5 E Carriageway Dr #308 · Hazel Crest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Unbeatable value in Hazel Crest - this beautifully updated 2-bed, 2-bath condo is truly move-in ready and priced to sell. Step into a bright, open living and dining space where sliding doors open to a large private balcony, your spot for morning coffee or unwinding at sunset. The kitchen shines with brand-new stainless steel appliances, generous cabinet space, and a smart, functional layout. Retreat to a spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private en-suite featuring a modern vanity, updated flooring, and a clean Bath Fitter tub system. The second bedroom flexes easily as a guest room, home office, or den. Enjoy fresh 2026 paint and luxury vinyl tile flooring throughout. Residen
Key facts
- Private balcony
- Walk-in closet
- En-suite bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes water, parking, insurance, security, clubhouse, pool, exterior maintenance, lawn care, trash service, and snow removal; Association amenities include coin laundry, park, and pool; Pets allowed (cats and dogs) with deposit; max pet weight 40 lbs; Community park
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space; Asphalt parking; Off-street guest parking (unassigned, owned)
- Security: Association-provided security included
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Attached single-unit condo in a mid-rise (4-6 stories); Entry on level 3; Condo ownership; Rehab planned for 2026; Built 41-50 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: In-ground pool; Patio; Balcony; Outdoor grill; Landscaped grounds; Located on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Freezer; Disposal; Pantry-closet
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (14 x 12); Second bedroom on main level (11 x 10); Two additional bedrooms
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl in main living areas and rooms noted; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced air heating; Central air conditioning; CO detectors; Intercom
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Separate dining room; Some photos virtually staged
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $864 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 8.9% in Hazel Crest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Hillcrest High School (math 4% / reading 4%, grade F, #657 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 1,314 students, 0% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 4% at this address vs 16% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Bremen Chsd 228 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.00%
- DSCR
- 2.74
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $39,842
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 42.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.00×
- Total profit
- $106,413
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60429
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,308 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$304
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$485
- Net cashflow
- $864
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2722 Larkspur Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1441 | $2,650 | $1.84 | 12d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3501 177th St Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 839 | $2,850 | $3.40 | 1d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $2,500 | $2.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2420 183rd St Homewood, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 11d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,400 | $2.35 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $2,350 | $2.03 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1158 | $2,300 | $1.99 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,500 | $2.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1933 Hickory Rd Unit 1937-C Homewood, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1933 Hickory Rd Homewood, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 20d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 16751 Crane Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $304 · $3,648/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $94,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 86 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $94,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-16status Active
-
2026-04-07historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-03-13$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,424
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,216
- − Management
- −$2,216
- − HOA
- −$3,648
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $9,642
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,314
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,048/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hazel Crest
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #4242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazel Crest, IL
- City population
- 14,602
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,602
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 282.3552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Listed $99,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…