5256 4th St · Melrose, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy laid-back lake living in this well-maintained manufactured home located in the desirable Lazy Daz development near Rathbun Lake. Situated on two lots with road-to-road access, this property offers extra space, convenience, and flexibility perfect for full time living or a weekend getaway. Step outside to a covered deck, ideal for relaxing mornings or unwinding after a day at the lake. The peaceful setting provides just the right mix of privacy and community, with the park and community center just a few steps away. This property is ready for lake life, featuring both a storage shed and a metal building perfect for storing your lake toys, boat, or equipment. Everything you need to enjo
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Two lots
- Road-to-road access
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached gravel garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Mobile home (residential)
- Construction: Metal siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.36 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($924 rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $76k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#919 in IA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Albia Community School District (town): math 68% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #117 of 289 in IA (top 40%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.14%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $59,988
- Equity at exit
- $70,269
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.45×
- Total profit
- $162,782
- Equity at exit
- $151,537
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52569
- Home prices YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $924 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $156/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $275
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $320 | -5% $298 | +0% $275 | +5% $164 | +10% $137 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $202 | -5% $239 | +0% $275 | +5% $312 | +10% $348 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $315 | -0.5pp $295 | base $275 | +0.5pp $255 | +1.0pp $235 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $78,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $78,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $78,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $78,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $78,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$78,000 Active 987-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $156 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $690 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$534/yr (+$45/mo · 342.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,089
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$156
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$887
- − Management
- −$887
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $2,130
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$511
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albia Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1903270
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,429
- Composite
- 60.88/100
- National rank
- #814
- State rank
- #117 of 289 in IA
Livability — Melrose
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #919
- US rank
- #22357
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 541
- Population (ZIP)
- 541
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,921 people
- By 2030
- 7,918 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 7,873 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 7,776 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 7,556 · -4.6%
- By 2100
- 7,055 · -10.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 10%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.7) · D 24.2% · R 74.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.5pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -50.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.7 2020: R+46.4 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+7.7 2008: R+5.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.12%
- Current HPI
- 199.977
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $78,000 IAR
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $156 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…