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2737 N Carissa Ln
C Composite 57.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

2737 N Carissa Ln · Boise City, ID 83704
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 41 Days on market
Built 1978 Good condition Est $158k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully updated manufactured home in a centrally located 55+ community in Boise! This expansive home offers a functional layout with abundant natural light and modern finishes throughout. Enjoy the convenience of a large carport and a versatile 12x10 shop. Perfect for hobbies, storage, or workspace needs. Step inside to find new cabinets, quartz countertops, and brand-new appliances that elevate the kitchen. Durable LVP flooring flows through the main living areas, complemented by updated light fixtures for a fresh, contemporary feel. The spacious living and dining areas create an inviting atmosphere for relaxing or entertaining. Outdoor living is just as appealing with a large covered

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1978
  • Listed 41 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in an over‑55 community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered spaces in a 2-car carport
  • Utilities: City water service; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Paved road access
  • Home design: Mobile/manufactured home on a rented lot; Located in an over‑55 community; Situated in a mobile home park
  • Construction: Masonry construction; Metal roof; Built in 1978
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Auto, drip and full sprinkler systems

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Fireplace
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom with en-suite bath; Kitchen island; Quartz countertops

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $169k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Joint School District No. 2 (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #11 of 92 in ID (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Ustick Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #272 of 357 statewide, top 80%, 357 students, 60% FRL); Centennial High School (math 53% / reading 76%, grade B-, #10 of 169 statewide, top 7%, 1,931 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 23% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $163,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.60%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$158,368
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2711 N Pilgrim Ln 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+7%) 4mo $99,900 $59 74
2392 N Patricia Ln 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (0%) 2mo $129,999 $83 72
10623 W Macaw Ln 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-4%) 6mo $125,000 $83 68
10642 Abram Ln 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-4%) 9mo $99,000 $65 63
2223 N Iris Ln 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,664 (+6%) 7mo $168,000 $101 62
2485 N Bali Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,650 (+5%) 0mo $225,000 $136 61
3467 N Dalton Ln 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-7%) 2mo $145,000 $100 56
9390 W Ustick Rd #58 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,482 (-6%) 6mo $259,990 $175 54
9390 W Ustick Rd Trlr 26 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-14%) 2mo $189,000 $141 48
9390 W Ustick #65 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,746 (+11%) 2mo $224,900 $129 46
10894 Tahiti 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-14%) 1mo $179,000 $133 42
3468 N Dalton Ln 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,782 (+14%) 10mo $175,000 $98 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-7,757
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$13,156
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83704

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,908 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax est. 1.5%
$211 /mo · $2,535/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$401
Net cashflow
$339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,478
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10096 W Garverdale Ln Boise, ID 3.0 2.0 1113 $1,600 $1.44 23d 1 0.61mi
3325 N Covered Wagon Way Boise, ID 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,050 $1.71 23d 1 0.73mi
9846 W Rosecroft Ct #102 Boise, ID 2.0 2.5 1236 $1,545 $1.25 3d 1 0.80mi
11274 W Race St Boise, ID 3.0 2.5 1744 $2,150 $1.23 14d 1 0.80mi
9993 W Rosecroft Ct #101 Boise, ID 2.0 2.5 1136 $1,575 $1.39 3d 1 0.84mi
11383 W Fairview Ave Boise, ID 2.0 2.0 1123 $1,575 $1.40 2d 4 1.13mi
10764 W Goldenrod Ave Boise, ID 3.0 2.0 1220 $1,895 $1.55 19d 1 1.13mi
11239 W Gabrielle Dr Boise, ID 2.0 2.5 1128 $1,645 $1.46 23d 1 1.16mi
9952 W Pattie Dr Boise, ID 3.0 3.0 1900 $2,250 $1.18 2d 1 1.17mi
8973 W Irving St Bldg 6 Boise, ID 3.0 2.5 1524 $2,250 $1.48 14d 1 1.18mi
4418 N Oxbow Pl Boise, ID 3.0 2.0 1120 $2,095 $1.87 14d 1 1.25mi
11703 W Ginger Creek Dr Boise, ID 3.0 2.0 1366 $2,000 $1.46 2d 1 1.27mi
930 N Maple Grove Rd Boise, ID 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $2,333 $2.46 2d 14 1.30mi
2663 N Fastwater Ave Boise, ID 3.0 2.0 1204 $1,795 $1.49 14d 1 1.36mi
4107 N Vera St Boise, ID 4.0 2.0 1344 $1,895 $1.41 23d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $169,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-05-08
    listed $179,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,891
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$2,535
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,831
− Management
−$1,831
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$1,465
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$352
After-tax cash flow
$3,717/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 85/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully updated manufactured home in a centrally located 55+ community is move-in ready with good condition and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
  • Both exterior paint — fresh paint can improve home's appearance and value
  • Both interior paint — fresh paint can improve home's appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
  • Both exterior paint — fresh paint can improve home's appearance and value
  • Both interior paint — fresh paint can improve home's appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Joint School District No. 2
NCES district ID
1602100
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$64,573
Composite
52.42/100
National rank
#1576
State rank
#11 of 92 in ID

Livability — Boise City

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Boise City, ID
County
Ada County · 522,161 people
City population
152,689
Metro
Boise City, ID
Population (ZIP)
42,719
Household income
$73,390
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
1415.0

Population outlook (Ada County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
535,818 people
By 2030
585,751 · +9.3%
By 2040
682,435 · +27.4%
By 2050
775,818 · +44.8%
By 2075
994,458 · +85.6%
By 2100
1,148,884 · +114.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ada

2024 margin
R (+10.3) · D 43.4% · R 53.8% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -10.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.3 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -393.15%
Current HPI
379.0934
Rent YoY
▲ 1.95%
Metro
Boise City, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $179,000 IMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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