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104 Virginia Ave
B- Composite 69.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$129,000

104 Virginia Ave · Norlina, NC 27563
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Manufactured · 12 Days on market
Built 1990 Good condition 0.27 ac lot Est $162k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss this opportunity to own a 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a quiet street in Norlina, NC. Featuring public water and septic, this property offers excellent potential for investors, first-time buyers, or anyone looking for an affordable place to call home. With solid bones and plenty of possibilities, it's ready for your personal touches and vision. Conveniently located with small-town charm while still providing easy access to nearby amenities. Whether you're looking to add to your investment portfolio or settle into a home of your own, this property is worth a look!

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Easy access
  • Septic

Tags

QUIET STREETPUBLIC WATERSEPTICSMALL-TOWN CHARMEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.27 acres; Living area reported as 1,512
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; No community amenities listed; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story
  • Construction: Cedar and other/unknown exterior materials; Shingle roof; Built in 1990
  • Exterior features: No exterior amenities listed; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, range, and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling with heat pump
  • Interior features: Dishwasher, Range, Refrigerator, Washer and Dryer; Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $129k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#185 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Warren County Schools (rural): math 11% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #174 of 178 in NC (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Warren County High (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #488 of 535 statewide, top 91%, 384 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 79% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 255 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
  • Warren County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 39% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.11%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$161,784
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 High St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,288 (-15%) 20mo $138,000 $107 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.55% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$47,487
Equity at exit
$77,467
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
4.60×
Total profit
$130,044
Equity at exit
$137,454

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27563

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,399 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax est. 1.5%
$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,128
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $129,000 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    remarks 586-char remark
  8. 2026-06-03
    listed $129,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 39% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,792
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$1,935
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,343
− Management
−$1,343
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable income
$547
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$131
After-tax cash flow
$2,437/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Norlina, NC, is in good condition with solid bones and plenty of potential. It's ready for a fresh coat of paint and some minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Replace old flooring — New flooring can improve both the aesthetic and functionality of the home.
  • Both Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home features can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Replace old flooring — New flooring can improve both the aesthetic and functionality of the home.
  • Both Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home features can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Warren County Schools
NCES district ID
3704740
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,433
Composite
14.62/100
National rank
#9409
State rank
#174 of 178 in NC

Livability — Norlina

Score
68/100
State rank
#185
US rank
#9302

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norlina, NC
Population (ZIP)
5,300

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,664 people
By 2030
17,641 · -5.5%
By 2040
15,442 · -17.3%
By 2050
13,634 · -27.0%
By 2075
10,523 · -43.6%
By 2100
7,777 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 31% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
D (+19.0) · D 58.8% · R 39.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 39.5pp · 2024: 19.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.0 2020: D+25.7 2016: D+33.2 2012: D+36.0 2008: D+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.55%
Current HPI
181.0661
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $129,000 TMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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