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537 Main St
C Composite 55.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$126,900

537 Main St · Plymouth, PA 18651
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1987 2,178 sqft lot $102/sqft · 30% below area Est $182k · 30% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Townhome, end-unit. Close to modern conveniences. Property is now active in online auction. All offers must be submitted through the property's listing page on www. auction.com. The sale will be subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). All auction bids will be processed subject to seller approval.

Key facts

  • Listed 103 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $127k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,068 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: State El Ctr (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,248 of 1,518 statewide, top 83%, 1,353 students, 100% FRL); Wyoming Valley West Ms (math 13% / reading 41%, grade F, #404 of 512 statewide, top 80%, 1,191 students, 100% FRL); Wyoming Valley West Shs (math 57% / reading 24%, grade F, #255 of 437 statewide, top 60%, 1,357 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $877 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,479 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.06%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$181,764
List price
$126,900
Delta
-30.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
124 Mras St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,260 (+2%) 0mo $189,000 $150 78
134 Reynolds St 0.32mi 2/1.0 1,302 (+5%) 2mo $150,000 $115 73
358 Shawnee Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,305 (+5%) 7mo $137,000 $105 64
122 Flat Rd 0.28mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,325 (+7%) 11mo $217,150 $164 61
926 Main St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,202 (-3%) 4mo $170,000 $141 57
89 Coal St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,088 (-12%) 11mo $115,000 $106 53
44 Hillside Ave 0.74mi 2/1.5 1,190 (-4%) 7mo $85,000 $71 53
343 Mountain Rd 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,182 (-5%) 7mo $100,000 $85 52
252 Orchard St 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,381 (+11%) 7mo $175,000 $127 47
968 Main St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,330 (+7%) 8mo $89,900 $68 42
161 Center Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (-11%) 3mo $70,000 $64 41
341 Mountain Rd 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,378 (+11%) 7mo $121,900 $88 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-12,862
Equity at exit
$18,921
10-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,167
Equity at exit
$10,972

Cash invested: $35,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18651

Home prices YoY
-11.5%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,309 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$665
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,347/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,157
Max offer price $126,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $192 -5% $156 +0% $120 +5% $84 +10% $48
Rent -10% $17 -5% $69 +0% $120 +5% $172 +10% $224
Rate -1.0pp $184 -0.5pp $153 base $120 +0.5pp $87 +1.0pp $54

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,725
Closing costs
$3,807
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
546 W Main St Plymouth, PA 1.0 1.0 720 $875 $1.22 16d 1 0.03mi
546 W Main St Plymouth, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 23d 1 0.03mi
29 Franklin St Plymouth, PA 3.0 1.0 1426 $1,800 $1.26 16d 1 0.11mi
72 Franklin St Plymouth, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,175 $1.57 16d 1 0.15mi
134 Blair St Plymouth, PA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 23d 1 0.19mi
338 W Shawnee Ave Plymouth, PA 2.0 1.5 945 $1,550 $1.64 16d 1 0.33mi
18 North St Plymouth, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 16d 1 0.39mi
463 2nd St Plymouth, PA 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 46d 1 0.40mi
210-212 Center Ave Plymouth, PA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 46d 1 0.67mi
48 E Shawnee Ave Plymouth, PA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 16d 1 0.72mi
241 Gould St Plymouth, PA 2.0 1.0 985 $1,150 $1.17 23d 1 1.22mi
600 Main Rd Hanover Township, PA 1.0 1.0 960 $940 $0.98 46d 1 1.36mi
52 Diamond Ave Hanover Township, PA 2.0 1.0 820 $925 $1.13 23d 1 1.44mi
92 Diamond Ave Hanover Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,400 $1.22 47d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-23
    days on market $126,900 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-22
    days on market $126,900 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $126,900 Active 100 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $126,900 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $126,900 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $126,900 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $126,900 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $126,900 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $126,900 Active 92 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $126,900 Active 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $126,900 Active 90 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $126,900 Active 89 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $126,900 Active 86 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $126,900 Active 84 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $126,900 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $126,900 Active 82 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $126,900 Active 81 DOM
  18. 2026-03-10
    listed $126,900 Active 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    Townhome, end-unit. Close to modern conveniences. Property is now active in online auction. All offers must be submitted through the property's listing page on www. auction.com. The sale will be subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). All auction bids will be processed subject to seller approval.

  19. 2024-10-13
    price $140,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,347 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,347 · $196/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,709
− Mortgage interest
−$7,108
− Property taxes
−$2,347
− Insurance
−$634
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,257
− Management
−$1,257
− Depreciation
−$3,692
Taxable loss
−$586
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$141
After-tax cash flow
$1,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wyoming Valley West SD
NCES district ID
4225950
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,437
Composite
25.38/100
National rank
#7470
State rank
#445 of 539 in PA

Livability — Plymouth

Score
66/100
State rank
#1068
US rank
#12056

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plymouth, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,672

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 19% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.78%
Current HPI
229.6791
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $126,900 LCAR
  • 2024-10-13 Price Changed $140,000 LCAR

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,347 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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