank
- #742 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,380,417 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,441
- Household income
- $69,790
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% White 30% Two or more races 24% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 52% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.46%
- Current HPI
- 274.8888
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-12-08 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…