10617 Orbit Ter · Palmer Ranch, FL 34241

$276,249

2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,187 sqft · Townhouse · 96 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.5/10.0
• 1% rule +5.4/10.0
• Schools +5.4/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Ivy floorplan at 10617 Orbit Terrace in The Towns at Skye Ranch! This inviting townhome features an open main level where the kitchen, dining area, and great room come together in a bright, connected space perfect for everyday living. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a comfortable retreat, while the secondary bedrooms are positioned nearby with convenient access to a full bathroom. The second-floor laundry room adds extra ease, keeping daily tasks close to the bedrooms. Discover modern, open-concept townhomes in the gated, master-planned Skye Ranch community in Sarasota. Ideally located at Clark and Lorraine Roads, this premier setting offers endless opportunities to explore and enjoy life. The community preserves natural beauty with grand oaks, lush palms, forested wetlands, pristine lakes, and native wildlife. Additional Highlights Include: washer, dryer, refrigerator, whole house blinds. Photos are for representative purposes only. MLS#A4686523

Key facts

• Open main level
• Primary suite
• Pristine lakes

Tags

• OPEN MAIN LEVEL
• PRIMARY SUITE
• SECONDARY BEDROOMS
• SECOND-FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM
• GATED MASTER-PLANNED COMMUNITY
• PRISTINE LAKES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $276k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $276k).
• Recommended offer: $251k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 564 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $251,386 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.66%
• DSCR: 1.25
• GRM: 8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.61×
• Total profit: $-29,924
• Equity at exit: $41,190

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.63×
• Total profit: $-28,565
• Equity at exit: $23,885

Cash invested: $77,350 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34241

• Rents YoY: -0.1%
• Active inventory: 564
• Price-to-rent: 8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,878 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,449
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$345 /mo · $4,144/yr
• Insurance: −$115
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$604
• Net cashflow: $365

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,417

Max offer price $276,249

Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $69,062
• Closing costs: $8,287
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $276,249 Active 96 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $276,249 Active 95 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $276,249 Active 93 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $276,249 Active 91 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $276,249 Active 90 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $276,249 Active 88 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $276,249 Active 87 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $276,249 Active 85 DOM
9. 2026-06-05
   days on market $276,249 Active 82 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $276,249 Active 81 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $276,249 Active 80 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $276,249 Active 79 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $276,249 Active 78 DOM
14. 2026-05-09
    price $276,249 978-char remark

    Show marketing remark (978 chars)

    Welcome to the Ivy floorplan at 10617 Orbit Terrace in The Towns at Skye Ranch! This inviting townhome features an open main level where the kitchen, dining area, and great room come together in a bright, connected space perfect for everyday living. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a comfortable retreat, while the secondary bedrooms are positioned nearby with convenient access to a full bathroom. The second-floor laundry room adds extra ease, keeping daily tasks close to the bedrooms. Discover modern, open-concept townhomes in the gated, master-planned Skye Ranch community in Sarasota. Ideally located at Clark and Lorraine Roads, this premier setting offers endless opportunities to explore and enjoy life. The community preserves natural beauty with grand oaks, lush palms, forested wetlands, pristine lakes, and native wildlife. Additional Highlights Include: washer, dryer, refrigerator, whole house blinds. Photos are for representative purposes only. MLS#A4686523

15. 2026-03-16
    listed $276,259 Active
16. 2026-03-16
    historical
17. 2026-03-14
    listed $276,259 Active 978-char remark

    Show marketing remark (978 chars)

    Welcome to the Ivy floorplan at 10617 Orbit Terrace in The Towns at Skye Ranch! This inviting townhome features an open main level where the kitchen, dining area, and great room come together in a bright, connected space perfect for everyday living. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a comfortable retreat, while the secondary bedrooms are positioned nearby with convenient access to a full bathroom. The second-floor laundry room adds extra ease, keeping daily tasks close to the bedrooms. Discover modern, open-concept townhomes in the gated, master-planned Skye Ranch community in Sarasota. Ideally located at Clark and Lorraine Roads, this premier setting offers endless opportunities to explore and enjoy life. The community preserves natural beauty with grand oaks, lush palms, forested wetlands, pristine lakes, and native wildlife. Additional Highlights Include: washer, dryer, refrigerator, whole house blinds. Photos are for representative purposes only. MLS#A4686523

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $34,540
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,474
• − Property taxes: −$4,144
• − Insurance: −$1,381
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,763
• − Management: −$2,763
• − Depreciation: −$8,036
• Taxable loss: −$22
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$5
• After-tax cash flow: $4,382/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained townhouse in Palmer Ranch, Florida, offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. Upgrades in paint, lighting, and appliances can significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both Lighting — Upgrading lighting fixtures can improve the home's ambiance and value
• Both Flooring — Replacing worn-out flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and value
• Both Kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value
• Both Bathroom fixtures — Updating bathroom fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Lighting — Upgrading lighting fixtures can improve the home's ambiance and value ↑
• Both Flooring — Replacing worn-out flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and value ↑
• Both Kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value ↑
• Both Bathroom fixtures — Updating bathroom fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sarasota
• NCES district ID: 1201680
• Math proficiency: 63% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 63% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $51,167
• Composite: 53.68/100
• National rank: #1428
• State rank: #7 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palmer Ranch

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Sarasota County · 448,376 people
• City population: 22,808
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 16,408
• Household income: $116,412
• Rent vs Own: 11.1% rent · 88.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 69.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 452,380 people
• By 2030: 474,175 · +4.8%
• By 2040: 511,577 · +13.1%
• By 2050: 541,467 · +19.7%
• By 2075: 604,947 · +33.7%
• By 2100: 621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Slovak 3% Scandinavian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

• 2024 margin: R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -363.72%
• Current HPI: 278.3404
• Rent YoY: ▬ -0.05%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-0.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-09 Price Changed $276,249 Zillow
• 2026-03-16 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-16 Listed $276,259 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-14 Listed $276,259 Zillow