13D Edgewater Park Unit 13D · New York, NY 10465

$130,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · Condo · 154 Days on market

Built 1920

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

CASH OR PERSONAL FINANCING ONLY — Existing structure must be demolished and rebuilt. Rare chance to secure a prime waterfront property with endless potential. Situated directly on the water, this parcel offers scenic views and an unbeatable location for your future dream build. The existing structure is being sold as-is and is considered a tear-down. No interior access will be provided—the value is in the land and waterfront setting. Highlights: • Direct waterfront location • Exceptional lot with scenic views • Quiet, sought-after area Important Notes: • No interior inspections permitted • Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding sq footage, zoning,

Key facts

• Gated community
• Basketball court
• Scenic views

Tags

• WATERFRONT LOCATION
• SCENIC VIEWS
• GATED COMMUNITY
• ON-SITE MANAGEMENT OFFICE
• PLAYGROUND
• BASKETBALL COURT

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Directions: East Tremont Avenue to Throggs Neck Expressway overpass — near gas station & Dunkin' Donuts; Located in Bronx County
• HOA & community: Edgewater Park Owners Coop Inc; Community amenities include basketball court, clubhouse, gated access, landscaping and grounds maintenance, park, parking, and playground; Additional monthly fee for property tax: $125.53

Exterior

• Parking: Parking lot (community parking)
• Security: Gated community
• Utilities: Public sewer; Utilities: see remarks
• Home design: Stock cooperative; To be built condition
• Construction: Other construction materials; Other foundation details
• Exterior features: Waterfront location; Gated community

Interior

• Kitchen: Other appliances included
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Wall/window air-conditioning units; Other heating
• Interior features: Original details; Entry on 2nd level; No basement; Five total rooms

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
• Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.7%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $669/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone VE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $114,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.74% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.48%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.22%
• DSCR: 2.30
• GRM: 4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.14×
• Total profit: $5,169
• Equity at exit: $19,383

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.16×
• Total profit: $78,487
• Equity at exit: $11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10465

• Rents YoY: 10.7%
• Active inventory: 215
• Price-to-rent: 4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,259 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$682
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$669 /mo · $8,028/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$474
• Net cashflow: $217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,984

Max offer price $130,000

Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,500
• Closing costs: $3,900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: water
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $130,000 Active 154 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $130,000 Active 153 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $130,000 Active 151 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $130,000 Active 149 DOM
5. 2026-06-10
   days on market $130,000 Active 145 DOM
6. 2026-06-08
   days on market $130,000 Active 144 DOM
7. 2026-06-04
   days on market $130,000 Active 140 DOM
8. 2026-06-03
   days on market $130,000 Active 139 DOM
9. 2026-06-01
   days on market $130,000 Active 137 DOM
10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 136 DOM
11. 2026-01-15
    listed $130,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone VE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,112
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,282
• − Property taxes: −$1,950
• − Insurance: −$8,678
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,169
• − Management: −$2,169
• − Depreciation: −$3,782
• Taxable income: $1,082
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$260
• After-tax cash flow: $2,350/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 45,404
• Household income: $87,985
• Rent vs Own: 43.4% rent · 56.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 2294.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,353 people
• By 2030: 1,681,852 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,824,421 · +13.5%
• By 2050: 1,945,470 · +21.0%
• By 2075: 2,187,887 · +36.1%
• By 2100: 2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 15% Black 10% Asian 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 24% Dominican 12%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 19% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 57% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 7% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -283.74%
• Current HPI: 270.517
• Rent YoY: ▲ 10.74%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-01-15 Listed $130,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid